September 18th, 2008
10:50 AM ET
12 years ago

CNN POLL OF POLLS: Obama up by 2

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="Obama is gaining in national polls."]

(CNN) - Barack Obama appears to be regaining his summer edge over John McCain according to the latest CNN poll of polls, which shows a swing of four points in the Illinois senator's favor in just over a week.

With less than seven weeks remaining until voters weigh in at the polls, Obama now holds a 2 point lead over McCain (47 percent to 45 percent), according to CNN's average of several recent national polls. Eight percent still remain undecided.

The latest polls also suggest Obama again holds the slim but clear advantage he held in August before both parties' conventions - one month ago, Obama held the same 2 point margin over McCain.

Election Center: Track CNN's poll of polls

The Illinois senator increased that lead following his own convention, but saw it disappear entirely after McCain tapped Sarah Palin as his running mate and Republicans emerged energized from their convention in early September: In a CNN poll of polls taken 10 days ago, The McCain-Palin ticket held a 2 point advantage over its Democratic counterpart.

The poll of polls consists of six recent surveys: CBS/NYT (September 12-16), Quinnipiac (September 11-16), IPSOS-McClatchy (September 11-15), Gallup (September 14-16), Diageo/Hotline (September 14-16), and American Research Group (September 13-15).

It does not have a sampling error.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (257 Responses)
  1. Michigan Voter

    It should be more than that, at least 15 points.

    With the economy like it is it should be a no brainer.

    September 18, 2008 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  2. Pete


    You beat me to my comment!

    With the love of money in this country (which, by the way Sarah and John, is considered a sin), people vote with their pocketbooks.

    Imagine if we had to pay the taxes and make the sacrifices of the American people during WWII...we would not have gone into Iraq in the first place.

    So I'm going to repeat Joshua's comment – It's the economy, stupid!

    September 18, 2008 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  3. Bill Stapp

    This is good news. I wasn't looking forward to going to war with Russia.

    September 18, 2008 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  4. inat

    lol – funny how "its just a poll" and "they don't call cell phone users" when McCain leads and when obama leads its "finally, people are seeing the light"

    you paid bloggers are too funny 🙂

    September 18, 2008 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  5. Pat

    Thank you, Jesus!!

    September 18, 2008 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  6. Mike

    Wow, it takes a stock market crash to get voters to think about our ruined economy. Instead of thinking about beauty contestants skinning a moose.

    September 18, 2008 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  7. citizenABC

    I am seeing a REAL desperateness in everyone I know. We all know this is OUR election - OUR future - OUR country.

    McCain / Palin - represent EXACTLY WHY this happened on Wall Street.

    PLEASE URGE EVERY MAN, WOMAN and TEEN TO GET OUT THE VOTE. These are scarey times, unprecentented.

    Obama / Biden 08

    September 18, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  8. carolflowery

    thanks to the bashing that has been relentless agains Sarah Palin, I thought the dems did a pretty good job of trashing HIllary, but they were just getting started it appears. Then again, the cnn polls are tainted anyway if it's the only station you listen to.

    September 18, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  9. jm for sc

    It amazes me to hear people say Palin has more experience than Obama. The funny thing is when people are ask about her accomplishments, they can't come up with anything important that she has done.

    I don't know if the polls are right, but everybody I talk to in SC is all about Obama. Yes, even some hard cold republicans have decided that McCain is wrong for this country.

    Obama/Biden 08 by a landslide.

    September 18, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  10. Mary, VA

    I think the Palin pilot light is slowly going out.

    Obama/Biden 08

    September 18, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  11. Jay Washington, D.C.

    Obama got his convention bumb. Then McCain got his. Now the real race begins. Obama has definitely been on the offese since Sept. 12.

    September 18, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  12. Election Watcher

    If Obama can't decide how he feels about the AIG bailout, then I can't decide to vote for him.
    "O" = the BIG zero

    September 18, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  13. tupto

    I heard they were polling more republicans. I also wonder who they are polling. Though I am a republican I do have a brain and will not be voting for McPalin.

    September 18, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  14. Maggie Muggins From Selwyn

    American citizens are kept in the dark and treated like mushrooms by the main stream news medias. Don't believe me then try blogging some true facts about the Keating 5 as well as Palin refusing to co-operate on the abuse of power investigation and the GOP denying the legal obligation of having to testify when subpeoned.

    September 18, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  15. Mike

    i remember the same polls came out about Bush and Kerry . .Kerry was leading . . then on election day . . Bush had the most popular votes in history ! . .

    The Republican base will come out in full force and put McCain and Palin well over the top

    McCain Palin 08

    September 18, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  16. nancy motyka

    People are finally coming to their senses and seeing the light. The "pitbull" star will be fading soon and it will be the dawning of the age of a new nation under Obama and Biden.

    September 18, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  17. carol

    I live in NC and I can't believe that they say the polls are 1 point ahead for McCain All you hear here is Obama. Everyone here is marketing for him and has signs in their yards for him. No one has called me for a polling. The polls are wrong. This man is dominating the election. Mc/Palin are nothing but money people. I still can't get over the fact that Cindy had an outfit on that cost over 300K Hell that is enought to feed my family for a year, pay my car off, pay my house off, pay for my daughters year in college. So who are the Elitist here.

    Wake up people, I am a small business owner with 3 others and we are struggling to t stay afloat because of the capital gains tax. Sure I would love for Obama to get in to lower this for small business.

    September 18, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  18. Independent in DC

    Republicans in denial about their joke of a VP. Palin effect is over. Shine came off. If you think the debates are gonna help McCain or Palin you're in for a rude awakening. When it's all said and done

    Obama 311
    McCain 227

    Mark my words...this election won't be close

    September 18, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  19. Jason

    And why this still isn't a landslide completely baffles me.
    5% of America is the rich yet somehow 50% have been conned into voting McCain? They need to stop reading and believing all their email forwards.

    September 18, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  20. Chut Pata

    The vanishing charm of Miss Congeniality. The re-appearance of real life problems.

    September 18, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  21. DebM, Allentown, PA

    Please don't trust the polls! We Obama supporters need to stay focused and push hard. I don't just want Obama to squeak by. I want him to win with a clear mandate so that our country has a definite direction. Keep getting the word out. Send letters to the editors of your local papers, talk to undecided voters, and keep pushing!

    September 18, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  22. que viva Chango

    From: Deepak Chopra | Posted: Friday, September 5th, 2008

    Sometimes politics has the uncanny effect of mirroring the national psyche even when nobody intended to do that. This is perfectly illustrated by the rousing effect that Gov. Sarah Palin had on the Republican convention in Minneapolis this week. On the surface, she outdoes former Vice President Dan Quayle as an unlikely choice, given her negligent parochial expertise in the complex affairs of governing. Her state of Alaska has less than 700,000 residents, which reduces the job of governor to the scale of running one-tenth of New York City. By comparison, Rudy Giuliani is a towering international figure. Palin's pluck has been admired, and her forthrightness, but her real appeal goes deeper.

    She is the reverse of Barack Obama, in essence his shadow, deriding his idealism and exhorting p eople to obey their worst impulses. In psychological terms the shadow is that part of the psyche that hides out of sight, countering our aspirations, virtue, and vision with qualities we are ashamed to face: anger, fear, revenge, violence, selfishness, and suspicion of "the other." For millions of Americans, Obama triggers those feelings, but they don't want to express them. He is callin g for us to reach for our higher selves, and frankly, that stirs up hidden reactions of an unsavory kind. (Just to be perfectly clear, I am not making a verbal play out of the fact that Sen. Obama is black. The shadow is a metaphor widely in use before his arrival on the scene.)

    I recognize that psychological analysis of politics is usually not welcome by the public, but I believe such a perspective can be helpful here to understand Palin's message. In her acceptance speech Gov. Palin sent a rousing call to those who want to celebrate their resistance to change and a higher vision .

    Look at what she stands for:

    –Small town values - a denial of America's global role, a return to petty, small-minded parochialism.

    –Ignorance of world affairs - a repudiation of the need to repair America's image abroad.

    –Family values - a code for walling out anybody who makes a claim for social justice. Such strangers, being outside the family, don't need to be heeded.

    –Rigid stands on guns and abortion - a scornful repudiation that these issues can be negotiated with those who disagree.

    –Patriotism - the usual fallback in a failed war.

    –"Reform" - an italicized term, since in addition to cleaning out corruption and excessive spending, one also throws out anyone who doesn't fit your ideology.

    Palin reinforces the overall message of the reactionary right, which has been in play since 1980, that social justice is liberal-radical, that minorities and immigrants, being different from "us" pure American types, can be ignored, that progressivism takes too much effort and globalism is a foreign threat. The radical right marches under the banners of "I'm all right, Jack," and "Why change? Everything's
    OK as it is." The irony, of course, is that Gov. Palin is a woman
    and a reactionary at the same time. She can add mom to apple pie on her resume, while blithely reversing forty years of feminist progress. The irony is superficial; there are millions of women
    who stand on the side of conservatism, however obviously they
    are voting against their own good. The Republicans have won multiple national elections by raising shadow issues based on
    fear, rejection, hostility to change, and narrow-mindedness.

    Obama's call for higher ideals in politics can't be seen in a vacuum. The shadow is real; it was bound to respond. Not just conservatives possess a shadow - we all do. So what comes next is a contest between the two forces of progress and inertia. Will the shadow
    win again, or has its furtive appeal become exhausted? No one
    can predict. The best thing about Gov. Palin is that she brought
    this conflict to light, which makes the upcoming debate honest. It would be a shame to elect another Reagan, whose smiling persona was a stalking horse for the reactionary forces that have brought us to the demoralized state we are in. We deserve to see what=2 0we are getting, without disguise.

    September 18, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  23. Purple Nurple

    I support Obama, but poll dont me a darn thing. So what.....I'm waiting on the national poll on NOV 4th.

    September 18, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  24. Sarah

    Yes we can...Americans are smart enough not to be chaeted again by the GOP
    Obama/ Biden 08
    Obama/ Hillary 12
    Hillary/ ...............? 16 & 2020

    September 18, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  25. Mick

    This news are a relief. McCain and Palin may know where Russia is (just because Palin can see Russia from Alaska!), but seems like they do not know where Spain is. Anytime they are inquired about foreign affairs, they just go numb. Problem is, America needs to deal on its own domestic issues. That's why you need Spain, France, Germany, UK, Italy, all the western nation to cooperate with us on the international economic and military battlegrounds. Otherwise, we are just going to spend lots, lots of money abroad and forget that American people have a home!

    September 18, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
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