September 15th, 2008
12:45 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN Electoral Map: Minnesota now a toss-up

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="CNN now considers Minnesota a tossup state."](CNN) - As evidence of a tightening presidential race mounts, CNN is altering its Electoral Map, shifting Minnesota and its ten electoral votes from leaning towards Barack Obama to a toss up state.

With the shift of Minnesota, CNN now estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 233 electoral votes and John McCain 189. There are 116 electoral votes up for grabs; 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.

A CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted two weeks ago had Obama up 12 points over McCain in Minnesota. But a Minneapolis-St.Paul Star Tribune poll released Sunday suggests the race is tied, with each candidate getting the support of 45 percent of Minnesota voters questioned in the survey. The poll was conducted entirely after the end of the Republican National Convention, which was held in St. Paul, Minnesota.

"Events are moving so quickly in the presidential race that polls taken before the Republican convention probably aren't accurate reflections of what is going on in swing states today," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "The pace of the campaign means that we may see more shifts, in either direction, in states like Minnesota."

The CNN Electoral Map takes into account a number of factors, including the most recent state polls, voting trends, and campaign ad spending and events in the particular states.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Minnesota
soundoff (186 Responses)
  1. Diane


    LISTEN to the policies of these two, they are step by step in line with Bush.
    Since most of these entries into CNN Blogland are Pro-Obama, what all you PRO OBAMA people have to do is talk to your relatives in the south and in the heartland. You are just preaching to the choir here, and if we don't act it will be 4 more years of the same.

    AND where is the student activism? The destruction of the Bush/ McCain policies will land in their laps!

    September 15, 2008 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  2. Tammy

    McCain made a vow to his first wife and then cheated, now he wants America to trust him. Sorry pal, you that dog doesn't hunt in Minnesota.

    September 15, 2008 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  3. Baze

    blah, blah, blah. More silliness on behalf of desperate G.O.P. calling their local support to cast B.S.


    September 15, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  4. a real patriot

    Here's something no one is considering. about 90% of young voters are for Obama, we know that for a fact.
    Well, most of these people have cell phones and thus, are not polled.

    September 15, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  5. Piss down my back and tell me it is raining

    I voted for the VERY BEST...

    I voted for Hillary when it wasn't the cool thing to do.

    I did not resort to low blows- filth and vulgar attacks on fellow Americans. I did not race-bait or play gender games or hate on my fellow Americans for exercising their right to vote.

    My conscience is clear.

    Time to pay the piper for the gross meanness of the Obama campaign.

    September 15, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  6. McCain for Pres.

    If the fundamentals of our economy are not still stromg, where are all you people getting the money to support Obama???? Obama who made $4,000,000 dollars last year alone.

    September 15, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  7. Joe in MN

    Minnesota will go's just that everyone uses cell phones so all the polls are bunk.

    Obama/Biden 08'

    September 15, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  8. Open Your 3rd Eye



    September 15, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  9. DisappointedFromMinnesota

    I live in Minnesota I am ashamed if Mccain wins Minnesota I am leaving this stupid state for good, people call this state minnesota nice but nice no more a lot of red neck people here, Bigotry is high in Minnesota. Minnesota state Voted Democrat for years why change now, most people here are not willing to vote for a black candidate a lot of narrow minded people here in minnesota.

    September 15, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  10. sal

    Gov. It is ok not being a puppet any longer, You are not the VP. LOL

    Romney is next in line, after a early change likely, more new from alaska pushing that direction.

    Yes we will

    Obama Biden

    No to, yes I 'll say anything to get elected, Mccain.

    Romeny was GOP best choice for P/VP

    September 15, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  11. Illinois Blue Dog

    Tony from Boston – you are smoking crack. McCain stands about as much chance of winning New York as the Pirates do of winning the World Series this year. Yes, the latest Siena poll from NY has Obama up only 5 points. However, that same poll had Obama up only 8 points in August, while Rasmussen and Quinnipiac had him up 19 and 21 points in August. Wait for a more reliable NY poll to come out before you start getting all excited about the great Republican re-alignment of 2008.

    September 15, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  12. Christian for OBAMA

    I got rid of that plane.
    I put it on eBay.
    (no connection)

    I hate pedophiles.
    I'm voting for Obama.

