September 22nd, 2008
02:10 PM ET
12 years ago

CNN POLL OF POLLS: Obama ahead in crucial battlegrounds

Obama is ahead in two key states, according the latest CNN poll of polls.

Obama is ahead in two key states, according the latest CNN poll of polls.

(CNN) - Barack Obama holds leads in critical battleground states of Iowa and Pennsylvania with only six weeks remaining until Election Day, according to just released CNN poll of polls.

New surveys also released Monday suggest Obama and John McCain are locked in statistical ties in two other crucial swing states.

According to CNN's Iowa poll of polls, Obama holds a 7-point lead (50-43 percent) in the state that narrowly voted for President Bush in 2004 and gave a major boost to Obama's presidential fortunes earlier this year at the start of the primary season.

A poll of polls out of Pennsylvania shows the race there considerably tighter, with the Illinois senator - who lost handily to Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary there - holding a slim 3 point lead over McCain (47-44 percent).

Both the Iowa and Pennsylvania poll of polls consist of three recent surveys out of both states, and neither carries a margin of error.

In Minnesota, the site of the Republican convention earlier this month, a new American Research Group poll suggests the race there has tightened considerably, with Obama holding a 1-point lead (46-45 percent) that is well within the survey's 4 percent sampling error.

A new Suffolk University poll out of Nevada also suggests the race there is a dead heat, with McCain holding a 1-point lead (48-47 percent) that is again well within the poll's sampling error.

CNN considers both Iowa and Pennsylvania as "leaning Obama" in its electoral map breakdown ,while Minnesota and Nevada are considered tossup states.

soundoff (171 Responses)
  1. adem

    New POLL

    MCain trailed Obama by 12 cars in,MN, and by 6 houses in, OH.

    with zero margine of error

    September 22, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  2. Realistic

    Attention Dem Bloggers: No one cares anymore if you blame racism on Obama's loss. That excuse is getting old and no one cares anymore! If this country is so racist, Obama wouldn't be running for President period! When he loses, he will lose for a huge variety of reasons. Never have we had a candidate with such small credentials. Obama wouldn't even get past the first interview if he were attempting to get a job. This inconsequential resume along with his nasty friends and colleagues is what will cost Obama the race along with his hate filled fans.

    September 22, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  3. OHIO for Obama/Biden

    I couldnt believe any better the lady that said Mcacain and Palin cant run a corporation cos its obvious. Cant keep one opinion on the crisis. Flip flopping and blaming Obama for not saying anything. Smart people think deeply b4 jumping to conclusion.

    September 22, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  4. Brian

    Someone wake up McCain and remind him he is the Republican candidate,not Obama. After three decades in Washington, 90% concordance with Bush votes, he can hardly blame Obama for the Republican mess.
    And by the way, he needs a new verb, like encourage or lead or talk or negotiate or advise or plan or ... something other than 'fight' all the time.

    September 22, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  5. McCain 286 - Obama 252

    Anyone who says landslide (on either side) is delusional. It will be one close state to decide it. McCain just needs to hold Bush states (minus Iowa) which he is in position to do. If he loses two more (New Mexico and Colorado?) he just needs to pick up a Kerry State. Seen the polls in Minnesota, Michigan or Pennsylvania lately? All three VERY close.

    Obama is going to lose 3-5 percent from the polls due to black candidates polling higher than reality. Don’t you libs remember the primaries…Obama constantly finished under the poll numbers.

    September 22, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  6. John

    After all this trauma on ECONOMY if still some people think about voting Mccain, then I fell sorry for them. How many years of your life you want to loss with people like Bush. Shame on those so called republican. Stand up for the future of our next generation.

    September 22, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  7. diana

    At least McCain said he feels unconfortable about having only one man in charge of all that money and wants someone to oversee him to make sure the money goes out where it should Obmaha will comment later when he knows what the congress is going to do I guess... we dont need someone who cant stand on his own two feet we need someone who can come up with a solution....saying present doesnt cut it.....what doesnt he get about saying everyone said hes just a talker not a doer McCain/Palin

    September 22, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  8. Carol

    Title on web page Chicago machine blasted has nothing to do with story. Who set the title???? Can he read??????

    September 22, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  9. dennis from chicago

    COMING TO A THEATER NEAR YOU.... it out....OBAMA HAS TO PRACTICE UP ON HIS FOREIGN POLICY EXPERIENCE... he has a proxy sitting in for MC CAIN so IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO ESCAPE THIS DEBATE THIS FRIDAY........ let freedom ring NO TELEPROMPTER . JUST FACTS... can't wait to see that one valid birth certificate........still waiting

    September 22, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  10. Jon

    The only way to make sure the election isn't fixed is to have overwhelming voter turnout.

    Though even still the GOP can pull Miami-Dade dirty tricks.

