September 7th, 2008
06:03 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN poll of polls: Obama's lead shrinks to just one point

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="Sens. McCain and Obama appeared briefly on stage together last month during a forum moderated by Pastor Rick Warren at the Saddleback Church in California."]
(CNN) - Sen. Barack Obama’s lead in national polls has shrunk to one point, according to CNN’s latest “poll of polls.”

Sunday’s poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain 44 to 43 percent.

Obama held a three-point lead in Saturday’s poll of polls. The senator from Illinois was leading McCain 45-42 percent.

"All of the surveys included in our national polling average were conducted at least in part during the Republican Convention," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "It's still too early to know exactly how much of a bounce McCain has received. That said, the daily tracking numbers indicate that the [Sarah] Palin pick has clearly energized the GOP's base. We have an extremely tight race for the White House on our hands."

CNN’s most recent poll of polls consists of three surveys: CBS (September 1-3), Gallup (September 4-6), and Diageo/Hotline (September 2-4). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

The Republican convention took place last week in St. Paul, Minnesota. Democrats held their convention during the last week of August in Denver, Colorado.

soundoff (22 Responses)
  1. McCain = Bush

    This very much depends on which polls you are looking at. Each party had a bump from their conventions. The truer test will be about 2 weeks removed from the last one. The debate weeks are going to be more telling though.

    September 7, 2008 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  2. S. Boatman

    Mccain Just Cant Close The Deal! So Close Yet So Far Away!

    September 7, 2008 03:33 pm at 3:33 pm |
  3. Cecil

    It's Knowing Like A Good Fight!

    19 Months and Counting, Still Here Still Strong!

    Obama 08

    September 7, 2008 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
  4. Barbara

    Polls Polls Polls
    Ratings Ratings Ratings
    Fear Fear Fear
    War War War

    Come on people, this has gone beyond being silly to being disgustingly divisive or, worse yet, irrelevant.

    We don't need all this stuff from either or both sides or from the media. We need to demand answers .

    Our news media has turned into the e-tabloid entertainment media just BEGGING for attention. .

    September 7, 2008 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
  5. Enlightened Voter

    Great news! I think it is wonderful for two reasons 1. it is not true and we all know Obama is certainly favored to win especially once americans see how shallow and horrible a choice Paliar is and mccain knew he never had a real chance and 2. it will mobilize Democrats to vote in unprecedented numbers and Democrats outnumber repuglicans in most states. The question really should be why hasn't mccain ever lead in the polls since he is so well known and been around for ever? The new guy has always beaten him.

    September 7, 2008 03:35 pm at 3:35 pm |
  6. Mack

    These poll of polls stories are misleading as they include older polls that really are not relevent. Sad to the current polls show McCain with a healthy bumb from his convention.

    September 7, 2008 03:35 pm at 3:35 pm |
  7. Hillary Supporter for Obama

    Who are they polling. I have a land line and I have voted every year since I was 18 and noone has called to ask me who I will vote for. I have asked others at work, church, etc. and noone has been contacted to ask their choice. Well, since they ONLY call those with land lines and not many of those, I will state my support to Obama right here. There are many more like me. I would be more concerned if I were a republican. Obama is going to win this election by a landslide.

    September 7, 2008 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  8. Texico From Mexico

    Oh please look at the electoral map they just showed on CNN Obama lead 240 to like 180 is electoral votes and that counts NO swing states!!! Get real people!

    Veterans for obama

    September 7, 2008 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  9. Ellie

    Don't you worry none Democrats..... we are UNITED.

    I can't say the same for the McCain camp that has a tight LEASH on their new pitt bull with lipstick. I mean gee, talk about a "muzzle" on the woman.

    I mean what is Senator John McCain and his surrogates AFRAID OF? I mean didn't he pick this woman himself without the authorization and support of his party? I mean does this "cloak of secrecy" and all this sequestering nonsense mean that John McCain is NOT confident in his own decision of VP pick in Gov. Sarah Palin?

    I mean if HE'S CONFIDENT, why aren't they showing their new "show horse" off in front of the news media? WHAT'S the problem here?


    Well, all this Sarah Palin "pitt bull with lipstick" foolishness is becoming nothing but a "Circus of Clowns".

    September 7, 2008 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  10. Cecil

    Sen. Obamas Bump Level Off, So Will Sen. McCains!

    September 7, 2008 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  11. My Popcorn Is Ready

    Puhleeze. Guess those poll answers weren't taken from community organizers huh?

    September 7, 2008 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  12. Say Cheese Obama

    "Help me I'm shrinking!"

    September 7, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  13. benvictor

    As a Hillary Democrat, I am thrilled with John's selection of Sarah as the First Woman President of the United States of America. I am honored to vote for this "dream" ticket. God Bless America.

