September 22nd, 2008
02:10 PM ET
12 years ago

CNN POLL OF POLLS: Obama ahead in crucial battlegrounds

Obama is ahead in two key states, according the latest CNN poll of polls.

Obama is ahead in two key states, according the latest CNN poll of polls.

(CNN) - Barack Obama holds leads in critical battleground states of Iowa and Pennsylvania with only six weeks remaining until Election Day, according to just released CNN poll of polls.

New surveys also released Monday suggest Obama and John McCain are locked in statistical ties in two other crucial swing states.

According to CNN's Iowa poll of polls, Obama holds a 7-point lead (50-43 percent) in the state that narrowly voted for President Bush in 2004 and gave a major boost to Obama's presidential fortunes earlier this year at the start of the primary season.

A poll of polls out of Pennsylvania shows the race there considerably tighter, with the Illinois senator - who lost handily to Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary there - holding a slim 3 point lead over McCain (47-44 percent).

Both the Iowa and Pennsylvania poll of polls consist of three recent surveys out of both states, and neither carries a margin of error.

In Minnesota, the site of the Republican convention earlier this month, a new American Research Group poll suggests the race there has tightened considerably, with Obama holding a 1-point lead (46-45 percent) that is well within the survey's 4 percent sampling error.

A new Suffolk University poll out of Nevada also suggests the race there is a dead heat, with McCain holding a 1-point lead (48-47 percent) that is again well within the poll's sampling error.

CNN considers both Iowa and Pennsylvania as "leaning Obama" in its electoral map breakdown ,while Minnesota and Nevada are considered tossup states.

soundoff (171 Responses)
  1. David

    Obama got $125K from Fannie/ Freddie contributions.

    2 of his top aides are ex Fannie/Freddie CEO's and one made $90M
    in 2 years.

    In 2005, McCain co-sponsored a bill to reform Fannie/Freddie.
    It was voted down by the Democrats.

    Wonder why CNN doesn't want to report this?

    September 22, 2008 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  2. Stacy from Loudoun County, VA

    There is only one poll that matters: The final vote tally.

    Please exercise your right to vote in November and weigh the issues before you and how each candidate plans to address them. Look carefully at their voting history and consult fact checking web sites before you vote: Judge on their merit, not their skin color.

    September 22, 2008 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  3. Odie Koontzy

    It's funny to me how if Obama has a 3% margin over McCain it's a "slim" lead, but when McCain has a 3% margin over Obama, McCain is leading in the polls.

    September 22, 2008 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  4. Chuck

    The Democratic Congress is responsible for the economy.

    Now that a plan is in place to fix the problems, the Democrats wnat to add PORK in the form of social programs.

    Barack Obama is a socialist who believes that those who have worked hard ought to have to pay for social hand out programs for those who will not work.

    September 22, 2008 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  5. Walmart Momma for Obama

    Actually, Obama's economic plan is more thoroughly detailed than McCain's. Why don't you take a look at BOTH websites. I did. I want to make an INFORMED decision. I have a child who was born with a "pre-existing" condition. I would like to keep my employer subsidized healthcare. Thanks, but no thanks to John McCain and his healthcare plan to nowhere!!!

    September 22, 2008 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  6. Uncle Sam

    McCain is ahead in Ohio and Florida.
    As I recall, those are pretty important.

    September 22, 2008 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  7. fella from Chicago

    With 40% of the white population in this country viewing blacks as lazy and violent according to an AP poll just taken, Obama is going to win how? Whites will join in the conversation at the "cooler" with their mixed working peers and talk up Obama so as not to be viewed as small minded, tell the pollster they'll vote for Obama because they feel uncomfortable being perceived as a racist to this stranger on the phone, but when is all is said and done and they're in the privacy of the voting booth they'll vote for Senator McCain. In approximately the year 2050 it's projected that whites will no longer be in the majority in this country; at that time a black may want to try and run for the presidency. Not before.

    September 22, 2008 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  8. mmd

    This poll was posted at 12:37 wait until 1:37, and we will have a totally different one. Who is following these polls.

    September 22, 2008 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  9. Marie Ontario

    It seems like some of the main stream medias are getting a little nervous and starting to take their rolls in the future of America a little more serious. They are now reporting on some of the facts instead of gossip type commentary.

    Hopefully all the media will take their rolls in this election as a reflection on their concern for the future of the U.S. and keep reporting on the McCain/Palin lies and past failures and then the bulk of the population will get behind turning their country in the right direction for the future of themselves and their children.

    September 22, 2008 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  10. JD in NC

    I'd like to hear McCain explain the point at which he went from deregulator to pro-oversight. Especially since he wants to deregulate healthcare.

    September 22, 2008 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  11. Biff

    Decision Taker..

    you are either ill informed, or flat out lying.

    Obama presented a 6 point plan IMMEDIATELY after the crises began.

    you either don't know, or are CHOOSING not to know because you don't WANT to know anything from or about Obama.

