October 3rd, 2008
02:00 PM ET
14 years ago

Obama gains in NH, maintains lead in PA

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/10/03/art.boptpa1003.ap.jpg caption="Sen. Obama campaigned in Pennsylvania Friday where he currently holds a 10-point lead over Sen. McCain, according to a new CNN Pennsylvania poll of polls."]
(CNN) – A day after the McCain campaign announced that it is shifting resources out of Michigan and into other battleground states, CNN’s latest polls of polls in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania suggest that Sen. John McCain may face an uphill battle in both states between now and Election Day.

Sen. Barack Obama is now ahead in New Hampshire by 6 percentage points. Obama has the support of 48 percent of likely voters in New Hampshire while McCain’s support stands at 42 percent and 10 percent are unsure about their choice for president.

In CNN’s previous New Hampshire poll of polls released on September 26, Obama was up by two points – 46 percent to McCain’s 44 percent.

During the Democratic primaries, Obama lost Pennsylvania to Sen. Hillary Clinton. In CNN’s latest poll of polls, however, Obama leads McCain by 10 percentage points with likely Pennsylvania voters – 51 percent versus 41 percent, with 8 percent unsure. In CNN’s previous Pennsylvania poll of polls released on October 1, Obama also led McCain by 10 points – 49 percent to 39 percent.

“The New Hampshire numbers in particular are a worrisome sign for the McCain campaign,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Granite State voters saved McCain in the 2000 and 2008 Republican primaries. He’s had high hopes for the state’s four electoral votes in November. But New Hampshire is a state that, like the rest of New England, is increasingly tilting Democratic. At least for now, it looks as if McCain’s personal connection to the state may not be enough. At the same time, Obama’s double-digit lead in Pennsylvania is threatening to keep that state’s 21 electoral votes out of serious contention in the campaign’s final days.”

CNN’s New Hampshire general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Research 2000 (September 22-24), Suffolk University (September 21-24), and St. Anselm College Institute of Politics (September 25-30).

CNN’s Pennsylvania general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Quinnipiac (September 27-29), Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (September 27 October 1), and Franklin & Marshall (September 23-28).

CNN’s polls of polls do not have a margin of error.

soundoff (239 Responses)
  1. MK

    Why can't the goverment bailout the tax payers with $100,000, total taxpayers in the U.S are around 300 million.
    That mean total payout is 300 billion and a lot of people can afford buying and/or staying in their houses or even pay some of the debt and keep the economy rolling instead of giving the money back to wall Street and Banks!

    Can someone bring this issue to the politician and get an answer!
    People would love to get help and manage to pay their bills and mortgages not pay more than we are already paying
    Thank you

    October 3, 2008 06:16 pm at 6:16 pm |
  2. Form Suriname, South America

    The Only Poll will be on nov. 4th.

    As a outsider (I live in Suriname, South America) I hope the American people will for once use their brains and start voting rational instead of emotional.

    The GOP world view is dangerous. They have an attitude of My Way Or the High Way. You remeber: If your not with us your against us? And look where that has brought your country.

    South American for Obama/Biden/Clinton 2008

    October 3, 2008 06:16 pm at 6:16 pm |
  3. Helena

    The news just keeps getting better & better for Barack & Joe!


    October 3, 2008 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  4. Biff


    October 3, 2008 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  5. S. Boatman Warrensburg, Mo.

    Mccain Is Going Down Hard! Issue Number One Is The Economy! Mccain Doesnt Know Anything About The Economy So He Will Lose The Election!

    October 3, 2008 06:19 pm at 6:19 pm |
  6. zoya

    Well!!I hope it is the way it looks! Middle America, when comes to rationale choice have always defied the rationale and common sense!
    by picking up, moron #1 2x, and now viva la viagra la barracuda! i.e D* cheney with lipstick.

    October 3, 2008 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  7. Eric

    If I were McCain, I would concentrate on North Carolina, Indiana, Ohio and Arizona right now because his numbers aren't looking too good there. Wisconsin, Penn, NM, Col, Virginia are out of his reach now. The electoral map is shrinking everyday and his campaign now knows there is basically only one slim road to a victory.

    After his loss, the analysis will come to one conclusion. It was all about Romney. He was the one who made it obvious to the Americans that McCain does not understand anything about the economy.

    And then, he was the one not chosen, for purely emotional reason (McCain can't stand him) even though he would have helped him on the economy. Instead, McCain went for Caribou Barbie, who proved to be a disaster. Looking backward, it is always fun to see how a campaign rests on only a couple of small details.

