October 3rd, 2008
02:00 PM ET
14 years ago

Obama gains in NH, maintains lead in PA

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/10/03/art.boptpa1003.ap.jpg caption="Sen. Obama campaigned in Pennsylvania Friday where he currently holds a 10-point lead over Sen. McCain, according to a new CNN Pennsylvania poll of polls."]
(CNN) – A day after the McCain campaign announced that it is shifting resources out of Michigan and into other battleground states, CNN’s latest polls of polls in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania suggest that Sen. John McCain may face an uphill battle in both states between now and Election Day.

Sen. Barack Obama is now ahead in New Hampshire by 6 percentage points. Obama has the support of 48 percent of likely voters in New Hampshire while McCain’s support stands at 42 percent and 10 percent are unsure about their choice for president.

In CNN’s previous New Hampshire poll of polls released on September 26, Obama was up by two points – 46 percent to McCain’s 44 percent.

During the Democratic primaries, Obama lost Pennsylvania to Sen. Hillary Clinton. In CNN’s latest poll of polls, however, Obama leads McCain by 10 percentage points with likely Pennsylvania voters – 51 percent versus 41 percent, with 8 percent unsure. In CNN’s previous Pennsylvania poll of polls released on October 1, Obama also led McCain by 10 points – 49 percent to 39 percent.

“The New Hampshire numbers in particular are a worrisome sign for the McCain campaign,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Granite State voters saved McCain in the 2000 and 2008 Republican primaries. He’s had high hopes for the state’s four electoral votes in November. But New Hampshire is a state that, like the rest of New England, is increasingly tilting Democratic. At least for now, it looks as if McCain’s personal connection to the state may not be enough. At the same time, Obama’s double-digit lead in Pennsylvania is threatening to keep that state’s 21 electoral votes out of serious contention in the campaign’s final days.”

CNN’s New Hampshire general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Research 2000 (September 22-24), Suffolk University (September 21-24), and St. Anselm College Institute of Politics (September 25-30).

CNN’s Pennsylvania general election poll of polls released Friday is composed of the following three surveys: Quinnipiac (September 27-29), Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (September 27 October 1), and Franklin & Marshall (September 23-28).

CNN’s polls of polls do not have a margin of error.

soundoff (239 Responses)

    Obama never going to be President to my and my family.I don't trust him at all.

    October 3, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  2. Curliss

    Yes she can ! Yes she can!

    Palin keep telling the truth. Tell them about McCains tax and health plan that will benefit them up to 2018. Keep telling them that a "white flag of surrender" in Iraq will bring down america both miltarily and financially. The world will no longer see america as a source of strength. Keep telling them, that its the same old insiders that are running for President, but yet, there is one ticket with an outsider that can bring perspective and realness to one of those tickets. Keep telling them about Obama's upbringing in a church that preached hatred about america and white folk.

    McCain / Palin 2008/16!

    October 3, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  3. woodburn

    Whoever started this silly thing about we are not good Americans,- unless we wear an American flag lapel pin????

    October 3, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  4. marilyn

    Who are these 'undecided' voters? Sept-Oct upswing for Obama-Biden is partly from new campus registrations of college students. now being polled. But there are still ~6% to 9% 'undecided' - scary. I don't know any, except a few grumpy Hillary fans who will go Obama in the end as they don't like McCain or Palin. (They are dog owners appalled by her wolf $50 kill-bounty and aerial hunting approval, for one thing.)
    Who are the others??

    October 3, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  5. Common Sense in Texas

    So there are that many that hate Bush in PA. and NH.? That's good, now lets listen to what "THESE" candidates have to say and not the same old Hate Bush Vote Dem, routine. Are you listening to Obama or has your hatred made you turn a deaf ear?
    Hope and Change baby, Hope and Change.

    October 3, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  6. Henna

    Bush made a crack in this country and if Obama is elected GOD FORBID! He will take this country down so badly that all of America will never be able to recover. Obama is a very dangersous person and has ties with all radical leftys. All you guys praying and cheering along with this LIBERAL MEIDA will regret it.... OBAMA IS MAKING A FOOL OUT THIS COUNTRY.

    October 3, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  7. Joe

    After all of McBush's disgusting political grand standing and gimmicks while America's economy slid towards a great Depression.
    The voters have finally had enough of the dis honest, angry, selfish little man.

    October 3, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  8. NickH

    I don't think the Katie Couric interviews should be overlooked. Does the U.S. really want leadership at the top you can have a beer with again? I think the lessons may have been learned. Hoping at least.

    October 3, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  9. karen-phoenix

    As a 40 year republican I'm sending Obama/Biden money!!!! After last night disgusting performance by Palin I truely question McCain's judgement all the way back to his envolvement with the Keating 5!! He is reckless and narcisstic and just toooo old!!!! AND Palin has NO education as all. She can only parrot what has been spoon feed her and NO MORE "folksy" little twitches. She's not running for Miss America!!! God bless Obama/Biden and our country!