    September 22, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  11. Daniel va


    September 22, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  12. lil

    He leads even with all of the lies that mccain is telling.
    Just saw tucker bounds argue with factcheck about Obamas tax cuts
    I am beginning to believe that they actually believe their own lies.
    Iam still voting for the green men because I dont see in black and
    white. I vote for my children and grandchildren and my family who dont
    have health care or child care. I vote for the future not the past of with
    all of it bias and hatefulness. mccain is scary and lies with a straight face even about his own policies and statements he has made.

    Obama/Biden 2008 the green men.

    September 22, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  13. Truth Hurts from Liberty Island ; )

    Woaw, is it that CNN finally recognizes the emmergency situation were in now, after last weeks financial fiasco ??
    It truly is about country first and the medias are waking up to the need of a true "Savior" no more of the same Old Marshall and his posse, who doesn't know how many houses he owns,
    how many cars he drives
    how many wars he's engaged in...Need i say more , huh ?

    CNN show me you can do it !

    September 22, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  14. LJ in MD

    For those that keep spouting BS about Obama not having a plan, you must also be computer illiterate like your erstwhile leader.
    Go to his website, do a little reading, pull up some of the speech excerpts and educate yourself at least a little before simply repeating talking points.
    Obama may not be the kind of person you like (for whatever reason you might have), but you must acknowledge that he is smart, has ideas, has plans and has real hope for this country. It is all right there – I dare all of you to get just a little smarter and better informed.

    September 22, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  15. Terry, Dallas Texas

    People keep saying that Obama should be scared because the Blue states are so close but should it not worry the McCain campaign that so many traditional Red states are so close? Virginia is a toss up? Do you know how long it has been Red? North Carolina and Indiana? Wow.

    September 22, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  16. Kelby from Houston, TX

    Lately, I have been mocking the POLL OF POLLS. Some of you might have seen it. It reads like a holy prayer being sent up to THE POLL OF POLLS I think that it is the only comment posted that requests the reader to read the comment out loud in a British accent.
    I would like to take this time to intellegently explain why I make fun of THE POLL OF POLLS.
    There was a time when who ever was leading in the polls is the one who won the election. That has not been the case since Bush. The polls had Gore winning and look what happened there. Ever since Bush, POLLS MEAN NOTHING. They have absolutely no more weight and they are not to be trusted.

    September 22, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  17. David, Silver Spring, MD

    The sad thing is that there is so much noise we can't hear the candidates speak. Millions and millions of dollars are being spent in this campaign in order to persuade the tiniest slice of the population that didn't have its mind already set in stone due to the silliest things: one guy is dark, the other guy is old; one guy got real estate advice from a crook; the other guy went on vacation several times with a big-time swindler.

    Most people not only made up their minds based on froth, they are willing (like "enormisa" 12:46 pm) to believe without understanding and convince others by resorting to falsely portraying the candidates.

    Please, folks, watch the debates with an open mind. Better yet, go to the Web sites and read the policy papers. You might learn something.

    September 22, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  18. Joseph, Los Angeles

    We need an honest President in the White House this time around. And after listening to both sides, must say, Obama/Biden are the better choice. It would be great for this country and the world if they win.

    I also agree with Dennis Kucinich; Wake Up America! I truly believe that the majority of Americans are coming out of this 8 year nightmare.

    September 22, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  19. President-elect Obama

    If Obama wins one of Ohio or Florida this is going to be landslide!

    September 22, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  20. Rudy NYC

    McCain supported and helped enact legislation in 1999 that deregulated much of the financial industry, which directly led to the Recession seen during the start of GWB's first term.

    McCain supported. and thank God failed, to enact legislation to privatize Social Security through investments on Wall Street. Celebrate, it failed.

    September 22, 2008 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  21. Sarah

    McSame will loose big...
    He is the dead of the senate finance committee and did nothing to prevent this financail mess...
    Now he lies, lies and lies...
    Too late McSame, you can try in 2012 if you're still alive

    September 22, 2008 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  22. Yellow Dog Democrat

    It is race to see if educated, well-informed people well outweigh the ignorant base of the Republican Party

    September 22, 2008 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  23. MD for Obama

    TO JUDE:

    You are right and I am tired of commentators sitting around saying "why can't he close the deal"? There are people out there who will not vote for a Black man under any circumstances but the commentators don't like to say this.

    September 22, 2008 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  24. Shari, NY

    My optimism for Sen. Obama will be guarded. The blue state of NY is begining to lose a little tint and I hope it will not continue to fade. There is a rumor going around that people whose homes are foreclosed; parents behind in child support, etc. are being dissuaded from registering by Republicans. This is unblievable.

    September 22, 2008 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  25. Native Minnesotan

    Pretty sure that Minnesota poll is crap. Most of the ones I've seen are for Obama by at least 7 points.
    If that state turns red, in this, of all elections, I think the entire earth will implode.

    September 22, 2008 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
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