August 27th, 2008
04:05 PM ET
15 years ago

CNN poll: Obama takes double-digit lead in battleground state

DENVER (CNN) - A new national poll indicates Barack Obama has opened up a double-digit lead in New Mexico, while the battle for the Colorado is a dead heat between the presumptive Democratic nominee and Republican rival John McCain.

A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll out Wednesday has the Obama up by 13 points in New Mexico, 53 to 40 percent. The state has had two close calls in the past two elections, with Vice President Al Gore slipping past George W. Bush in 2000 and President Bush edging out Massachusetts Senator John Kerry for years ago.

It’s a different story in Colorado, where the Democrats are holding their national convention this week. On the eve of Obama’s presidential acceptance speech in Denver, the poll suggests John McCain has a 47 percent to 46 percent advantage over Obama. Taking into account the survey’s sampling error, that’s a virtual dead heat. Bush won Colorado by eight points in 2000, and by five points in the last election.

"The Democrats chose Denver for their convention in the hopes of poaching Colorado from the GOP," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said. "It appears that hasn't happened yet, although Thursday night's main event in Denver's football stadium may help Obama make some inroads." Holland notes that the poll indicates a huge gender gap in Colorado, with 55 percent of women going for Obama and 55 percent of men picking McCain.

It’s also a close race in Nevada, another Western state Obama’s campaign would like to turn from red to blue. President Bush won the state by narrow margins in the last two elections. But the poll indicates Obama has a five point margin over McCain, 49 to 44 percent.

Obama named Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his running mate on Saturday. Although Biden is a longtime Delaware resident, he was born and raised in Pennsylvania. Has the Biden announcement made an impact in the Keystone State? Our new poll doesn’t show any indication of that so far. Obama holds a 5-point edge in our new survey, 48 to 43 percent. That’s pretty much where recent polls from other organizations have put the race.

"Pennsylvania voters tend to be a bit older than in most states, so it's good news for Obama that he's actually carrying senior citizens in the Keystone State. Nationally, seniors tend to pick McCain," Holland said. "But the bad news for Obama is that he's only pulling a quarter of the rural voters in Pennsylvania. That's a far worse showing for Obama than rural voters in Nevada or Colorado."

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation surveys were conducted Sunday through Tuesday, with 670 registered voters in Colorado, 625 in Nevada, 659 in New Mexico and 669 in Pennsylvania questioned by telephone. The sampling error for each poll is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • CNN Polls • Extra • John McCain
soundoff (106 Responses)
  1. BJGT

    Bbbbbbbbaby, you ain't seen nothin yet!

    Obama/Biden 08

    August 27, 2008 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  2. Bob Indianapolis, IN

    As the Doors once noted, "The West is the best; Get here, and we'll do the rest."

    August 27, 2008 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  3. stuff is silly

    CNN has to broadcast something positive for Obama. "Obama takes double-digit lead in one battleground state". Then the details of his troubles in Colorado are in small print. Too funny

    August 27, 2008 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  4. Concerned in Alabama

    Polls, polls, polls.............

    August 27, 2008 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  5. Spencer from VA

    We've got New Mexico and once this convention is over with, we will have the lead in Colorado. And for all you Republicans, Virginia is ours this year. Thanks for your support Hillary!

    Obama/Biden 08

    August 27, 2008 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  6. RiverMan

    New Mexico goes for Obama!!! Guess it is all over now, because we all know "as New Mexico goes" so goes the Nation. CNN you are too funny.....

    August 27, 2008 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  7. W O W WO W

    D O E S-M C C A I N–H A V E-L E A D S-I N-B A T T L E G R O U N D

    ---S T A T E S

    August 27, 2008 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  8. stuff is silly

    Next article:
    CNN Poll: Tight races in battleground states

    At least it's fair and balanced.

    August 27, 2008 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  9. Independent Voter

    CNN – take a breath. Try breathing into a paper bag. It's just not all that exciting.

    All the polls will be all over the map until the Republican convention has been over AT LEAST one week, maybe two.

    Both conventions will be thankfully over, both VPs will be out there. People will be getting on with their own lives. They might even tune into what the enthusiasts only are watching closely now.

    THEN we can see what the polls, just relax, breathe deeply and wait it out. I know Wolf et al can do it if you just try...

    August 27, 2008 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  10. Kelby from Houston, TX

    YOUR POLLS MEAN NOTHING!! Do your own polling CNN! right there on your front page in the Quick vote...One simple question two simple choices. OBAMA or McCAIN. Choose your leader.

    But that wouldn't be controversial enough now would it? It seems you guys need something that will get people to pay attention to you.

    August 27, 2008 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  11. Anonymous

    I've got a single-digit response for CNN. Can you guess what it is?

    August 27, 2008 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  12. fa

    There is light an the end of the tunnel?

    August 27, 2008 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  13. Anonymous

    I've got a single-digit response for CNN, since you're so fond of body language. Can you guess what it is?

    August 27, 2008 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  14. Anonymous

    You spelled "four" incorrectly.

    August 27, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  15. dennymajor

    Well, that's great.
    I don't think state-by-state polls should are completely accurate, of course. They still only do the polling based on land lines, if I'm not mistaken.

    One of Obama's main constituencies, young people, may be overlooked because of this. National polls never mean anything . . . but state-by-state, I think we should expect Obama to have a few more points than he is given. Most college students don't have a land line, and many families have switched to cell phones only.

    August 27, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  16. Bitter Allen Hissein from Visalia

    I think that was the first poll I've seen that showed an Obama lead in NV. Looks like things are turning his way!

    August 27, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  17. Kevin Brunk

    To: Author,

    I don't understand "the Obama".

    Also "Senator John Kerry for years ago" sould be four as in the number 4.


    August 27, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  18. steve

    how come there was never a ticker article about mccain's lead in the gallup poll 46-44 AFTER the DNC convention started?

    who cares about new mexico?

    August 27, 2008 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  19. Baze

    I guess John McCain's work in the Indian Affairs Committee wasn't as heralded as he thought, nor was his popularity with the latino community. No way no how to Carpetbagger McCain

    August 27, 2008 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  20. Independent from FL

    It's going to be a close race.

    August 27, 2008 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  21. Tony

    Take that Johnny Mc"BUSH"!!!!!!!...and it's only going to get worse come November. Can you say...TWO-TIME LOSER???????????????

    August 27, 2008 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  22. stuff is silly

    I wonder if will perform "My Humps" in New Mexico to bump up Obama's chances. How many of these Obama supporters are saying "yes we will vote for Obama" and will not vote for him on election day? Obama is in trouble if he doesn't gain the full trust of his base.

    August 27, 2008 04:16 pm at 4:16 pm |
  23. Nando, Florida

    I believe the MSM for the last month has been claiming Obama is losing ground I say BULL. Obama will win by a landslide the American People will never Elect a 72 Yr Old Man when we have a Global Crisis on our hand. DONT DRINK THE CNN AND FOX KOOLAIDE !!!!!!!! MCCAIN IS DONE .

    August 27, 2008 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  24. Sylvia

    New Mexico is important with latino/hispanic votes.

    August 27, 2008 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  25. Tom Anderson

    So does a 13 point lead mean that CNN will now move New Mexico into the Obama column? Or does CNN think that this somehow means that New Mexico is still too close to call>

    August 27, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
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