September 22nd, 2008
02:10 PM ET
12 years ago

CNN POLL OF POLLS: Obama ahead in crucial battlegrounds

Obama is ahead in two key states, according the latest CNN poll of polls.

Obama is ahead in two key states, according the latest CNN poll of polls.

(CNN) - Barack Obama holds leads in critical battleground states of Iowa and Pennsylvania with only six weeks remaining until Election Day, according to just released CNN poll of polls.

New surveys also released Monday suggest Obama and John McCain are locked in statistical ties in two other crucial swing states.

According to CNN's Iowa poll of polls, Obama holds a 7-point lead (50-43 percent) in the state that narrowly voted for President Bush in 2004 and gave a major boost to Obama's presidential fortunes earlier this year at the start of the primary season.

A poll of polls out of Pennsylvania shows the race there considerably tighter, with the Illinois senator - who lost handily to Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary there - holding a slim 3 point lead over McCain (47-44 percent).

Both the Iowa and Pennsylvania poll of polls consist of three recent surveys out of both states, and neither carries a margin of error.

In Minnesota, the site of the Republican convention earlier this month, a new American Research Group poll suggests the race there has tightened considerably, with Obama holding a 1-point lead (46-45 percent) that is well within the survey's 4 percent sampling error.

A new Suffolk University poll out of Nevada also suggests the race there is a dead heat, with McCain holding a 1-point lead (48-47 percent) that is again well within the poll's sampling error.

CNN considers both Iowa and Pennsylvania as "leaning Obama" in its electoral map breakdown ,while Minnesota and Nevada are considered tossup states.

soundoff (171 Responses)
  1. Phantom of the Oprah

    The candidate with no plans of his own but with loud criticism of others who have taken a stand and enunciated a plan is out ahead in the polls?

    I just do not understand the folly of Americans.

    Running on fear.

    September 22, 2008 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  2. Houston

    We must Vote obama because WE can'not let another Republican in Office to run this country in the ground we need new leadership and the only man to bring about true change is Obama/Biden

    September 22, 2008 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  3. David

    Watch the McCain group try to instill more fear. Ask yourself, why is it that his only campaign tactic involves trying to make people afraid of the opposition and not about what he would do?

    September 22, 2008 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  4. Ken in Dallas

    Republicans have, just in the past week, turned their backs on the laissez-faire capitalist philosophy they've stood for since Reagan, and are trying to pretend they never believed in anything they've done over the past thirty years. Have they become Socialists overnight, or are they just trying to rewrite the rules of the same game they've been playing all this time?

    If you trust a Republican after this about-face, about-face yourself and get ready to pretend to enjoy what they're gonna give you next.

    September 22, 2008 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  5. Paula

    After hearin Palin tell Chalie Gibson "We might have to go to war with Russia", I am VERY relieved to see people are seeing through the McCain BS and a vision of Nightmare in America.

    September 22, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  6. Amerika the beautiful

    I guess the person who criticizes the most and offers the LEAST by way of plans or solutions is KING in AmeriKa.

    September 22, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  7. Tristan

    Canada for Obama! He will not only change the United States. He will change the world!

    September 22, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  8. Janine

    Last time I checked Obama did come out with an economic plan and McCain is waiting to come out with his. I think some people are behind on current events.

    September 22, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |

    Yeah! We will go all the way to the White House. We will not be fooled this time – no! This time the stakes are too high.


    September 22, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  10. Kathryn - Gulfport, MS

    Obama is destined to become our next President of the United States of America!!! Obama in 2009!!!

    September 22, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  11. American in Europe


    OBAMA/BIDEN 2008

    September 22, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  12. Dr. Jay

    People are seeing John McCain fo who he really is. If you live in Ohio you should be appalled that John McCain was behind the DHL pull out. This man has caused more jobs to leave Ohio than any other candidate. He is about big business and money. I hope race does not blind the good people of Ohio. John McCain maybe white, but he is not the working man or woman's friend. DHL is just the beginning to what he will do to you.

    September 22, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  13. John McShame

    More of the same from John McShame

    John McLame says, “I don’t know much about the economy, I still need to be educated”

    “It would be acceptable if we had to stay in Iraq for another 100 years.”

    We need to “bomb, bomb, and bomb Iran”

    “I have voted with Bush 90% of the time because he has been right 90% of the time”

    Sarah Failin says,
    “I have foreign policy experience because you can see Russia from Alaska and I went to Mexico on vacation once.”

    “I welcome any investigation into my past because I have nothing to hide, oh never mind I will not meet with any investigators for any reason ever.”

