September 15th, 2008
12:45 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN Electoral Map: Minnesota now a toss-up

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="CNN now considers Minnesota a tossup state."](CNN) - As evidence of a tightening presidential race mounts, CNN is altering its Electoral Map, shifting Minnesota and its ten electoral votes from leaning towards Barack Obama to a toss up state.

With the shift of Minnesota, CNN now estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 233 electoral votes and John McCain 189. There are 116 electoral votes up for grabs; 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.

A CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted two weeks ago had Obama up 12 points over McCain in Minnesota. But a Minneapolis-St.Paul Star Tribune poll released Sunday suggests the race is tied, with each candidate getting the support of 45 percent of Minnesota voters questioned in the survey. The poll was conducted entirely after the end of the Republican National Convention, which was held in St. Paul, Minnesota.

"Events are moving so quickly in the presidential race that polls taken before the Republican convention probably aren't accurate reflections of what is going on in swing states today," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "The pace of the campaign means that we may see more shifts, in either direction, in states like Minnesota."

The CNN Electoral Map takes into account a number of factors, including the most recent state polls, voting trends, and campaign ad spending and events in the particular states.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (186 Responses)
  1. Helene

    People in Minnesota should also know that Palin is now requesting earmarks for an....airport to nowhere. Yes, $4.5 millions for an airport to an island whose population is less than 100. Here we go again. Lies, lies, lies. The ticket McCain/Palin is going to lead us to catastrophy !

    September 15, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  2. Johanna not voting GOP

    How is that possible. Obama won Minn. in a landslide against Clinton in the primaries – open primaries. McCain's numbers in the primary didn't come close.

    September 15, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  3. Cindy

    The spread will change again-- Who in the world would support these liars who know nothing about the economy or foreign affairs!!!!

    McCain/Plain- liars!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    September 15, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |

    Should McCain Palin win this election, America will only have themselves to blame for the economy and our country's state of
    affairs with the war. and more wars and more of the same. and then
    some. exporting JOBS and NO entitilements

    September 15, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  5. Lee from FL

    Are Americans dumb enough to vote another republican in?
    i honestly think they are!

    September 15, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |

    O B A M A,,,,,,,,,C A M P A I G N,,,,,,F U N D A M E N T A L L Y,,,,,, S O U N D,

    O N E,,,,,,,,,W A Y,,,,,,,,,T I C K E T,,,,,,,,,I N T O,,,,,,,,T O I L E T T E

    September 15, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  7. Vincent

    I want to know the PRESIDENTAL Candidates stance on the issues, not the gender of the VP choice.

    Enough of the fluff already, ENOUGH already. We are electing PRESIDENT not secondary Prom King and Queen.

    September 15, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  8. Matt

    President McCain and Vice President Palin!!

    Another step toward a crucial reality this country most definitely needs.

    McCain-Palin '08!!!!!!!!!!!!

    September 15, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  9. Tammy

    It's getting tight...I really can't get a read on where this is going. I think the first debate is going to be when McCain either loses his lead or solidifies it....

    I don't think the negative ads of either campaign are helping....I suggest they both stop and save their money for other efforts.

    September 15, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  10. Ms. White

    electoral votes are the only votes that count at this stage of the race...but with McShame stating this morning in Fl. that the economy is strong...let see what the polls results are next week.

    September 15, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  11. Paula

    Before you cast an emotional vote for MacCain, consider the ramifications:
    Stem Cell research will again be delayed as the rest of the world surges ahead of us in the realm of science and technology. Most Americans will someday regret that as they watch a child die needlessly of a curable disease or a parent slip into the fog of alzheimers. How much longer will we be held in the grip of an ANTI-SCIENCE administration.
    HOw much time was wasted as Bush/MacCain denied the very existence of global warming and fired scientists who disagreed?
    The rest of the world is again ahead of us as countries as poor as India have banned plastic bags?
    Please vote for our future!


    September 15, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  12. neilford

    Does Palin actually have anything to say? She has been trumpeting the same tired lines since the republican convention. She is like a rock star with only one song to sing and it is getting old.

    September 15, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  13. ANGIE


    September 15, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  14. GIGI IN LA

    G O ,,,,,,,,,,,M C C A I N,,,,,,,,,,,,,P A L I N,,,,,,,,,,G O,,,,,,,,,G O,,,,,,,,,,G O,,,,,,, G O

    September 15, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  15. Bayou Joe

    The American people have awaken and now realize that we cannot have our country in the hands of a man with no experience and with questionable connections to our enemies.
    This election is over for Obama and his Socialist friends.

    September 15, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  16. Rich in Seattle

    What the heck is wrong with this country! Are we really this gullable and nieve?

    Is America really that far removed from reality that we will elect McCain and Palin!?!?

    September 15, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  17. PA Independent

    There's a reason why convention "bounces" are called just that. Like a bouncing ball, they go up and then down. For proof of just where McCain is heading, see his remarks on the economy elsewhere on the Ticker. No American voter with two brain cells to rub together and make a spark who is concerned about the economic future of our nation will vote for McCain once they hear him talk about the economy. And there will be plenty more where that came from!

    September 15, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  18. Chris

    "Honor comes with Honesty"... a quote from Gov. Kathleen Sebelius this morning rings true. When McCain deliberately misleads us, he discraces himself and he should be shamed for believing his handlers in thinking that this is the way to run a campaign, much less the presidency.

    September 15, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  19. Capablanca

    With Obama's thin resume/record of reform, I'm not that surprised. Obama voted along party lines nearly 100% of the time. That's opposite of what he claims to do as president. Smart people look at the record. Congress with the democratic majority did nothing to prevent this financial crisis.

    September 15, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  20. rusty

    Why don't cnn change the map to reflect ALL the changes in the electoral college as all the other networks have ?

    I think i know why, cnn is biased and does not want to show that Obama is actually behind in the electoral college.

    September 15, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  21. Joe Green

    It doesn't help that the Democratic Party in Minnesota put up a lame homphobic comedian from Saturaday Night live against a popular and serious Republican, Norm Coleman, in the Senate Race.

    Minnesotans have to wonder if the Democratic Party is a joke itself, or merely the party of the "novelty candidates".

    Which is too bad, because while the McCain of 2000 would be an excellent President, the McCain of 2008 has apparently gone over to the dark side of the force.

    Obama '08 – by default.

    September 15, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  22. No it isn't CNN...

    CNN is like a pusher... keep on feeding and fueling the hype...we know that's what keeps you in business.

    It's all Obama...if it wasn't for him, this election would be a bore and the world knows it.

    Obama/Biden 2008

    September 15, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  23. White Mother for Obama!!

    If American sides with McCain/Palin... its a world gone to dirt , People who are uneducated, lack of common sense, againt a black in office, no sensible judgement, who doesnt know a lie if it slapped them in the face, who cry about everything the Bush administration has done over the last few years... BUT cant stand taking a chance to see if someone else can make it better... they rather cry about it and stay in the quicksand we are in.

    Such Cowards.

    September 15, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  24. Chris

    Just waiting for Election Day...

    September 15, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  25. Rich

    Where can one view this map? I found the map entry from September 3, but not anything current.

    September 15, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
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