    CNN, this is NO difference in her two statements and mine. But you continue to quote Palin...but not ME. WHY?

    September 15, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |


    September 15, 2008 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  14. MW

    I am thankful that the Electoral College poll from CNN shows Obama in the lead. Remember that none of these polls included Cell phones. Obama has attracted millions of young people that ONLY have cell phones. This is probably the first election that will have polls that are way off because of the CELL PHONE FACTOR. And remember that millions do not have land line phones anymore because they no longer have HOMES. And I am sure that most of those people are not too happy with Bush, so why would they vote for Bush #2.. The final voting results will be interesting this November. Bill Clinton just might be correct when he says that Obama will win with a landslide lead.

    September 15, 2008 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  15. proud army and navy mom

    John Mccain's cousin writes,

    I'm afraid he is long gone, replaced by a desperate version of himself who seems to contradict nearly everything he once stood for.

    September 15, 2008 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  16. Alice Newman Center Harbor NH

    One of the talk show callers asked the GOP representative about the relative education levels of the four national candidates.

    The GOP lady responded that the caller was "a snob" and only Democrats believed in education. Looking at the polls – if they are right – it looks like a true statement.

    I do not understand the attraction to McCain/Palin. The facts do not seem to sway those who are blindly loyal to what I could not say!

    McCain, brags about how little he knows about economics: his friend and adviser Phil Gramm is one of the architects of today's economic crises through deregulation.

    Look at the past 8 years. If McCain wanted change, he had his chance. McCain is part of the problem – not part of the solution.

    September 15, 2008 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  17. The Conservative

    Seriously, from all the comments I read in lots of blogs, it is obvious that these polls must be targetting old people who do not use computers and are sitting at home waiting for calls from pollsters on their land-lines. McBush is a total retard! From his campaign lies to his lack of understanding of the economy. He is a zombie from the past, here to haunt us! Even the current administration is clearly aligning itselve with Obama's foreign policy of using deplomacy where applicable. Where do they manufacture these numbers?

    Unless McBush agents are running these polls, they don't make sense!

    September 15, 2008 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  18. Alex

    Since when did CNN become McCain media? After McCain reject appearing on Larry King. They are twisting facts to please the senator. Way to go CNN!!! The people know what you stand for.

    September 15, 2008 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  19. glenn

    It is sad that a very intelligent state such as Minnesota could be swayed by the Hockey mom and snowmobile dad rhetoric. They will wise up soon.

    September 15, 2008 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  20. Mike, Syracuse NY

    neilford: "She is like a rock star with only one song to sing and it is getting old.'

    Just like Obama's 'hope and change' huh? At least Palin has run something besides her mouth.

    September 15, 2008 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  21. How do you like US now????

    Democrats engaged in intra-party racial division, mysogyny and Hillary hatred.

    The Obamabots called fellow democrats the nastiest of nasty names.

    The Obama camp was manipulative and race-baiting and propaganda based.

    The democratic party base was dismissed as old, ignorant, menopausal, hysterical and unneccessary: The very people who marched for civil rights, women's rights, against wars, and fought for Roe vs Wade- were mocked as ignorant, redneck morons.

    HOW DO YOU LIKE US NOW?????????????????????

    September 15, 2008 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  22. Tales From The McCrypt

    Wait til Grandpa Munster and Cruella have to explain their stances on the issues during debates

    September 15, 2008 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  23. Amy

    I'm from Minnesota and I know of literally only one person voting McCain. Even my (stupid) family members who have voted GOP the last couple elections are voting Obama this year. I have no idea who they are polling but I can't believe those polls results are accurate. Two weeks ago Obama was ahead by 12 points and now it's tied? I don't think so.

    September 15, 2008 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  24. Obama/Biden

    CNN for Palin 08-12, Fox News for palin 08-12

    September 15, 2008 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  25. Brian Rich

    Minnesota went for both Mondale and Dukakis against Reagan. There's no way they're going for Mr. War Monger himself. Minnesotans are intelligent, hard-working people who are socially moderate, unlike the radical Palin/McCain ticket. Obama knows midwest values. McCain knows D.C. and lobbyist values. Make the choice, eh?

    September 15, 2008 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
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