September 3rd, 2008
05:50 PM ET
14 years ago

Electoral map alert: Obama picks up two states


Check out CNN's electoral map.

ST. PAUL, Minnesota (CNN) — Barack Obama may be inching closer to the magic number of 270 electoral votes necessary to win the White House, according to the most recent update to CNN’s electoral map.

Based in part on newly released public opinion surveys, CNN has now re-classified the states of Minnesota (10 electoral votes) and Iowa (7 electoral votes) as states leaning in favor of Obama. Both states were previously categorized as toss-ups. If the election were held today, CNN currently projects that Obama would carry 19 states and the District of Columbia, for a combined total of 243 electoral votes. McCain would carry 23 states worth a combined total of 189 electoral votes.

Eight states worth a combined 106 electoral votes remain in CNN’s tossup column.

Related: Poll measures race in three key states

“Iowa and Minnesota look good for Obama at this point in time. He is winning whites with no college degree in Iowa and splitting them evenly with John McCain in Minnesota," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "But today's polls don't reflect any boost McCain might get from his convention, because nearly all the interviews were done before the festivities started in St. Paul. This could be Obama’s high-water mark in those states.”

Four years ago, George W. Bush carried Iowa by less than one percentage point; John Kerry won Minnesota by less than four points. The last Republican to carry Minnesota in a presidential election was Richard Nixon in 1972.

Obama won both the Iowa and the Minnesota Democratic caucuses this year. McCain finished fourth in Iowa’s GOP caucuses and second in Minnesota’s GOP caucuses.

The CNN Electoral Map is based on analysis from the CNN Political Unit and takes into account a number of factors, including polling, state voting trends, ad spending patterns, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns, parties, and political strategists.

soundoff (294 Responses)
  1. Zuq

    Can someone send me McSame's plan on the economy, healthcare, ending the war? I keep hearing this experience, but I can't find his solutions for any of those. Experience does not equal age. If that was the case, my aunt Mildred is more experienced than McCain!

    September 3, 2008 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  2. Bill

    I have two daughters and want to be part of opening up opportunities for them that never exsisted before now.

    September 3, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  3. June from San Antonop

    Oh... during Clinton's years there was a Republican Congress. During Bush these last 4 years it has been Democratic. So...who do we hold responsible for the good times and the bad?

    September 3, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  4. Beth

    I am not surprised. McCain really helped undecided voters by picking Palin as his VP! I hope the democrats run a good campaign and expose all the lies the Republicans have told. The only way to get out of this mess created by Bush (both at home and abroad) is to elect the Obama/Biden team. Thanks McCain for electing Palin as your VP, it goes to show how you gave in to the pressures of the radical right, and it certainly won't help you to secure the votes of the moderate voters, whether they are democrat or republican, women or men.

    September 3, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  5. BK

    Isn't it funny how so many people that say statistics mean nothing would be saying that they are everything if their guy was on top? Well despite being for Obama, I also say they mean less than many think. These polls are made to people with land line phones, so a huge and increasing demographic of people that no longer use land lines isn't even included.

    We need to keep working until the very end.

    September 3, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  6. George, Kenya

    Great news!

    Go my brother, go!

    Nobama 2008

    September 3, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  7. elizabeth

    Campbell Brown did an excellent interview with McCain's staffer Monday evening. A reporter should counter answers with more questions, in this case S.Palin's role as commander of the National Guard in Alaska. This is the first time I saw and heard any questioning by a reporter similar to that of Tim Russert. McCain didn't like it because his staff member couldn't come up with one answer to Campbell's question.

    September 3, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  8. Michael

    What is a "Wedge Issue"? – Any issue the Democrats are the minority opinion on.

    September 3, 2008 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  9. Smart_Lady

    Doubt this comment will get posted, for it's mostly pro-Obama comments that are making it. Nevertheless, I haven't heard Obama say anything 'new' he is going to do, but he will definitely raise taxes, and allow every perversion under the sun to become legal. Ready to have your children be legalized to have sex?? Twelve year olds? Maybe 10? It doesn't matter, just put 'em all on birth control and let them have at it! And if that fails, there is always the good ole baby killing. Then, everyone can do what everyone wants, right? Hedonistic America...the liberal dream!!

