October 1st, 2008
12:55 PM ET
14 years ago

New polls show Obama breaking away in key states

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/10/01/art.quinpoll.ap.jpg caption="New state polls show Obama with clear leads."](CNN) - New polls released Wednesday morning suggest the race for the White House could be breaking for Barack Obama in three key battleground states.

Just-released Quinnipiac University surveys show Obama with wide leads in Pennsylvania and Ohio, as well as Florida - the showdown state in the 2000 presidential race where John McCain has had held an advantage for most of the summer.

The latest poll results are bad news for McCain as Election Day inches closer and just may be the clearest sign yet the nation's ongoing financial crisis is taking its toll on the Arizona senator's candidacy.

"It is virtually impossible for McCain to win the White House without Florida and Ohio," CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said. "The financial crisis is playing right into Obama's message of change, and putting the GOP on the defensive all across the electoral map."

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral map breakdown

Quinnipiac's new survey in Pennsylvania shows Obama with a stunning 14 point-lead over McCain, 54-39 percent. Averaging that survey with other recent Pennsylvania polls, the latest CNN poll of polls there shows a 10-point lead for Obama in the state that only voted for John Kerry by a 2-point margin in 2004. Several polls released earlier this month in Pennsylvania suggested Obama's lead there was in the mid single digits.

A new Quinnipiac Ohio poll also released Wednesday morning shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points there. CNN does not have enough recent polling in Ohio for a poll of polls, but several surveys released earlier this month before the extent of the financial crisis became clear showed the two presidential candidates tied there.

A new Quinnipiac Florida poll also shows big gains for Obama, with the Illinois senator now holding an 8 point lead, 51 to 43 percent. There is also not enough recent polling in Florida to conduct a poll of polls there, though a survey from ARG earlier this week showed Obama with a statistically insignificant 1-point lead.

CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corporation will release new state polls out of Florida, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, and Virginia later Wednesday!


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • Florida • John McCain • Ohio • Pennsylvania
soundoff (189 Responses)
  1. Good Sign!

    I am happy about this...but we all know these polls can be wrong...so I am waiting on Nov 4th!

    October 1, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  2. Ted

    Given our foreign policy standing and our economy in crisis, we need to elect he smart guy. Not McBush – we've tried that and it doesn't work. The less said about Palin the better.

    October 1, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  3. tai

    We're getting more ppl to go to pennsylvania to organize and work for obama. We hope thats ok with mccain and the republicans seeing their dislike for community organizers. We cant get comfortable here, we need to work as if we're 10 points down.

    NO McSame/Pa-clueless-lin

    October 1, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  4. Gebeorge Napalotino

    I didn't know that there is a "moderator". It is very good that CNN does that because of all the efforts to manipulate public opinion that are out there.

    October 1, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  5. Ex-Republican for Obama

    Got Hope?

    Hey all, if you support Obama, this doesn't mean jack. We gotta show up to make it a reality. If you are young, if you are for Barack Obama, then these numbers are only a reality if EACH of you shows up at the booth Nov 4th.

    The time is now, we are who we have been waiting for!

    October 1, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  6. Obama08

    RCP count without No Toss Up States: Obtama – 348; McCain – 190.

    Keep talking Palin!

    October 1, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  7. Eric

    Three things to be scared of, Obama's supporters. First, with that big of a lead, work is needed to make sure all the voters will show up on election day. Second, expect the GOPs to do everything, like they did in Ohio, to block new voters to register or scare away voters. Finally, we will have to endure four weeks of racist attacks on Omama from all the fake bloggers who are getting paid by McCain's campaign. Now that the lead is opening, their only possibility is to attack relentlessly and scare away voters. They already admitted it. It won't be pretty.

    October 1, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  8. Watermann

    Well, don`t know how much CNN considers Real Clear Politics as serious and respected source, but almost all figures there are "blue".
    for a couple of days. May be that Americans finally don`t like two "Joe Six Packs" in the White House. Congratulations

    P.S. At the end, I am still afraid that the "race issue" is still below the skin and in the soul of ordinary Americans.

    October 1, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  9. Lisa in Phx

    McCain is only up by 7 here in AZ..... Is'nt that news worthy?

    October 1, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  10. Hoosier Full of Hope

    I keep hoping to see Indiana in these types of articles, as a 'red state' that Obama turns his way...

    October 1, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  11. Abby

    I think this means that Senator Obama won the debate.

    October 1, 2008 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  12. Enlightened Voter

    For all those that are actually thinking of voting mccain even though you know that Obama would be better for the country in ALL ways, remember this " The fundamentals of the economy are strong," spoken by your candidate mccain one week before this latest economic disaster.

    October 1, 2008 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  13. SV

    CHANGE IS GOING TO COME, HOLD ON AMERICAN

    ( OBAMA BIDEN 2008 )

    October 1, 2008 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  14. j_steinbeck from Toronto

    americans are not that stupid as McShame thought they were.
    His latest stunt with Palin did nothing but displayed how limited his intellectual abilities are.

    Go Obama! Go Biden!

    October 1, 2008 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
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