September 15th, 2008
12:45 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN Electoral Map: Minnesota now a toss-up

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="CNN now considers Minnesota a tossup state."](CNN) - As evidence of a tightening presidential race mounts, CNN is altering its Electoral Map, shifting Minnesota and its ten electoral votes from leaning towards Barack Obama to a toss up state.

With the shift of Minnesota, CNN now estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 233 electoral votes and John McCain 189. There are 116 electoral votes up for grabs; 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.

A CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted two weeks ago had Obama up 12 points over McCain in Minnesota. But a Minneapolis-St.Paul Star Tribune poll released Sunday suggests the race is tied, with each candidate getting the support of 45 percent of Minnesota voters questioned in the survey. The poll was conducted entirely after the end of the Republican National Convention, which was held in St. Paul, Minnesota.

"Events are moving so quickly in the presidential race that polls taken before the Republican convention probably aren't accurate reflections of what is going on in swing states today," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "The pace of the campaign means that we may see more shifts, in either direction, in states like Minnesota."

The CNN Electoral Map takes into account a number of factors, including the most recent state polls, voting trends, and campaign ad spending and events in the particular states.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (186 Responses)
  1. robert

    its okay it will go back to OBAMA

    September 15, 2008 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  2. cg

    Would somebody (anybody) tell that old Ed Rollins to GO TO SLEEP

    September 15, 2008 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  3. This is Sad

    I hope people will wake up!

    I've learned that Obama is a patient man...he is not quick to rush in the last two weeks he has shown just who he is...he knows he does not have to switch up his platform to compete with all of the attention Mcsame is getting...he is staying focused, and consistant with what he has been saying since the start of this campaign...and his patience has just delivered what he has been waiting for...McSame to hang himself...That's the type of man I want for President!

    Good to see Obama/Biden...Focused and on Message...Keep it up, and we've got your back!

    September 15, 2008 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  4. pat

    The good voters of Minnesota know who they will vote for; McCain/Palin. Mr. O, his cult of followers, and the donkey train of celebrities including Matt Dumon and poor lil rich girl O, will have more time to concentrate on their celebrity and vanities after the election is strongly lost by Obama. McCain/Palin 08.

    September 15, 2008 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  5. Zion

    I'm not worried about Minnesota. Sorry.

    September 15, 2008 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  6. NoMccain

    As time progresses, people are beginning to realize how incapable Mccain really is. Therefore, EVERY State in the Union is a "toss-up."

    September 15, 2008 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  7. Lee-- Dallas, TX

    McCain you are so foolish. US economic fundamentals are not 'strong'. Where have you been for the past year? Oh– In one of your seven-ten houses; depending on what the definition of house is. You sir are a moronic, incompetent republican puppet, a dwindling shadow of your former self.

    September 15, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  8. Paul

    Polls mean nothing.....too funny!! They only mean nothing to the Obamabots when they show BHO losing ground. Otherwise they are true and there is no need to even hold the election. Nice try but still going down....way, way down!!!

    September 15, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  9. P O O P I E

    O B A M A---G O I N G-–I N T O--I N T E N S I V E--–C A R E

    September 15, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |

    American voters,
    Please use your own good judgment and not what's given to us by the media. Use resources like to get the real information on the candidates and the issues that are affecting this country.
    Make the informed and responsible vote- no more denial of the issues!
    Obama/Biden 08

    September 15, 2008 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  11. JusLaugh

    Do you make these things up, CNN? Because I don't believe you.

    How could that possibly be considering what a trainwreck this country is heading for with McCain/Palin steering it?

    95% of people on these blogs are for Obama. 95% of the people on every blog is for Obama...Leads me to believe that either someone is cooking the books, or polling only registered republicans.

    September 15, 2008 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  12. willow, MI

    McCain lies, lies, lies. Why would anyone like to be lied to? The fool is leading the fools... Shame!

    September 15, 2008 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  13. troy

    I know for the Democrats bad news is the only news but can anyone honestly say that our economy is NOT strong. With all the chaos on wall street has anyone noticed the malls are full, the movies are full, beaches are full, etc. You would never know there was another "great depression" (according to Democrats) by looking around. Is there major problems yes, but to say the economy is strong is correct as most economies would have collapsed by now under the same circumstances.

    September 15, 2008 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  14. Go Sarah!

    Quote: WHILE campaigning in public for a speedy withdrawal of US troops from Iraq, Sen. Barack Obama has tried in private to persuade Iraqi leaders to delay an agreement on a draw-down of the American military presence.

    According to Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari, Obama made his demand for delay a key theme of his discussions with Iraqi leaders in Baghdad in July.

    "He asked why we were not prepared to delay an agreement until after the US elections and the formation of a new administration in Washington," Zebari said in an interview. " Unquote.

    September 15, 2008 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  15. Larry

    Every time I look at cnn it has the lying evil "Palin the Alien" And "John demented rage Mc-insane" with there lying stories about change. "The wealthy can believe in" and almost nothing about Obama ,Biden, and the true issues they want to truthfully let America decide who is actually "Honest". The wealthy Lobbyist that finance Mc-insane …or average people that donate there hard earned money to Obama…This is not rocket science…What is CNN Afraid of…???

    September 15, 2008 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  16. lol

    america is finally waking up to the sham obama! mccain/palin 08, hillary 2012!

    September 15, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  17. rumpusgoopus

    One poll, an outlier, but also with the temporary McCain bump, and CNN changes it to toss-up. You guys really have no clue, do you?

    September 15, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  18. MN Indy

    I don't buy it. Working in Minneapolis I know more people jumping on the Obama team every day. You can't drive down the road without seeing 10 Obama signs for every 1 McCain sign. I'm guessing that the poll was unevenly weighted to rural MN. They love their hockey there. But leave it to the educated portion of this state to make the final decision in Nov. like it has every other election. MN stays blue.

    September 15, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  19. Rolls

    "Are Americans dumb enough to vote another republican in?"

    September 15, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  20. Tony

    RealClearPolitics revealed much earlier that Minnesota was a toss up. I guess CNN wanted to see if they could manipulate their "Poll of polls" to make it look like Minnesota was still leaning Obama.

    September 15, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  21. NoMoreEvil

    Who is voting for the Mccains???????? Seriously who ever it is, please seek mental help immediately...You have lost your mind.

    September 15, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  22. Casual Observer

    Here's how the VP Debate will go –

    Moderator: Sen Biden, please give us examples of your foreign policy experience.

    Biden: I'm a long-time member and current Chairman of Senate Foreign Relations Committee; worked on resolutions concerning the Yoguslav and Iraq wars...

    Moderator: Gov Palin, same question.

    Palin: Well, I see Russia whenever I BBQ on my patio

    September 15, 2008 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  23. Larry Kincaid

    Palin is this year's "Neocon Nod Person" – coined by Justin Raimondo of What a perfect title. We all think she has no experience, but that is perfect for the neocon nod person. Another Bush, but even prettier. Seems Karl Rove et al are putting lot of lipstick on this pig. Obama will win easy.

    September 15, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |

    I hope...... Well who cares. I live in Alabama. I am so concerned about our own good "ole' boys wanting to vote For that old geezer and his young cheerleader that I can care less about the great Nouth(ha ha). But seriously, I hope that Northen States, Eastern, Western and most defiantly the DIRTY SOUTH come together and vote OBAMA ON 11/4/08!!!!!!!

    September 15, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  25. Tim

    This just in.... Biden to forego spending healthcare flex spending dollars on more hairplugs, will divert funds to ego transplant. His old ego is not doing so well and is on it's last legs.

    September 15, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8