October 3rd, 2008
02:00 PM ET
14 years ago

Obama gains in NH, maintains lead in PA

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/10/03/art.boptpa1003.ap.jpg caption="Sen. Obama campaigned in Pennsylvania Friday where he currently holds a 10-point lead over Sen. McCain, according to a new CNN Pennsylvania poll of polls."]
(CNN) – A day after the McCain campaign announced that it is shifting resources out of Michigan and into other battleground states, CNN’s latest polls of polls in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania suggest that Sen. John McCain may face an uphill battle in both states between now and Election Day.

Sen. Barack Obama is now ahead in New Hampshire by 6 percentage points. Obama has the support of 48 percent of likely voters in New Hampshire while McCain’s support stands at 42 percent and 10 percent are unsure about their choice for president.

In CNN’s previous New Hampshire poll of polls released on September 26, Obama was up by two points – 46 percent to McCain’s 44 percent.

During the Democratic primaries, Obama lost Pennsylvania to Sen. Hillary Clinton. In CNN’s latest poll of polls, however, Obama leads McCain by 10 percentage points with likely Pennsylvania voters – 51 percent versus 41 percent, with 8 percent unsure. In CNN’s previous Pennsylvania poll of polls released on October 1, Obama also led McCain by 10 points – 49 percent to 39 percent.

“The New Hampshire numbers in particular are a worrisome sign for the McCain campaign,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Granite State voters saved McCain in the 2000 and 2008 Republican primaries. He’s had high hopes for the state’s four electoral votes in November. But New Hampshire is a state that, like the rest of New England, is increasingly tilting Democratic. At least for now, it looks as if McCain’s personal connection to the state may not be enough. At the same time, Obama’s double-digit lead in Pennsylvania is threatening to keep that state’s 21 electoral votes out of serious contention in the campaign’s final days.”

CNN’s New Hampshire general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Research 2000 (September 22-24), Suffolk University (September 21-24), and St. Anselm College Institute of Politics (September 25-30).

CNN’s Pennsylvania general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Quinnipiac (September 27-29), Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (September 27 October 1), and Franklin & Marshall (September 23-28).

CNN’s polls of polls do not have a margin of error.

soundoff (239 Responses)
  1. Sally

    Like he did for Michigan, he needs to quit NH and PA too. How about he tries NY or CA?! 🙂

    October 3, 2008 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  2. keesa




    October 3, 2008 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  3. IWASP!-Intelligent Woman Against Sarah Palin!

    Mccain and Palin, IF they love this country should drop out of the race altogether. Their lies, cluelessness and vindictiveness are not what this country needs right now. We need leaders who will help this country get back on her feet and establish a good name for America around the world.

    October 3, 2008 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  4. Barney

    Vote early if you can – and get a paper receipt.

    Obama/Biden '08

    October 3, 2008 05:00 pm at 5:00 pm |
  5. jm for sc

    After Obama creams McCain on Tuesday night, it will be a 15 point lead.

    October 3, 2008 05:00 pm at 5:00 pm |
  6. NY

    America nowaday want change and that 's what Sen Barack Obama always explain it across the country.
    Boy,fixed this country.

    October 3, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  7. Kim, Charlotte, NC


    October 3, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  8. Eric

    Looking at these poll number has me hopeful! Obama has a serious shot at winning Ohio or Florida based on the latest polls. If he takes either one McCain is finished. He as no realistic route to the white house without winning both of those states. Obama, however, still has alternate routes to the white house even if he doesn't win wither of those. Its looking good folks, hang in there Obama and keep up the fight. I got another donation coming your way!

    Obama/Biden 2008/2012

    October 3, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |

    The fact that Palin was able to speak correctly by using complete sentences, finally, should have been a given and not a measure of success. Sarah’s next step should be to try speaking complete words such as getting instead of gettin’ but I cannot expect too much at this point. Then maybe that is the “folksy” quality which I guess I do not understand up here in my elite ivory tower, surrounded by servants while I look out at the serfs sowing the fields. But apparently I am suppose to give her more time since she has only been in the race for 5 weeks. Tell that to Putin, Sarah Simpleton.

    Biden, who I have only seen at the DNC and the debate far outshined Palin.

    Most importantly Biden has a bond that I truly envy. When his son, Beau introduced him to the crowd at the DNC he had to pause when speaking about his Dad and it was obvious he loves his father very much. Then last night when Biden was talking about his sons and the horrible accident that took the lives of their wife, mother and sister, he choked up when discussing his kids. Since I have no kids, I can only imagine how it would be to care so much for someone it is obvious you would gladly and willingly give your life to save the life of your son. So, Joe, all those 2 hours train rides to go back home to be with your sons was worth every bit of your time and I commend you. That empathy is DEFINITELY a quality I want in a man that will have the ear of the President. Especially when the President is discussing whether to send the sons and daughters of America, to a pre-emptive war. A war that to date has killed 4,000+ and wounded 30,000 and still counting.

    October 3, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  10. Mr Republican

    Who trusts polls? 80% of the people don't want McCain or Obama. They want a 3rd party candidate.

    McCain/Obama out 08

    October 3, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  11. A Woman In California For Obama:

    Like of course. Like anything else would be uncivilized (Palin/McCain).

    Great job last night Joe. Those republicans are running on empty right now. They are scared stiff of what Ms. Whalin will spout out next.

