October 3rd, 2008
02:00 PM ET
14 years ago

Obama gains in NH, maintains lead in PA

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/10/03/art.boptpa1003.ap.jpg caption="Sen. Obama campaigned in Pennsylvania Friday where he currently holds a 10-point lead over Sen. McCain, according to a new CNN Pennsylvania poll of polls."]
(CNN) – A day after the McCain campaign announced that it is shifting resources out of Michigan and into other battleground states, CNN’s latest polls of polls in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania suggest that Sen. John McCain may face an uphill battle in both states between now and Election Day.

Sen. Barack Obama is now ahead in New Hampshire by 6 percentage points. Obama has the support of 48 percent of likely voters in New Hampshire while McCain’s support stands at 42 percent and 10 percent are unsure about their choice for president.

In CNN’s previous New Hampshire poll of polls released on September 26, Obama was up by two points – 46 percent to McCain’s 44 percent.

During the Democratic primaries, Obama lost Pennsylvania to Sen. Hillary Clinton. In CNN’s latest poll of polls, however, Obama leads McCain by 10 percentage points with likely Pennsylvania voters – 51 percent versus 41 percent, with 8 percent unsure. In CNN’s previous Pennsylvania poll of polls released on October 1, Obama also led McCain by 10 points – 49 percent to 39 percent.

“The New Hampshire numbers in particular are a worrisome sign for the McCain campaign,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Granite State voters saved McCain in the 2000 and 2008 Republican primaries. He’s had high hopes for the state’s four electoral votes in November. But New Hampshire is a state that, like the rest of New England, is increasingly tilting Democratic. At least for now, it looks as if McCain’s personal connection to the state may not be enough. At the same time, Obama’s double-digit lead in Pennsylvania is threatening to keep that state’s 21 electoral votes out of serious contention in the campaign’s final days.”

CNN’s New Hampshire general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Research 2000 (September 22-24), Suffolk University (September 21-24), and St. Anselm College Institute of Politics (September 25-30).

CNN’s Pennsylvania general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Quinnipiac (September 27-29), Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (September 27 October 1), and Franklin & Marshall (September 23-28).

CNN’s polls of polls do not have a margin of error.

soundoff (239 Responses)

    Up in New Hampshire.....You Betcha!

    October 3, 2008 06:02 pm at 6:02 pm |
  2. Dem

    The last lap of this dogged race.

    Obama Biden '08

    October 3, 2008 06:02 pm at 6:02 pm |
  3. Kurt

    Palin achieved what the McCain campaign wanted her to do, i.e., save the conservative base,
    and stop the rebellion from such staunch conservative zealots like George Will and Kathleen Parker.

    At the very best, this is all she could do, anyhow.

    Her subpar to par performance does not prevent the inevitable defeat of the McCain-Palin debacle,
    it only postpones it.

    The key to this election lies in the unspoken, undecided, independent vote.

    This block has been gravitating consistently toward Obama
    and the debate has increased the momentum.

    The premature abandonment of Michigan by the McCain camp attests to this phenomena.

    The conservatives will not change their vote, nor will the Obama Democrats.

    New, independent, and undecided voters are pivotal in this election.

    The truth is the only reason this group is undecided
    is that despite the fact that their hearts and minds
    are convinced that Obama will be best for them,
    best for the country,
    and is the only leader
    that will restore America to its true purpose and status,
    they are strugggling with and will continue to struggle with
    the inertia and resistance in their consciousness, being, and predisposition
    that will allow them to put their lives, hopes, and destinies in the hands of an African American.

    So it goes in America.

    October 3, 2008 06:03 pm at 6:03 pm |
  4. IK


    OBAMA / BIDEN 2008

    October 3, 2008 06:03 pm at 6:03 pm |
  5. george from pa

    all polls are going our way. its about time the people woke up and realized what another 4 years of these bad policies would do to us.

    GO OBAMA/BIDEN !!!!!!!!!!!

    October 3, 2008 06:04 pm at 6:04 pm |
  6. David from Bremen,Germany

    2008; 2012 !!!

    October 3, 2008 06:06 pm at 6:06 pm |
  7. ctdem

    Mccain is in trouble now. the economy is obamas ultimate weapon

    October 3, 2008 06:07 pm at 6:07 pm |
  8. Allan American (Costa Rica Resident)

    After watching the debate last night I am relieved to see Obama/Biden starting to widen the lead in the polls.

