October 3rd, 2008
02:00 PM ET
14 years ago

Obama gains in NH, maintains lead in PA

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/10/03/art.boptpa1003.ap.jpg caption="Sen. Obama campaigned in Pennsylvania Friday where he currently holds a 10-point lead over Sen. McCain, according to a new CNN Pennsylvania poll of polls."]
(CNN) – A day after the McCain campaign announced that it is shifting resources out of Michigan and into other battleground states, CNN’s latest polls of polls in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania suggest that Sen. John McCain may face an uphill battle in both states between now and Election Day.

Sen. Barack Obama is now ahead in New Hampshire by 6 percentage points. Obama has the support of 48 percent of likely voters in New Hampshire while McCain’s support stands at 42 percent and 10 percent are unsure about their choice for president.

In CNN’s previous New Hampshire poll of polls released on September 26, Obama was up by two points – 46 percent to McCain’s 44 percent.

During the Democratic primaries, Obama lost Pennsylvania to Sen. Hillary Clinton. In CNN’s latest poll of polls, however, Obama leads McCain by 10 percentage points with likely Pennsylvania voters – 51 percent versus 41 percent, with 8 percent unsure. In CNN’s previous Pennsylvania poll of polls released on October 1, Obama also led McCain by 10 points – 49 percent to 39 percent.

“The New Hampshire numbers in particular are a worrisome sign for the McCain campaign,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Granite State voters saved McCain in the 2000 and 2008 Republican primaries. He’s had high hopes for the state’s four electoral votes in November. But New Hampshire is a state that, like the rest of New England, is increasingly tilting Democratic. At least for now, it looks as if McCain’s personal connection to the state may not be enough. At the same time, Obama’s double-digit lead in Pennsylvania is threatening to keep that state’s 21 electoral votes out of serious contention in the campaign’s final days.”

CNN’s New Hampshire general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Research 2000 (September 22-24), Suffolk University (September 21-24), and St. Anselm College Institute of Politics (September 25-30).

CNN’s Pennsylvania general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Quinnipiac (September 27-29), Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (September 27 October 1), and Franklin & Marshall (September 23-28).

CNN’s polls of polls do not have a margin of error.

soundoff (239 Responses)
  1. R. Squibbs

    We're at that point in every close race when the balance begins to tip, undecided voters begin to make up their minds, and numbers begin to pile up for one side.

    McCain's too angry and clearly out of touch, and Palin's "folksy" act rings just a little too hollow to appeal to anyone who's not already a GOP base voter.

    And I think that McCain and Palin are the only two people left in America who actually believe that they're "mavericks." After Biden's demolition job on that last night, I'm a little surprised that McCain is still grinding that "maverick" gear. It just goes to show how little he has left to run on.

    Unless we see the mother of all October Surprises, this thing's in the bag for Obama-Biden.

    October 3, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  2. ugo

    I see Blue.......blue......blue......blue......

    October 3, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  3. David Minneapolis

    What no one wants to talk about is the reality that our country is in peril. Our economy is imploding. The logical conclusion of outsourcing our manufacturing and industrial base. The only thing that has kept us alive is obesity, the endless super-sizing of the service economy. We are witnessing the unravelling of the American Empire. Shanghai is contemplating becoming the new financial headquarters of the world. And we are trying to figure out who won the debate? We will wake up one sunny morning and realize that it is going, going, GONE, that shining beacon on the hill that the neo-cons turned into one extraordinary rendition of the fat lady singing.

    October 3, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  4. World Citizen

    Lets Get our friends and families,neighbors and all our might to Elect Obama/Biden as POTUS AND V.POTUS of this Great Country.Lets not give in to distractions from the other camp,Let Join together as Only together we can achieve greatness.Thank you all,God Bless you and God Bless America

    October 3, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  5. don

    We are tired of 8 years of bush policy,,,change we need

    Obama 08

    October 3, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  6. Hilda Simmons

    The economic crisis in our country has caused many of those who are independents, undecided, and even Republicans, to rethink their ideologies and do what is best for the country. Sen. Obama is not using 'the gitt of gab' or 'bsing', he is serious about bringing change. It's not just a slogan with him. He didn't adopt it in the 11th hour of his campaign. It will be a glorious sight to see that map turn blue in a big way! O-B-08!

    October 3, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  7. MLM

    McCain is a moron
    Palin is pathetic
    put them together you get a pathetic moron
    or something moronically pathetic.

    October 3, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  8. Dr. Mimi De La Cruz for OBAMA








    October 3, 2008 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  9. John Tucker NY, NY

    For now Obama will win in November! However I hope we don't have an October surprise, that would be bad for Obama! Don't be too confident! we dont want to jinks it!

    Go Obama 08

    October 3, 2008 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  10. Robert

    He will win this election.

    October 3, 2008 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  11. E

    lets make sure to vote

    October 3, 2008 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  12. Machiavelli, Baton Rouge, LA

    Although I find it welcoming that Senator Obama isopening his lead over John McCain, I still have to question these polls.

    Even though I think Senator Obama does not enjoy a precipitous lead over McCain, I think these polls do not reflect the true lead that Senator Obama is growing. It think his lead is larger than what the polls reflect.

