October 3rd, 2008
02:00 PM ET
14 years ago

Obama gains in NH, maintains lead in PA

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/10/03/art.boptpa1003.ap.jpg caption="Sen. Obama campaigned in Pennsylvania Friday where he currently holds a 10-point lead over Sen. McCain, according to a new CNN Pennsylvania poll of polls."]
(CNN) – A day after the McCain campaign announced that it is shifting resources out of Michigan and into other battleground states, CNN’s latest polls of polls in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania suggest that Sen. John McCain may face an uphill battle in both states between now and Election Day.

Sen. Barack Obama is now ahead in New Hampshire by 6 percentage points. Obama has the support of 48 percent of likely voters in New Hampshire while McCain’s support stands at 42 percent and 10 percent are unsure about their choice for president.

In CNN’s previous New Hampshire poll of polls released on September 26, Obama was up by two points – 46 percent to McCain’s 44 percent.

During the Democratic primaries, Obama lost Pennsylvania to Sen. Hillary Clinton. In CNN’s latest poll of polls, however, Obama leads McCain by 10 percentage points with likely Pennsylvania voters – 51 percent versus 41 percent, with 8 percent unsure. In CNN’s previous Pennsylvania poll of polls released on October 1, Obama also led McCain by 10 points – 49 percent to 39 percent.

“The New Hampshire numbers in particular are a worrisome sign for the McCain campaign,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Granite State voters saved McCain in the 2000 and 2008 Republican primaries. He’s had high hopes for the state’s four electoral votes in November. But New Hampshire is a state that, like the rest of New England, is increasingly tilting Democratic. At least for now, it looks as if McCain’s personal connection to the state may not be enough. At the same time, Obama’s double-digit lead in Pennsylvania is threatening to keep that state’s 21 electoral votes out of serious contention in the campaign’s final days.”

CNN’s New Hampshire general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Research 2000 (September 22-24), Suffolk University (September 21-24), and St. Anselm College Institute of Politics (September 25-30).

CNN’s Pennsylvania general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Quinnipiac (September 27-29), Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (September 27 October 1), and Franklin & Marshall (September 23-28).

CNN’s polls of polls do not have a margin of error.

soundoff (239 Responses)
  1. Braggingright!

    With the Economy in the tank! people hurting from gas prices, groceries, medical bills! its not a wonder Mcain might loose big time!. His Karl Rove kind of politics won't work this time!. Mcain claims he puts country first! but with the Pick of Palin as the Vice president I'm doubtful whether he put country first or himself first!. Wake up America and send the Republican home! the wealth is not trickling down! especially for me!. We need new ideas, modified methodologies of conducting business! we need to ban from our colleges all finance books which were used by republicans for the last eight years!. We need to be back where we belong! AT THE TOP OF EVERYTHING! folks I'm not kidding China might overtake us! it's already spreading communism idealogies in Africa and some parts of Latin America!!!

    October 3, 2008 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  2. simmerdownow

    Folks all over the country are seeing through Sarah. She's good at memorizing little catch phrases, but gosh darn it...we've had enough. Golly gee-whiz, go back to the Tundra and spy on Russia...your darn tootin.

    October 3, 2008 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  3. kayla


    October 3, 2008 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  4. bobbi


    October 3, 2008 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  5. Rena

    Obama just continue to address the people issues and you will come out on top. I don't care about anything else at this point but how are you going to help those of us who are struggling due to bad decisions made not only on wall street but by Washington and yes some brought this own ourselves.

    But it is certain that many would not have to make poor decisions if they had better opportunities offered to them.

    October 3, 2008 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  6. Ras

    Palin couldn't identify a single area where she or John McCain would change George W. Bush's economic or foreign policy positions.

    For more of the same old booooooosh – vote for Insane McSame!
    Vote Obama!

    October 3, 2008 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  7. Dan

    If you really feel Palin did great last night, it would explain why you also feel she is qualified and a good VP pick. In both cases, you show a real lack of knowledge and lack of understanding about the job she is up for in this election. Cute and downhome are not skills for this position. You are letting your emotions and or disdain for Democrats cloud your judgement and perception. The woman is truly scary. She is the type of person that uses her looks and charm to lead you to think that she is a sweet and regular person. Listen to her tone and comments when on the attack. She is very very scary.