    A winking, six pack Annie Oakley type named Palin one heartbeat away from being President if Mccain wins is a horrible thought.

    I voted GOP the last two elections but not this time.

    October 3, 2008 06:07 pm at 6:07 pm |
  9. Smith

    Obama is a socialist. he will destry this country

    October 3, 2008 06:07 pm at 6:07 pm |
  10. Griff

    Obama's Gain, will increase the Drain. Open the Valve...

    October 3, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  11. Professor

    Time for a lesson in English grammar.

    A CNN headline this morning read "Biden did the best," referring to last night's debate between Biden and Palin.

    When comparing two debaters, one must speak in the comparative sense, NOT the superlative sense. It is incorrect to say that Biden did the best in the debate, since there were only two debaters.

    If one believes that Biden won the debate, then one should say that Biden did the better job, NOT the best job.

    This free lesson in English grammar has been brought to you by a supporter of McCain and Palin.

    October 3, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  12. MK

    I think Indiana will go blue too. McCain can't win.

    October 3, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  13. HONG

    Wow!!lets get Obama in the white house!! yes we can. lets believe in ourselves and trust once more to give this man our vote.

    October 3, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  14. matthew.a.a

    i am a nigerian, lived in spain i imagin were on earth a graduate from university, a mayor or a governor can not quote on law of the land or country she live in, and she is set to be president of a country(vice), i now know that human can use i sound learnent mum or dad without degree from any university and turn him or her to be a president of USA........ FACTS

    October 3, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  15. abu, seattle

    go..go ..Obama..go..go..

    October 3, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  16. Vishnu

    The People of America know the choice is so clear.

    Obama/Biden 08

    October 3, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |

    With everything that is going on with this economy, folks need to be paying attention and the folks who are screaming they had not made up their minds need therapy. What more do you want to hear. Go to the candidates websites and read, look up how the candidates voted. Do your homework folks and stop relying on news media to tell you everything because they to are bias.

    Instead of going into the booths on election day and christmas treeing the ballot, just don't do it. Toooooooooo much is at stake for you to be doing that.

    October 3, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  18. Vahagn

    Well McCain will quit Penn. soon too.

    Than McCain will try to destroy Obama's character.

    October 3, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  19. FactCheck

    Forget the numbers, forget the polls, forget what anyone tell you... we should never be complacent about the upcoming election. We absolutely need to make sure that the next 4 years are not like the last 8 and the ONLY way to do that is to make sure YOU VOTE! Don't expect the other guy to do it for you.

    October 3, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  20. Drew from Green Bay, WI

    It's pretty clear to me on what McCain needs to do to have a chance to win the presidency. He needs to play defense. He needs to get Ohio and Florida on his side, and then attempt to work on Colorado, Missouri, and Virginia. Virginia is going to be McCain's toughest state to gain, but if he loses Virginia then I really don't see a way for him to win. He would need Wisconsin, and I really don't see that happening. Even if it did happen he would still need New Hampshire or Nevada, which seems like a fat chance to get 2 out of 3. Virginia is still a red state and could be taken if he hits there late and hard so that Obama doesn't have a chance to respond. The only problem with my strategy for McCain, is it only leaves him with a 269-269 tie, but I still think it's his best bet. Minnesota turning to a leaning Obama state has done a lot Electoral Votes wise and really restricts many McCain's possibilities.

    October 3, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  21. Richard

    Looks like America is going to get it right this time. November 4th can't come fast enough.

    October 3, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  22. Mike

    Its about time God! This election should been over...Mcsame think about people our stupid..


    October 3, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  23. Mike

    Mcsame think American our stupid...I hope Sara Palin go back to Alaska after November 4...

    October 3, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  24. X-democrat for McCain

    Were all so Sick of this smoking freak Obama we could Puke!! Talk, Talk , Talk, that's all Obama does!!! Vote for real Leadership folks McCain and Palin !!!!!

    2008 McCain and Palin !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    October 3, 2008 06:14 pm at 6:14 pm |
  25. Mrs. Daniel

    Sen. Obama and Sen. Biden stay focused keep giving the American people the fact and quickly counter act the lies and misleading garbage that will be dirting up the airways from now until Nov 4th. America need leaders that can stay above the garbage politics that have become such apart of our election process. NOT THIS TIME!!!! America is in trouble and we need our country to come together and a government that includes all its citizens.

    October 3, 2008 06:15 pm at 6:15 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10