    September 22, 2008 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  12. April Garlow

    Obama and the Democrats just don't get it! I don't believe the sky is falling–the best regulation is PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY– let these companies fail, I am confident someone else will step up and take their place, someone that has learned from their mistakes and knows if they screw up,the same will happen to them. For 15 years I took care of Mentally Retarded Adults, and even they were capable of understanding that for every action there is a consequence, and that they were ultimately responsible for their outcome.Why can't these highly educated, supposedly intelligent people get it?

    September 22, 2008 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  13. Rev Wright

    No problem we all know what happens when the teleprompter is not allowed at the debates. UM AH AH UM AH UM UMMMMM I would have to say that is above my pay grade.

    Hillary cleaned him up during the debates as well as McCain will.

    September 22, 2008 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  14. mj

    Obama is a thinking man and I believe his reaction to the financial crisis shows that he is not going to jump out and make comments until he has all the facts. Unlike McCain who says on Mon. that there is no crisis and then continues to flip flop all week or like Palin who actually says nothing that hasn't been scripted for her. And her foreign policy experience and diplomacy are nothing short of frightening! If she were to become president we would be looking at someone who would set this country back 20 years.

    As far as what the Canadian person has to say, I agree. Lack of knowledge is often what drives the conservatives–that and fear.

    September 22, 2008 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  15. Grace

    I think one thing that these polls probably do not take accurate account for is the amount of young voters that will be voting this election.

    September 22, 2008 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  16. Ian Minneapolis, MN

    Don't worry folks, Minnesota is going to Obama. it's a fact

    September 22, 2008 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  17. Raymond Duke

    Pennsylvania will go for McCain. Now Philadephia the city of brotherly love with a murder rate to match chicago and predominately black and left wing liberal will go for Obama. The rest of pennsylvania will go for McCain / Palin. I figure this is were CNN had the poll conducted . This is not news CNN always puts Obama up no matter if all the other polls put McCain in a deadheat or ahead. As far as Iowa , in the grand scheme of things they are irrevelant except in the democrat party's primarys. But that will change after this election year. They might go Obama because of him and the democrats wanting to push corn as Bio- fuel. Kind of flys in the face of the liberals wanting to use corn as Bio- fuel while the brethern in Africa or starving to death more now due to the shortage. Of course who can figure out them warm hearted liberals.Iowa better hopes Obama wins . That subsidized corn crop payed for by the american taxpayer is history if John McCain wins.

    September 22, 2008 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  18. Amy

    Why this election is even close is beyond me!
    McCain/Palin are already lying to the American people (in speeches and ads), and acting above the law (Palin's refusal to participate in the ethics probe in Alaska), not to mention Palin hiding government correspondence in private email accounts. How foolish do we have to be to elect clones of Bush/Cheney?

    September 22, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  19. Florida Gold

    We Americans have no options.Lest go and vote for our future.It`s so scary just to think that Mcain and Palin can take us to a road of the final destruction of our country whatever is left after Cheny and Bush catastrophic job.Hard to think that after eight years of this tragic manipulation of our Constitution there are people that still want to continue this destruction .I just have to say that I feel so sorry for them

    September 22, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  20. Jerry Ohio

    I am so happy that Obama is really gaining in the polls,,,,McCain and Palin doest not represent American value for all American

    Obama/Biden 08

    September 22, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  21. Diana Menendez

    I think that those holding back or being negative(democrats,independents and anyone else) because of Obama being African-American need a history lesson and rude awakening!!! This race of people were forced to come here and have contributed immensely to inventions and innovations that we ALL enjoy ,and make our everyday lives easier, more efficient,safer and comfortable.From the poor to the rich all of us!! Some were brilliant ,others were just average Black people trying to make a difference.Why can't we get over skin color and other things that makes us hate,despise and not care about understanding ,and respecting someone or something different from what we are used to,or know about. Obama is an American just as they are!!

    September 22, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  22. N.S of Huntsville, Al

    The polls seem to go up and down, when CNN dosen't have any juicy gossip. But I just hope Obama supporters are registered to votem time is running out. So get as much people that you know that can vote to register and vote.

    Remember if your a teenager and you will turn 18 by Nov 4th you can vote this year. So hurry up and get ready!!!

    September 22, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  23. Peter in Brooklyn, NY


    Can CNN explain why/how its Poll of Polls does not carry a margin of error?

    September 22, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  24. BJGT

    I predict a landslide for Obama!!

    September 22, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  25. white independant in small town uSA

    Unless people can put aside the fact Obama is half black, and remember he is also half WHITE, Obama "could" be in for hard time winning..for those who didnt live in depression years, we did, and it wasnt very pretty..many committed suicide, or simply couldnt survive because of continuing cirumstances, long bread lines, shortages of every thing..does this scare you ?? No ?? well, sure scares life is pretty much over, but, I fear greatly for my children, grandchildren, great grandchildren..and if you dont , you should !!! Be very afraid for good sense, good judgement, the one who surrounds him self with "wise" people to help him in areas he is not knowledgible..we now have to vote for Obama..he stays cool, uses GOOD judgement..
    afraid for our family....

    September 22, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
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