    October 3, 2008 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  13. Maggie

    We're close to victory people. Keep up the good work!

    October 3, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  14. ohio

    obama true leader!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    October 3, 2008 06:34 pm at 6:34 pm |
  15. Joey

    Whew! Obama is going to win in a landslide.

    October 3, 2008 06:35 pm at 6:35 pm |
  16. Peggy

    God does not like ugly! The Republicans claim to be close to God , yet, they fight ugly!

    October 3, 2008 06:36 pm at 6:36 pm |
  17. Laszlo in L.A.

    Good news for voters on the East Coast who have work or school the next day and don't want to stay up late. You should all know who the next president is by the time you go to bed.

    Palin is out there running for 2012 – not 2008 – while McCain's Straight Talk Express has been in the ditch since early summer. His entire campaign has fallen apart in terms of energy, vision and message.

    Expect the talk show conservatives to start admitting they never liked McCain in the first place. An Obama presidency will at least give Bill O'Reilly something consistent to snark about for the next 4 years.

    October 3, 2008 06:36 pm at 6:36 pm |
  18. Stephanie

    Of course Obama is pulling away now. McCain has tried almost every trick in the book to distract voters from Obama. From the "celebrity" ads with Paris and Britney, to the misleading ads about Obama teaching kindergarteners sex ed, to trying to pretend his choice in Gov. Palin was a well thought out consideration. It's like Halloween; no matter what you do to disguise yourself eventually the mask comes off and we see who you are. America is tired of all the tricks, we want the treat of Obama-Biden!

    October 3, 2008 06:37 pm at 6:37 pm |
  19. RyanM

    Unfortunately the bag of dirty tricks is going to be opened up on Barack. Closet racism alive and well?

    The sad thing is McCain will likely bring Gov Palin down with him.

    Even though I disagree with Gov Palin on any number of issues she appears to be a decent and engaging person. Too bad she has to share the ticket with McCain.

    October 3, 2008 06:37 pm at 6:37 pm |
  20. Stephen

    The GOP is falling apart, not because of Pallin or Mccain, but because of its platform. Americans are finally realizing the depth to which the GOP has harmed this nation. We have fallen behind at almost every level. Education in math and science, broad band access, healthcare quality and affordability, technological advances, the climate crisis... and especially alternative energy development.

    Remember that it was Ronald Reagan, their patron saint, who cancelled tax breaks for alternative energy development. Now the chickens come home to roost, and what is the GOP response? “Drill Baby Drill.” This is preposterous to any thinking person, and on November 4th, the Republicans will lose not only the White house, but Congresional seats, governorships and court appointments. FINALLY, enough people are OUTRAGED, and the chorus throughout the land will be:

    THROW THE BUMS OUT. Thank you Pennsylvania and New Hampshire!

    October 3, 2008 06:38 pm at 6:38 pm |
  21. woodburn

    Gosh, that American flag lapel pin that Gov. Palin is shown wearing in her debate with Sen. Biden, is HUGE !! It's twice as big as the American flag lapel pin Sen. Biden is wearing,..So, the question,- is the person who wears the biggest flag the most patriotic; the most American? And, since Abraham Lincoln and George Washington didn't wear flag lapel pins, – were they less patriotic?

    October 3, 2008 06:39 pm at 6:39 pm |
  22. TexicoFrom Mexico

    What McCain needs to do is send all of you Republican voters your money back. 1. Because this is election is so lost . And secondly because you will need it as soon asthis bailout fails and another 1 million jobs are lost. You people really don't get it do you, maybe Obama is not "the savior" but he sure as hell is better than 4 more years of the same. The last thing we need in the White House is stupidity...again! Everyone needs to go see the movie W on the 22nd of October and you will see just what a moron you elected last time is. So go on, love your hockey mom again for a couple of weeks....yes she a nice litele cheerleeader but at some point she will have to face the press unscripted...again and again....then you will be back to asking yourself why you are such a moron for supporting her and MR. HOT TEMPER. Both of them are rude and condiscending...McCain's wife looks like an angry Tammy Baker with layers of makeup caked on. So sad you people are.....

    October 3, 2008 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  23. Anonymous

    ye baby. mccain ain't going nowhere .

    October 3, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  24. OH

    My tally of the count is closer to 407 electoral votes. This is going to be a land slide. Bill Clinton got 379 against Dole in 1996 and was the highest since 1968.

    The new phrase for this election will be: "The Tsunami of 2008" "The Election Tsunami of 2008" or something in that nature. You heard it here first.

    I will not be surprised if McCain looses a few RED States too; given the fact that no one is polling the voters who have cell phones only.

    How about McCain loosing Arizona too??? Yikes!

    October 3, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  25. TheSideliner

    I am hoping the Obama people do not let McAudacious of hook after he pulled out of Michingan....Michingan is being hit hard by the economy and Jhon McShame decided to walk out on them instead of trying to convince these hard working people that he got the right stuff to help them out of thier misery.................McLooser, what make you think you can win over the other states that have been hit hard like Michingan?............McBush you just don't have what it takes to solve our problems.......Blue states all around Obama/Biden 08

    October 3, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
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