    Note to Sarah: I was NOT impressed with your "in your face-I am your all American (gurl) attitude last night. You proved once again you are NOT ready on the national level. Each time I am forced to look at you I see the Tina Fey image and therefore, I could NEVER take you seriously because that is who you are a flake. You can't control your own household yet some Americans want you to take on more responsibility. The fact you bring your youngest daughter to events to care for your sick child is a disgrace. I can't wait to cast my vote AGAINST you and your old man (McWar).

    On another note: was it me or did Sarah's head look extremely large last night?

    Keep up the good work Joe all you had to do was let her talk ignorant and she did.

    Obama/Biden. America's best choice.

    October 3, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  12. sandia

    i can see all state going blue

    October 3, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  13. 37-year-old First Time Voter

    YES WE CAN!....Go get'em Obama.

    Welp, McLoser and his folksy dimwit VP needs to prepare to pull out of NH and PA. Oh, might as well pull out of FL too.

    October 3, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  14. McCain Invented the BlackBerry, Palin Invented the Manure Spreader

    It's all over, baby!

    As announcer Chick Hearn used to say, "The ballgame is in the Admiral Refrigerator. The door's closed, the light's out, the eggs are coolin, the butter's getting hard, and the Jell-O's jigglin!!"

    October 3, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  15. Jerry Ohio

    Bye Bye McCain why did you make Palin look like a fool on that stage I think she a nice person but she not ready to be president or VP
    Palin need to be in Alaska being Gov not VP

    October 3, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  16. Andy

    Sounds good to me. A vote for McCain/Palin is a vote for 4 more years of the same old mumbo jumbo and we cannot afford to put them in the WH. People are finally waking up to the fact that w/McCain/Palin do not have our best interest at heart. McCain picking Palin for VP, I think, disqualifies him from becoming POTUS.

    October 3, 2008 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  17. Ben in Atlanta, GA

    Note to Obama supporters: Ignore the polls. Get out and vote! This will be a close elecation.

    October 3, 2008 05:11 pm at 5:11 pm |
  18. 37-year-old First Time Voter

    Oh, and by the way, her interview on FAUX news shows she's disastrously is NOT qualified to be VP. Who are you to tell someone what they should ask in an interview? She's annoyed by Katie Couric's interview???? Does she think she's not immune to answer tough questions?

    This really did it for me. I was willing to give her the benefit of the doubt after last night's debate but she continues to open her mouth and proves what an idiot she is.

    October 3, 2008 05:11 pm at 5:11 pm |
  19. Vegas Barbie for Obama

    Go, Senator Obama! Keep on!! Senator Biden was strong last night and the results show in your continued climb in the polls! We know you will mop the floor with Sen. McCain in next week's debate!!!
    OBAMA/BIDEN '08 & '12 YES WE CAN!!

    October 3, 2008 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  20. JayInNewHampshire

    I think this poll reflects the erratic behavior and poor choices that McCain has made over the past couple weeks. He is unstable! And fortunately I think we will continue to see his numbers go down.

    October 3, 2008 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  21. JT

    It ain't over until it's over.


    Vote for a good future.

    Vote for Obama.

    October 3, 2008 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
  22. Cindy

    President Obama

    Has a nice ring to it !

    October 3, 2008 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  23. Jeff

    Ouch, losing in Michigan, where the elder statesman from Arizona beat Bush in 2000 has got to hurt!

    He should sell his many homes and pull out of the United States completely!

    McSame and Bush, Bush and McSame, how long can this go on?

    October 3, 2008 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  24. tulsa


    Get out the vote people! Make this a landslide for the American people.
    Take back this country and show the Republicans that we DO NOT APPROVE OF THEIR MESSAGE!

    October 3, 2008 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  25. George from OH

    McCain pick for VP illustrates to the max his thought process. If something happened to McCain, the US would be in a world of hurt under Palin. Palin's knowledge on foreign affairs, economics, etc., is less than that of most 9th graders. Palin gave her personal description of what the VP does during the debate. Biden quoted what the VP's responsibilities from the U.S. Constitution.

    Palin is a ditz and if the citizens of Alaska voted her in office, she was voted in for her looks, not her brains. When Palin and McCain are together watch McCain – he is looking at her like a dog in heat. McCain may be thinking "Drill Baby Drill" but it isn't oil he wants to drill.

    My biggest issues are: we are fighting in a country that has done nothing to us, and the people we are fighting aren't the residence of the country. Secondly, the US Government offers FREE education to people of Pakistan, India, China, etc., and they have to do to get the Free education, is attend a US College and promise to work for 5-years in the US after they graduate college. This sucks and is WRONG. How about FREE education to those who are in the military and serve in harms way? How about a GI Bill that will pay tuition, buy books, and pay room and board? How about VA Benefits that will pay our Veterians Medical Bills instead of dening the Veteran was injured while serving our country. My son 4-years in the Marines and two tours in the Middle East, can't get the VA to treat him for PTS nor the knee he injured while serving his County. YEP, I'm pissed, for I've had help him pay for his college, and paid his VA Medical Bills. We ask a lot of our troops and we do little to show them our support for doing what they do. McCain voted 20 times to reduce VA and GI Bill Benefits. How is better than the soldiers of today? In my opinion, his love for money has turned a once very patriotic man into someone who isn't patriotic.

    Yes, I'm questioning, McCain's patriotism! as we all should be. We owe McCain nothing and his lack of patriotism over the past 26-years is why he doesn't deserve to be President.

    October 3, 2008 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
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