    September 3, 2008 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  10. Casey

    Got tired hearing about all the reported polls geared to slant the Democratic primary in Obama's favor against Hillary and now they want to do the same to McCain... it's all a fallacy to get the sheep to follow the "potential" leader. I'm what they're not counting on... a registered Dem who is going to vote for McCain-Palin. The Democratic Party has continually disappointed me this time around... I will not be force-fed an unqualified candidate just to make them feel good about themselves as they prove they are the party of "inclusion".

    September 3, 2008 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  11. Zuq

    Imagine what the Rethugs would have said if Chelsea was pregnant. Give me a break! These clowns don't define the rules, we the people of the United States do. If we don't like the rules you put in place, we'll vote for someone that does. It's time for change and that time is now!

    P.S. For those Rethugs that hate McCain and can't vote for Obama, I hear Ron Paul is running.

    September 3, 2008 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  12. Joe

    Texas at the least the rural areas where solidly Democratic until a few thugs led by the likes of Rove and Delay etc. changed it through illegal realignment. I believe it is time to take Texas back and color it yellow dog. Just like McCain every politician currently in office represent the same old politics of Bush. I want real change and not four more years of the last eight. Texas turn our state back blue for the regular people that love our state for what it was and what it can be again. Vote for Obama Biden. If everyone that voted Obama or Hilliary in the Primary votes then we are no longer in the control of the greedy and powerful that has very nearly ruined us. A vote for Obama Biden is a real vote for change of not only Texas but America.

    September 3, 2008 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  13. j

    People, please wake up. Don't let the Republican Party use SPIN (AGAIN) to win this election. Not only did they spin the last two elections, but they stole them too. Has John McCain and Joe Liberman forgot how they attacked them during the last two elections?

    September 3, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  14. on hype

    It's show business. Everything about it, the conventions, the speeches, the media reporting on it, is just hype to either get elected (if you're a candidate), to get ratings (as a media outlet), or entertainment (if you're a 'supporter' who's just cheering and buying buttons and merchandize.)

    That's fine, each of these groups has their reasons for doing what they're doing, so go ahead.

    What will affect this country, the people living in it and the rest of the world, is a) what the president will attempt to do once in office and b) what he is likely to achieve there.

    It is your duty as a citizen to base you opinion on these criteria.

    September 3, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  15. Abdi, Minnesota

    What McCain will talk about in his convention speech? Just history sories. I don't know who wants to listen.

    September 3, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  16. Jason

    When the republicans are ready to talk about the issues and not just dodge them like they have been for the past 2-3 months, i'll be ready to consider the options of this election. I'm not sure if they know the economy exists. I know my pockets are pinching.. are yours?

    But from what i see, especially from the interview with Campbell Brown which the Republican party got in a tissy fit over... which in my opinion was well done by Campbell... dont swing around the answer... either say... yes Palin has this experience and these choice, or i don't know, or no she doesnt.

    At the momment i don't have much faith for McCain... what i see if the party and supporters ignoring the issues and the Republican voters on here saying "Nobama, etc etc etc" Anyone ready to explain why i should vote republican?

    Bangor, Maine

    September 3, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  17. Ivan

    Republican said the put the country first, what about put people first? Democrats we love this country and died like the republican.

    September 3, 2008 06:34 pm at 6:34 pm |
  18. Vic

    Go Iowa! Go Minnesota! Go America!

    Republican voting for Obama/Biden 08

    September 3, 2008 06:34 pm at 6:34 pm |
  19. ecoguy

    Well, the R's have been trying to hold on to power with our trailer trash voters and it's worked for the last 8 years. Now they have chosen VP candidate with personal experience.

    Go OBAMA

    September 3, 2008 06:34 pm at 6:34 pm |
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