    October 3, 2008 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  8. Mary of Spokane WA

    As a registered Independent, this is great news for those of us who have now made our decision to vote for Obama/Biden; however, I still expect some kind of "dirty tricks" or "October Surprise" or "bold move/decision" on McCain's part to shake things up. Here's hoping it doesn't work.

    October 3, 2008 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  9. Dumbfounded in da ATL

    This is great news! Obamabots...TRANSFORM this country!

    October 3, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |

    Don't let them tell you it is inposible, that's what they told all heros before. Long live Obama, Long live America

    October 3, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  11. CaliforniaKid

    I think it would be really interesting if Obama won the election by taking Michigan and New Hampshire, two states Mitt Romney would have definitely won for the Republicans if he was on the ticket. Of course, if Romney was on the ticket, with the economy being far and away the most important issue, the Republicans would be dominating this entire election.

    October 3, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  12. socalgal59

    Wasn't Palin so to get McCain over the finish line in Pennsylvania?

    And what happen to McCain's big New Hampshire lead?

    Could it be McCain's selection of Palin proved he was no "maverick'?
    Instead, McCain proved he is a typical republican.

    October 3, 2008 06:22 pm at 6:22 pm |
  13. Anna / Independent

    Lets do the election next week and make OBAMA our new president. There is no way the Mcshame/polan will win in november 08

    October 3, 2008 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  14. Cackles in Pennsylvania

    Pennsylvania will stay BLUE for Obama and Biden
    Say NO to more of the same and vote for Obama and Biden
    November 4, 2008.........
    Register to VOTE for Change by October 6, 2008 to make a difference

    October 3, 2008 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  15. Buzz

    I believe Obama will
    win NH and PA. He will also win Ohio and maybe FL.

    October 3, 2008 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  16. Wise White Guy

    Way to go all of you campaign workers in PA, MI, NH, oh they are all over the place and busting their tails to make a difference. Make no mistake that you are the driving force in this change. Not just the people at the campaign offices either. The everyday guy and girl out there staying current on whats happening and talking to anyone who will listen. Obama once again has spoken the truth about how this historical change must happen from the bottom up. We are taking back our country from the rich, greedy fat cats and in the process we will restore this country to the greatness it should be. Caution: There can be no let up in the efforts because if given a chance the Republicans will steal this thing like they did in Florida. They have shown time and time again they will pull out all the stops and play the fear card so keep the pedal to the metal until election day. Thanks

    October 3, 2008 06:25 pm at 6:25 pm |
  17. Steve

    Wonderful news! Time for new leadership. The people of our great nation our realizing the stakes in this election. Congratulations Senators Obama and Biden. My heart is with you.

    October 3, 2008 06:25 pm at 6:25 pm |
  18. Former Republican for OBAMA






    October 3, 2008 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
  19. etiobong

    am happy for obama

    October 3, 2008 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
  20. Beverly, NYC

    Poll numbers are fine but Obama supporters don't get lulled into a false sense of security we still have to get out and VOTE on November 4th, it's up to each one of us. Rain, Snow, Sleet we have to get out and drag every able bodied register voter we know to the poll that counts.

    October 3, 2008 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
  21. Karen - Missouri

    And we're working hard to make Missouri go Obama!

    October 3, 2008 06:27 pm at 6:27 pm |
  22. elle

    Be carfeul what you wish for. I used to be an Obama supporter but he lost my vote when he asked us to help bail out Hillary. He continued to loose my vote when he chose a long time senator-Biden to be his running mate. Our country is in the toilet because of our greed, plain & simple. No-one can settle for less anymore, instead of owning a smaller home,people go for the big, spacious home to keep up with the Jones's. Banks sell the outrageous mrtg and their Ceo's make out big time. We have no-one to blame but ourselves. However, I do not believe Obama is the answer. I do not see how his socialist ideals will help me, middle America, at all. You talk abt Palin not having experience, she has more than he does.

    October 3, 2008 06:27 pm at 6:27 pm |
  23. Tyree,LV-Independent

    Stay Focused Obama/Biden it is not over until nov. 4.
    Looks good so far, but they should probably turn indiana and missouri blue just for good measure.

    October 3, 2008 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  24. RaineyDay

    I'm praying Indy goes blue..... I need America to send a message to these Republicans that we've had it. Fortunately I'm in a state that McCain KNOWS he can't win....

    October 3, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  25. jake, San Francisco, CA

    Not impressed by McCain, certainly not by Barbie Moose!
    I don't know why she always seems tense to me infront of the camera!

    October 3, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
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