    October 3, 2008 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  8. kalyanverma

    One more month for the VOTE. The candidates are campaigning hard in the swing states. Now that the McCain & Co pulled out of Michigan, Barack can focus on other states. Oregon, New Mexico, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and New Hampshire will go to the Democrats. That makes it 257 for the Democrats. Colorado and Virginia will go to the republicans. That makes it 211 for the Republicans. At this point in time, i feel Obama & Co should focus more on Ohio or Florida. They are going to be the key states. Obama needs at least one of those states.

    October 3, 2008 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  9. stephen

    Well, need anybody say more? I predict that after the second and third debates, Obama will be leading by double digit points in all the battle ground states. Fact check me when it comes through, will ya?

    October 3, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  10. Angie

    FANTASTIC!!! YES WE CAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    October 3, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  11. Mike T. Vaughn

    Some future President McCain,,,,,,People in a state hurt by unemployment and housing and instead of giving a solution on what he'll do if President,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,he calls Michigan a wash.............Not only is the socalled Maverick bucks against a system..........he bucks against those in need............what a Poor excuse for a Human Being........let alone a so called Future President.............MC SHAME!!!!!!!!!!

    October 3, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  12. obamasupporter

    I predict that the the Obama/Biden ticket will win these elections by a landslide.mcCain is just more of the same and americans are smart enough to know when changes need to be made.REAL CHANGE OBAMA/BIDEN

    October 3, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  13. MR. BOHN

    Let John McCain and the Republican know that OBAMA is a leader by NATUER and let them know it is Barack's time.

    October 3, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  14. Independent

    Not bad. Obama will win.

    October 3, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  15. vince

    gee wiz maybe they will let falin get of the porch and play with the big dogs lol i would enjoy mrs brown from cnn to do an interwiew with the gov. since she has her confedince back ya right that wont happen go hide in the alaska

    October 3, 2008 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  16. Ralph B Augustin

    Obama is the man for the job
    Obama/Biden 08

    October 3, 2008 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  17. Michael, Media PA

    Pennsyvania will go for Obama because like most Americans, we have had it with the republicans. I can't wait to get George Bush and John McCain out of the white house.

    Yes We Can
    Obama/Biden 08

    October 3, 2008 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  18. Ron was a REP now a DEM

    America the great country of tolerance. Hopefully that will ring true on Nov.4

    October 3, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |



    OBAMA/BIDEN 2008

    October 3, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  20. Art

    Looking great for Obama-Biden!!!

    October 3, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  21. Jeff

    With the failure of Palin in the debate, and McCain's campaign stunts not paying off, I think it's safe to say that the news is not going to get any better for John McCain.

    October 3, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  22. Shane LBC

    MI, PA and NH is in the bag for Obama. I also predict VA, NM, and CO to be in Obama's goodie bag. In addition, I see a chance for Obama in OH, FL and even NC!!! Obama doesn't have to worry about MN or WI. They say are battle grounds but I don think they are.

    Its obvious the majority of America favor Obama. If all registered voters actually vote it will be an overwhelming win for Obama. Young people tend to vote democratic. In addition, even if the polls are close, they do not represent young people proportinally since most polls are done using the landline. Many young people use cell phones.

    October 3, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  23. Aaron from Ohio

    It is getting to the point where McCain will need to win virtually every remaining battleground state in order to be elected President. The polls show him trailing in most of them. They are also trending away from him, not getting closer. Governor Palin didn't hurt him last night during the debate. At most, she eased the fears of the republican base that she will further erode his candidacy. His decision to leave the campaign trial and spend the weekend back home in Arizona is nothing less than amazing. At a time when he needs to pick up the pace he is taking the weekend off. He is either giving up or he is so worn out that he needs the time off regardless of the personal cost.

    October 3, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  24. Delisa Kyerefo

    Get fired up....get get get.....fired up!!!!

    Obama-Biden '08'

    October 3, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  25. Wendel, Lakeland, FL

    Obama will have at least 310 electoral votes on Elections day. Read my lips. MCBUSH is in big trouble.

    October 3, 2008 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
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