    She believes the Bush Doctrine is a “World View” hahaha

    She says she said “No Thanks” for the Bridge to nowhere when she was actually the one who got it approved

    She says we may have to go to war WITH RUSSIA

    She decreased her own responsibilities when she was the mayor of a town small enough to be run by a fifth grader

    September 22, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  14. chrissy

    Obama has never run a business, a small town, a big town, a small state, a big state, an organization or a department. And he said his judgement alone makes him qualified to run the country on 60 minutes? hmmm, that's a stretch! oh and he also said he has good abilities to get people together and get things done..aka, bipartisanship for progress. hmmmm, now that's a biggie stretch! for a man who has ZERO record of working with the other party to get things done for the people and the country!

    September 22, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  15. what next

    How can this be?

    Obama has yet to voice any plans, solutions or suggestions.

    He is playing it safe while gutting everyone who is at least trying to come up with a solution.... and Americans are so desperate and scared that they are falling for a promise and a critique.

    DEMAND a plan- demand an outline of an actual solution.

    September 22, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  16. MaryanneAZ

    When one looks at the ground game and outreach of the two campaigns, coupled with the enthusiasm for the person at the top of the ticket, Obama has this race in a landslide. I do not believe that the polls are capturing the real state of the race by any measure. I think that the pollsters are intentionally skewing the results to keep the race percentages close. They also tend to poll people who are more likely to lean Republican (older folks who answer their phone in the evening and are not cell phone only people). We saw during the primaries that the polls were entirely wrong on several occasions. I put my money on the best candidate and say Obama will win the election by a landslide. Responsible citizens realize that we cannot have another Republican administration and expect different results no matter how hard McCain tries to distance himself from his own Party. It is just not believeable and will not win votes. A republican is a republican no matter what cloak he tries to cover himself with and we all know it.

    September 22, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  17. McNothing

    enomisa – you know not what you talk about.

    Last week, while McCain said the economy was sound, Obama reiterated AGAIN his 6 point plan to fix the economy.

    Maybe you should read about it before you make such a stupid comment!

    September 22, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  18. undecided voter

    NOBAMA!! No experience, No vote. This woman is all for
    McCain / Palin '08

    Previous Hilary supporter!!

    September 22, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  19. Maggie Muggins From Selwyn

    Just to get away from the election fray for a different type of thought. Being Canadian and an astute observer of both Canadian and American politics I am arriving at the following conclusion:

    In Canada most conservative voters are the less educated and more marginalized people except of course for the very wealthy and elite who also make up this same ideology. This is a funny trend for the marginalized as the conservative policies are the most detrimental to their situations as a whole.

    After observing the polling and commentaries in the U.S. electorate it appears to me that the same trend applies here as well.

    It would be interesting to see what type of comments will come from my observations whether people think I am off base or on the mark.

    September 22, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  20. BM

    I've only owned thirteen cars in my life and I am a babyboomer! This man can and will not care about the average american. Why is it no one mentions his first wife? I wonder if she even owns a car.

    September 22, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  21. Ex-Republican for Obama

    The country will come to find out that the only experience that either McCain or Palin have is in taking the solutions offered by Obama and copying them.

    It is unfortunate to see two people, so utterly incompetent, completely corrupt and historically failures running for the top two positions in our country. It's a mockery of what America stands for. Endorsing a socialist government, in which we give hand outs to big business while screwing the citizens out of their tax dollars is a failed policy.

    It's time we wake up and see McCain for what he really is...simply a POW, and nothing else.

    Obama/Biden '08

    ps: turn your states blue...the time is now...we are the ones that must do it.

    September 22, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  22. Brian G, Sugar Land, TX

    I knew that Palin nonsense wouldn't last. She gives me a sense of insincerity. Polished speaker, but too much like a candidate for prom queen for my taste. Time for her to give it up with that cheerleader twinkle thingee.

    September 22, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  23. sf

    Unfortunately, a 3-point lead or smaller in most polls for Obama probably falls outside of the margin of error.

    This favors McCain because of racism in this nation and the cowards who are afraid to be up front about not intending to vote for a man just because of the color of his skin, thus skewing the value of the poll numbers.

    This is one of those times that I hope the MSM is dead wrong and there are far fewer ignorant Americans who would rather elect Dumb and Dumber in office than an articulate man who has exemplfied his vision for this nation with uncanny foresight just because his father was a black man.

    I truly fear for our nation

    September 22, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  24. Hillary Democrat

    CHANGE WE NEED. McCain/Palin NOW!!!! We do not need a crook like OBAMA and the Chicago Mafia running the White House. Current uncertain times we need experience not a community organizer. McCain in 2008 Hillary in 2012

    September 22, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  25. Becky

    Vote on the ISSUES not on "personalities". What direction do you want America to go? More of the same with McBush? McCain voted 90% of the time with Bush, and at the Eleventh Hour try to convince us that he's different than Bush is hoping that us Americans are fools. Are we fools? November 4th will decide that. The world is watching.

    September 22, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
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