    October 3, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  10. Machiavelli, Baton Rouge, LA

    Is it getting a little late in the campaigning for McCain to make up ground on Obama in some very key states? McCain has had well over a year to connect, or disconnect if you wish, with voters. Therefore, if he has not done so in that time, how can he possibly do it with only a month to go before the general election? However, McCain does have the RNC and PAC's to put out some ads fin battleground states for him, but how long will they continue to spend on ads when they see that Obama's lead is increasing across the electorate?

    For one thing, McCain does not have the war chest that Obama does.

    Secondly, by Obama picking up states that the Republicans have won for years–some for decades–it forces McCain to spend a lot of money, that he doesn't have, on states that have traditionally voted Republican.

    Lastly, McCain is just running out of time because television ads alone will not convince a large bloc of well informed, disenchanted voters right now. People are upset about the Wall Street bailout when they are losing their jobs, and for some them their homes. To win those states that are turning blue, McCain will have to make a lot of stops throughout them, and the number of Democratic-leaning states are only increasing. Even at a younger age, McCain would not be able to keep up with the pace of campaigning that much over the course of a month.

    October 3, 2008 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  11. tasha

    good work people lets work together to elect best person for the job and i hope the we do it. and work to get everyone to VOTE FOR OBAMA

    October 3, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  12. iquriqpuri

    virginia/arizona will be next for the Obama campaign!

    October 3, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  13. Cackles in Pennsylvania

    John McCain calls Sarah Palin , Viva La Barracuda in a speech today ...What's that all about???......... Slimy McCain is losing it big time, this is why the polls are tipping in Obama's favor, YIPPEE!!!!!!!!........keep up the good work McCain, we like to see you slip sliding away in the polls and you are doing it all by yourself with such stupid remarks and continually lying to the American people......

    Economic disaster caused by greed and deregulation in 2008, do we need more of this?????....McCain/Palin will give you more of the same

    Vote Obama/Biden in Pennsylvania on 11/4/2008

    October 3, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  14. ozzi murphy

    The change in the polls are cofirmation of 3 things for McCain.
    Most Americans are resentful for becoming poorer at home because of the war in iraq(you know the war that was suppose to be quick according to Bush, McCain and The Republicans). Why do we have to suffer? Number 2, McCain erratic behavior during crisis proves he is unfit to handle pressure of the presidency. Three, that his politcal stunt to place a psycho soccer mom/joe six pack in a position to have the real chance of running the country has failed. Everyone knows that she was picked for two reasons...One to get Hillary's votes. Two, to pick someone who did not run against him so there would be no record of difference of opinion between the two like biden and obama.
    After the debate Palin left me with the distinct impression that I had just watched a Psycho PTA Mom. Her condescending tone aimed at her opponent and misleading and evasive answers evinced exactly how crazy and identical this female counterpart is to George Bush.

    October 3, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  15. Get Real America

    That's what I'm talking about!!!!

    October 3, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  16. Ed

    Beautiful. Americans are taking back their country and rejecting the politics of fear, lies, hypocrisy and corruption.

    Vote Obama-Biden!

    October 3, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
  17. Obama-Junkie, IL

    Obamacrats, Obamacans, Obamabots and Obamalites do not stop!

    Don't let the polls lull you into complacency! Keep calling, keep donating, and keep volunteering! The finish line is only 32 days away!

    October 3, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
  18. Darrel from Denver

    The right course and speed. Keep at it Obama!

    October 3, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
  19. Kimberly

    Regan – Fiscal Conservative – $200+ Billion deficit
    Bush 41 – Fiscal Conservative – $300 Billion deficit
    Clinton – Tax & Spend Liberal – $200+ Billion surplus
    Bush 43- Fiscal Conservative – $482 Billion deficit
    McCain – Regan – Fiscal Conservative – Stay tuned.......

    October 3, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |


    October 3, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
  21. Mike

    It will all come down to getting out the vote!

    October 3, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  22. ATL Stompin!

    Will this comment make it? I doubt it. CNN and their moderators be trippin' fa' real.

    Post this comment!

    Obama and Biden are live and on tour! Get ready to move on up...to the east side!

    October 3, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  23. Kimberly

    Regan – Fiscal Conservative – $200+ Billion deficit
    Bush 41 – Fiscal Conservative – $300 Billion deficit
    Clinton – Tax & Spend Liberal – $200+ Billion surplus
    Bush 43- Fiscal Conservative – $482 Billion deficit
    McCain – Fiscal Conservative – Stay tuned…….

    October 3, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  24. ozzi murphy

    PS Jack

    She scares me............................

    October 3, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  25. joe

    The fact is clear and the election results are on screen
    crystal clear right now.Americans must gain their lost glory.
    Obama is cooking good for 08.Smell....

    October 3, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
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