September 21st, 2008
12:48 PM ET
13 years ago

NEW POLLS: McCain, Obama locked in battlegrounds

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="McCain holds razor-thin leads in three battleground states."](CNN) - Barack Obama may have regained a more solid footing over John McCain in the national polls, but in the key battleground states where the race will likely be decided, the two presidential contenders could hardly be closer

With six weeks to go until Election Day, just released CNN poll of polls out of Florida and Ohio, as well as a new survey out of Missouri, suggest the race for the White House just may be headed for a photo finish.

In the new CNN Florida poll of polls, comprised of four recent surveys of the state, McCain holds a razor-thin 1-point lead, 47-46 percent. The Republican presidential nominee had held a healthier margin there for most of the summer, though Obama has aggressively targeted Sunshine State voters on the airwaves by a margin of more than eight to one when it comes to ad spending. CNN considers the state a "tossup" in its electoral map breakdown.

CNN Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral map

A new CNN poll of polls in Ohio also shows McCain with a 1-point margin (47-46 percent) in that key Midwestern state, which no Republican presidential aspirant has lost and gone on to win the White House. The Ohio poll of polls, consisting of three recent surveys, also shows more than 7 percent of Ohioans still have not made up their minds. The Buckeye state is considered a tossup in the CNN electoral map.

The CNN poll of polls in Florida and Ohio do not carry sampling errors.

A new Research 2000 poll out of Missouri was also released Sunday, showing McCain with a four point lead there (49-45 percent). The perennial bellwether state that has voted for the eventual winner in all but one presidential election since 1904 chose President Bush over John Kerry by a 6-point margin in 2004 and picked Bush over Al Gore by a 4-point margin in 2000. The Research 2000 poll, which carries a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, also shows 6 percent remain undecided there. CNN considers Missouri as leaning toward McCain in its electoral map.

Earlier: Obama holds small lead in Michigan

The latest CNN national poll of polls meanwhile shows Obama with a 3 point lead over McCain.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Florida • John McCain • Missouri • Ohio • Popular Posts
soundoff (239 Responses)
  1. EvenSteven88

    Look West to Colorado, folks. That's where this thing is going to be decided. Count on it

    September 21, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  2. The Nightingale Sings in Berkley Square

    Obama just can't help himself tell the truth. I think he is a liar. liar liar pants on fire.

    Here's the latest lie he is trying to spread.

    ": False. There is no basis for Obama to claim that "the millions" who rely on those benefits would be affected, or that anyone's nest egg would have "disappeared."

    Obama is wrong here as well as many other things. He is risky and scary and has a funny sounding name. Beware Obamabots.


    September 21, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  3. annie - former democrat

    Can't figure out why anyone in FL or MI would vote for obumer when he blocked Sen. Clinton every step of the way to keep their votes from counting.

    September 21, 2008 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |

    After the debates it should be interesting with the polls. I read where the Vice Presidential debates, will be shorter and less free form. Dipstick and Crew thinks it would make Lipstick look "too defensive"?

    As it should be, the choice of this airhead for VP is indeed, defending the indefensible!

    September 21, 2008 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  5. anyonmous

    i am so sick and tired of hearing ohio and floroda what about nevada and colorodo and oh yeah i am so sorry for not leating you do polls of polls national polls

    September 21, 2008 05:20 pm at 5:20 pm |
  6. will

    I pray that the people in Florida, Missouri, Ohio would know John McCain for who he really is and not for all the lies he tells. Vote for Barack Obama and you want vote wrong.

    McCain = no change

    Obama/Biden 2008

    September 21, 2008 05:22 pm at 5:22 pm |
  7. Maddie, Hartford, Ct.

    We can only pray that this nation will come to it's senses and elect a president who will steer us away from war. more talk of bloodshed, violence and death. This country can not take another four years of Republican leadship.

    September 21, 2008 05:23 pm at 5:23 pm |
  8. Mr Republican

    McCain can't win without the Ron Paul supporters.

    September 21, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  9. bk

    Since they have been doing fact check Obama has become quite the liar. Its about time the media stop pandering him.

    September 21, 2008 05:30 pm at 5:30 pm |
  10. calvincito

    How can merging different polls have any statistical significance?

    September 21, 2008 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  11. Bye Bye Obama;)

    Looks like Obama's celebrity status is fading. What a shame.

    Maybe President McCain will have a cabinet position for him or something.

    Too bad liberals. Ha Ha.

    September 21, 2008 05:48 pm at 5:48 pm |
  12. Willa-PA

    I have been home an hour from a trip and have heard Palin's schpeel on Obama's tax msg 3 x, in 1 hour, don't they have anything else to talk about...the republicans are the ones with the no regulations tactics who brought down this economic crisis...Obama should be up to 20 points...but, be cause he is black, he is not. Some people are still so racist that they can't vote for a half white/black man to be the best choice for this is sickening they are going to vote against their interrest...again...and will be the ones who will be ignored by the elite republicans...come blue collar people and independents...think about our and our children's futures.

    From a white middle aged woman...

    September 21, 2008 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  13. Kathy, RN

    Went to see Obama the crowds were HUGE! I could not even get close after standing in line for over 2 and half hours. However, in line at walking around I had the opportunity to speak with people. I have found that alot of Repblicans are making the right choice-Obama. Common themes were distrust of McAin and definitely Palin, business with the Bush whitehouse, why are the Palins above the law, was not the public told that Troopergate would be solved be Nov. 4th? Are they above the law? McCains too old and it is too scary to think of Sara flapper lips in the whitehouse with her husdand Todd calling the shots, way too scary for true Americans.
    Wished I could of seen the man-Obama. Obama is just what America needs. McCain = Bush. This election is the most important election of all Americans. It is my hope that Americans see through the McCain "I'll do anything to win plan" and "I want to White House and I really don't care who I have to walk over to get there". Obama/Biden 2008, make the right choice for all of America. Thank you and go vote!

    September 21, 2008 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  14. Sue in MI

    Missouri? If I remember correctly, the 2000 election was won by Al Gore, but awarded to GWB by the Supreme Court. The 2004 contest came down to faulty machines and voters turned away in Ohio. Had Kerry contested THAT, we might have finally had a fair election. Wonder what the Republicans have planned this time-oh, yeah, if your house is in foreclosure, you have no residence, thus no rights.

    Besides, after the debates it will become crystal clear who's full of hot air and who actually has a plan for this country. I lay odds that McCain and Palin will not answer one question that is asked without blaming Obama for something, and then, will not answer the question anyway. They have no answers. McCain obviously didn't listen to Barack's amazing economic speech this week. While John was busy blaming the whole thing on Obama, Obama was laying out plans. But then, who would expect Republicans to stick to the facts? Palin is a worse liar than McCain, but the Republicans think she's the cat's meow. America is not that dumb.

    I fail to understand the support for this woman who is obviously hiding behind executive privilege, and her husband, and who lied every other sentence in her acceptance speech, the one chance she had to make a positive first impression on people other than the sheep-like Republicans. She lost me when she claimed false credit for the bridge, and then when she got sarcastic about Barack's record. No Way, No How, No Palin.

    September 21, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
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