    September 7, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  14. Mike

    I have hard time understanding how people can possibly vote republican again after the last 8 years. Make no mistake that the unemployement will jump even higher to what is now should we put another Republican in white house.

    September 7, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  15. Michael

    So, are you guys trying to tell me that people changed their mind every minute? I think this polls don't have any credibility.

    September 7, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  16. Liz

    I don't understand how the Special Investigations show can do a fact check on Sarah Palin and not reveal that she lied about selling the governor's jet on e-bay and making a profit, that she initally lied about the investigation involving her brother-in-law, lied about beginning pipeline in Alaska that is not scheduled to begin until 2018 if then. And, her repeated claims of bringing lobbyist reform to Washington when she herself actually took money from the bridge to nowhere project while in favor and then against yet still taking the money. Also, while the current McCain/Plain campaign has over a hundred lobbyist in their campaign. The lobbyist I find most aggregious is their economic adviser Ex-Senator Graham who headed the committee that deregulated the mortgage industry then became a lobbyist for them. This ties directly into the situation with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that is having a devastating affect on our economy. This is the man that called American whiners. Yet, when Obama expressed that Americans turn to their guns, etc., while trying to talk about how the government has failed them it was lambasted over the news and internet. It would be a travesty for the American people to once again be divided by divisive politics while offering no real change to the current policies . As for the war in Iraq, it was based on a lie and nothing changes the fact that people lives have ended or forever changed as a result of this war. The mortgaging of our country to China to pay for this war is a travesty while yet continuing to support the Bush tax cuts and shouting how patriotic we are yet refusing to acknowled we have a responsibility to support our positions by making the sacrafices necessary to fight a war. At least Obama wants to offer a tax cut to 95 percent of America making less than $250,000 and taking back some of the big tax breaks given to the wealthy and to corporations that under the current and next Republican administration would continue these tax breaks while continuing to send jobs overseas while collecting our tax dollars in subsidies.

    September 7, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  17. Steve

    Where CNN gets these number from on GOD knows. And to hear the fools who are supporting the IDIOT that supported BUSH 95% and that got America into this mess only makes me wonder how STUPID people can be. But time will tell and like BUSH WE WILL ALL PAY A HIGH PRICE FOR electing the wrong person fr America future.

    McCain/Palin = Lies, Lies, Lies, and more Lies, Lobbyist, Lobbyist..That's what they do best.

    September 7, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  18. redwhiteblue

    I think we need to remember WHY we have been screaming for change from the Bush policies. Obama is accused of being inexperienced. Keep in mind that Bush supposedly had experience and look what we got. I believe that it is more important to have the intelligence to get the best advisors and to lead the country out of the disasters of the Bush administration. McCain has said proudly that he voted 90% of the time with Bush. Doesn't that bother anyone? Do you want more of Bush? Are you better off now after Bush's 8 years?
    More and more people are losing their health insurance. More and more are losing their jobs and their homes.Banks are shutting down, and we have a loss of respect from our allies . Think Katrina! 5 days on a rooftop waiting for help. Heck of a job Brownie!
    The many many soldiers who were killed because Bush lied us into an unprovoked war and many without their limbs and being rationed by our government on the care they get. We have more and more homeless vets and their families. Republicans vote down benefits for the vets. They were sent over there without the proper equipment and were told they had to buy their own bullet proof vests. Suicide deaths are at an all time high Have you heard of any improvenments to Walter Reed? Do the vets still have to wait months and some years to get medical care? Do they still have vets waiting in a wheel chair for months and the hospital does not even know they are there?
    Do you still want the administration using the "executive privilege" to cover their secretive sneaky unlawful deeds? Isn't it strange that this Iraq war is suddenly winnable and the gas prices are coming down? Do you think the election has something to do with it? Think of your children's future.

    September 7, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  19. VJ - Oswego

    What in the @#/$ is WRONG with you people? Is there not a shred of decency in your collective souls?!!!! This election is not about you or me or them or us. It is about the world as we know it. Try this for a change: Tell the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth. I guarantee that your so-called polls will NOT reflect a one point lead if you do. The American Public simply could not be that stupid...

    September 7, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  20. Ito, Yokosuka Japan


    The last thing we need is bigger government, more taxes, a liberal supreme courte, a more liberal abortion policy, criminals on our streets, more socialism, and whatever else the liberals can think of to send our country down the tubes.

    Sorry, Obama. It would be great to have a black President; but you just happend to be the next Ted Kennedy which is what this country does not need.

    September 7, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  21. J.Aeppli

    I'm confused. CNN's Electoral Map projects Obama with 29% more electoral votes than McCain. Are we supposed to believe that McCain will have a slim lead in popular vote, but get decimated by the electoral college??? Contradictory information, methinks.

    September 7, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |

    Good, no Obama will see that he CAN'T WIN without Hillary!

    September 7, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |