September 8th, 2008
12:35 PM ET
15 years ago

CNN Poll: Race dead even

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="McCain and Obama are dead even in a new CNN poll."]WASHINGTON (CNN) - A new national poll taken entirely after the end of the Republican convention suggests the race for the White House between John McCain and Barack Obama is dead even.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll out Monday afternoon has McCain and Obama tied at 48 percent each among registered voters questioned. Three percent of voters are undecided in the survey, which was conducted Friday through Sunday.

Read full poll results [PDF]

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll is one of three new surveys taken mostly over the weekend. The other two are a Gallup Tracking Poll and a Diageo/Hotline survey. When all three are averaged together for a new CNN Poll of Polls, the results have McCain up one point, 47 percent to 46 percent. That’s the first time in the CNN Poll of Polls that McCain has an advantage over Obama.

Watch: McCain, Obama deadlocked

The battle for the presidency also includes some minor party candidates, including Independent Ralph Nader, Libertarian Party candidate Bob Barr, and Green Party candidate Cynthia McKinney — but the poll suggests they don’t have any impact on the shape of the race.

When they are added to the equation, the race between McCain and Obama remains tied, at 45 percent each, with Nader and Barr at 3 percent each and McKinney at 1 percent.

Has the Republican convention and the naming of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate given McCain a bounce in the polls?

“Other polls are showing ‘convention bounces’ for McCain, but ours does not,’ says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “The reason is probably due to the fact that the CNN poll has had a very low number of respondents who say they are undecided for several months. Bounces tend to occur when undecided voters switch to a candidate, but with so few truly undecided voters in our polls, there was little room for a bounce for Obama or McCain.”

Holland also points out that despite a concerted outreach by the McCain-Palin team to former women supporters of Hillary Clinton’s presidential bid, women nationwide seem to be sticking with Obama – 52 percent of women are planning to vote Democratic, while 51 percent of men are in the GOP column.
The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was based on 1,022 telephone interviews. The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (222 Responses)
  1. Carl

    I am hoping for a big turn out for Obama. I think that with all the new voters out there without land lines these results aren't even close. If Obama pulls this out by 10 percentage points, we'll all know where those voters (like myself) have been hiding!

    September 8, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  2. Poll Dancer

    Polls, schmolls ... Obama will win in the end. It is pathetic that the race is this close after the disaster of the last 8 years.

    September 8, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |

    Nader, Barr and McKinney. Americans are stupid sometimes.
    Why vote?

    September 8, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  4. Tina

    For the first time ever, I will not have any regret of switching my party to vote for John McCain over Obama!

    September 8, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  5. SDunn

    Now maybe since Obama is not the frontrunner anymore, since he's always been the underdog anyway, the media will actually start to vet McCain!!! That has been their excuse all along, well the front runner bla bla bla gets all the scrutiny compared to the one who's not in the lead. We'll see what the media does now and if they don't vet McCain's record and show all his lies then I'll know for sure that they're in the tank for the right-wingers.

    September 8, 2008 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  6. Dan in Philly

    I truly despair for my country if they can elect yet another neocon millionaire who simply does not understand the average American, who will lead us into yet more wars, for which he will need a draft, and who would reverse Roe v. Wade, science education, and many other strides that have been made.

    Help me, Jebus!

    September 8, 2008 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  7. Hillary 2012,McCain 2008!

    Poor Obama,Now he need the help of The Clinton's,well I'm thinking to vote for McCain and Palin this year.and wait for 2012 for Hillary .

    September 8, 2008 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  8. gerri

    My poll has Obama up by 9.

    September 8, 2008 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  9. CB2

    Some ppl are just stupid!!! I guess Americans are happy with having Bush/Cheney politics for another 4 possibly 8 years.

    September 8, 2008 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  10. deborah

    How can American's Even consider voting for the Republicans after what they have done to this cournty over the last 8 years???

    No wonder People in other countries POKE Fun at the fact that we are stupid. Go figure

    Please Vote Obama/Biden '08 or don't vote at all!!!!

    September 8, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  11. whotoo

    At least someone suggested change in Washington's policies before everyone else from there could jump on the Change Wagon. That person is Obama. John McCain has been in Washington over twenty years and never talked about changing policies. This proved that Barack Obama has the right judgement. Nearly everyone agrees with him when he introduces a solution to an existing problem. Obama talked about time table in Irah, it is agreed upon by both presidents from the USA and Irag. He talked about talking with Iranian, a representative was sent to start the talking process. Throughout his primary campiagn, he has been talking about changing policies and the ways Washington work now McCain is on board. who is ready to lead?

    September 8, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  12. J Howell

    It seems that Bush/Cheney think that the VP pick is like some kind of joke. Is this what they think the USA is all about? Now that they have drained the economy and ruined our reputation they can walk away laughing about who is going to take over.... It makes me sick when I think of all the lies that the Republicans are telling just to get elected.... no concern of the country - just themselves.

    September 8, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  13. Susan from Scotts Valley, CA

    Be afraid people. Be very afraid. Voters are going to vote for McCain/Palin against their own self-interests and the good of this country because of the McCain/Palin lies. Remember you fell for this twice already. A third time might be so devastating for this country that we will not recover. It's time for CHANGE and McCain/Palin ain't it.

    September 8, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  14. sh

    I like to know where these polls are taken. Never received a call in my life and my wife who is independent never received a call for poll. Can someone may Bill Schneider go into detail where these polls are taken and how. Looks like they front load it to show whoever they flavor of the week is. it certainly looks like it Princess Sarah. Why are we not hearing more about who ahe is what her accoplishments are and what she stands for. All networks looks like are afraid after MCOLD campaign threaned the media. Looks like the mainstream media instead of providing us the information is so intruigued by the way she gave a speech written by someone else.

    September 8, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  15. Tony

    Did I call that or what!

    All of the independent polling companies have McCain ahead of Obama by several points. CNN went and changed their "Poll of Polls" (yeah right!) yet again so they could skew the numbers how they see fit. Their previous "Poll of Polls" included CBS but I guess CNN didn't like the results so they figured "hey, let's just change it and toss in our own poll". Gotta love the liberal, agenda driven "free" media.

    You guys are as bad as MSNBC now.

    September 8, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  16. Ted R. from NYC

    No surprise here, since McCain has benefitted from the convention bounce and the novelty of Palin. There is a long way to go until election day, and the pendulum will swing back and forth over the next few weeks. One of the key elements will be how Palin handles the debates and the interviews. Whoever wins this election, there will be a change at or near the helm of the country.

    September 8, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  17. Graham

    Do these polls take ito account that many Americans do not keep a land line? I can only count two out of 20 co-workers at my work that have a land line at home. Are they able to pole people that use cell phones as their primary mode of communication?

    September 8, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  18. ldinhvu

    Experience counts, after all, to be a leader in the a dangerous world. Who is more qualified to deal with Russia, North Korea, China and Iran?

    September 8, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  19. Farrell, Houston, Tx

    Issues are important not words like fight, fight, fight. Fight for what when McCain hasn't given Americans one issue of importance because his mind is still imbedding in war. James Carville was right, McCain has a 72 year old heart and picks someone who is a heartbeat away from the presidency who knows nothing about the economy or international affairs and is hiding from the press. Palin is like a new boss a company hires that walks in the door with a lot of hot air, talks down to employees and then expects to succeed. Palin is threatening just like McCain/Bush/Cheney, all the same. Americans will look back at the past 8 years and recognize the same character in McCain/Palin. It doesn't take a genious to figure that out.

    September 8, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |

    only temporary!!!!!! Just wait until Paliar is interviewed by the media, debates, and a show of force by the DEMS.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2008-2012

    September 8, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  21. Andrew

    This is unbelievable! Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me, fool me three times.... I cannot believe that after two disasterous Bush terms, McCain is even in the running. Hopefully the polls are not a true reflection of this election cycle....

    A concerned Canadian!

    September 8, 2008 12:26 pm at 12:26 pm |
  22. ES

    Did McCain Violently Push a Woman in a Wheelchair?

    From the Huffington Post (via McClatchy Newspapers from 1996):

    “McCain stopped, glared at her, raised his left arm ready to strike her, composed himself and pushed the wheelchair away from him,” according to Eleanor Apodaca, the sister of an Air Force captain missing since 1967.

    We do know that McCain was furious at those still pursuing answers to POW/MIA questions. This is a new and shocking revelation. Our tough guy hero attacking a woman in a wheelchair???

    Nah, Nope, Not Quite

    September 8, 2008 12:26 pm at 12:26 pm |
  23. Hans Nolet

    Please, please, please, for the world's sake, for Europe's sake, for America's sake, give us the calm and the intelligence of Sen. Obama.

    September 8, 2008 12:26 pm at 12:26 pm |
  24. MIKE


    September 8, 2008 12:26 pm at 12:26 pm |
  25. justin

    I mean Obama/Biden. America is well served for the next eight years with Obama/Biden in the white house, that is President Barack Obama and Vive President Joe Biden. America must not risk Mcain starting another war or risk putting a complete novice, a fraud just a heartbeat from the presidency with a 73 years old man who is for the most part very erratic.

    September 8, 2008 12:26 pm at 12:26 pm |
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