October 17th, 2008
10:15 AM ET
13 years ago

Obama's lead falls two points in new CNN Poll of Polls


The latest CNN Poll of Polls shows Obama's lead over McCain dropping by 2 points.(AP PHOTO)

(CNN) - A new average of the most recent national polls suggests Sen. Barack Obama holds a 6-point lead over Sen. John McCain.

The CNN Poll of Polls, compiled Friday morning, indicates that 49 percent of Americans say Obama, D-Illinois, is their choice for president, with 43 percent backing McCain, R-Arizona. Eight percent of those questioned are undecided.

Watch: Polls show Obama is leading McCain

The previous edition, compiled Thursday, indicated Obama had an 8-point lead over McCain, 50-42 percent.

This edition of the CNN Poll of Polls averaged four surveys: an American Research Group poll conducted October 11-13; a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby survey taken October 13-16; a Gallup poll conducted October 13-15; and a Diageo/Hotline survey taken October 13-15.

soundoff (183 Responses)
  1. Helen

    Calling all Democrats!!!

    Start voting as soon as you can. I am from Florida where early voting starts on October 20th.

    GET OUT AND VOTE PEOPLE. THIS IS GOING TO BE A MATTER OF SINK (REPUBLICANS) OR SWIM (DEMOCRATS). I think after the last four years i would rather swim.


    October 17, 2008 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  2. Dan

    Come on folks, do you really think Palin could walk into the oval office and run it? Really? This election is the biggest election of the century! If the foreign policy of the United States remains as is, we will have nothing left of out Military by this time next year. The rest of the world wants Obama, because he represents a better approach to dealing with world issues. One that the rest of the world needs to help us with. John is nothing more than an extension of Bush.

    October 17, 2008 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  3. Sarah

    I can't believe American will be cheated again...4 more years with McSame will destroy the American econmy completely...

    We need completely different direction to recover

    October 17, 2008 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  4. Doris,Memphis,TN

    Barack Obama will win because of two words "Sarah Palin".

    October 17, 2008 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  5. Brandon

    I don't put any faith in these polls, I don't even know why news media's do them for.

    October 17, 2008 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  6. Muslims for Obama

    I don't actually believe this story.....Obama will win and we need him to win.

    October 17, 2008 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  7. Michelle Marietta

    This news should motivate Obama/Biden voters to vote Nov. 4th, or take advantage of early voting.

    This is a very scary time for America and a McCain and Scary Palin win could be the end all for America.

    McCain=Bush......more failures for America, soup lines,national security problems, and more hate for us Americans from other countries.

    Vote to save America....Vote Obama/Biden

    October 17, 2008 08:50 am at 8:50 am |
  8. Old one

    Please replace Palin with The Plumber. He appeared for more interviews that Palin.

    Joe the Plumber for VP.......

    October 17, 2008 08:50 am at 8:50 am |
  9. Dan from Kitchener

    Republican Conservative Kathleen Parker was on the Stephen Colbert show a couple of days ago and all but said she was voting for Obama. Now she has written a column slamming the Republican Party for the way they have sent her hate mail and treated Wm. Buckley Jr. and openly states the Republican Party has been taken over by extremists and kooks.

    More and more sensible Republicans are opting for Obama which will subsequently show up on November 4th. It's good the news medias want to keep the polling close for their own benefit as it rallies Obama supporters and doesn't allow them to take anything forgranted.

    Obama/Biden in November by 100 electoral votes no doubt about it.

    October 17, 2008 08:50 am at 8:50 am |
  10. Margaret

    Oh, puh-lease. Big deal. All this emphasizes is that all Obama-supporters should BE SURE TO VOTE and not take a win for granted. We can demonstrate that the polls are only an indication of the front-runner. Let's all make this a land-slide election in Barack Obama's favor!

    October 17, 2008 08:50 am at 8:50 am |
  11. Richard Sattich - Georgetown Ky.

    6 points is a good lead.
    Much more than that and people start
    thinking it is over before they vote and
    decide not to bother. This way everyone
    knows they still need to vote and encourage
    others to vote.

    October 17, 2008 08:50 am at 8:50 am |
  12. jim in nc

    Oh boy...here it goes. The chance for the media to start WRITING the news. You guys have been wanting a scandal riddled campaign that's a horse race. Now, a couple of bounce points in the polls (probably because of the fortuitous and GOP-friendly SUDDEN PLUNGE in gas prices in the last five days) and you get to go nuts. You need the race to be a tight horse race for RATINGS. You're not covering the news.

    Here...let me give you a hand: Ask about the Palin's card carying status in a traitorous secessionist movement in Alaska. Ask about it! Cover the calls from Palin in rallies about Obama "not being one of us." It's your job to be hard on all candidates, not just cover what the GOP says about the challenger. Do it!

    October 17, 2008 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  13. activist mom

    Hahahahah. Every time the MSM tries manipulate the polls to make it look like a close race-which they do in order to sell ads-our people just work harder to be SURE they are wrong.

    Go Team Obama!

    October 17, 2008 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  14. Rob R

    Who cares. Every poll is different. I mean one poll can show Obama up by 11 and another show him up by 2. When you're sampling 800 people out of about 150,000,000 voters OBVIOUSLY there are going to be some differences.

    As long as voter turnout is high Obama will win in a landslide.

    The public has given Obama/Biden decisive victories in all of the debates. Obama's favorability ratings are higher than McCain's, and the majority of voters think Obama is best suited to fix the economy by a wide margin. So, given those things, what hope does McCain possibly have?

    October 17, 2008 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  15. Bruce

    this is not a big swing and other polls show gians...so bottom line is...
    it ani't over till its over
    Now as for Joe the plumber...come on this guy was a plant...
    and he is not s licensed plumber , the business he works for is not licensed as a plumber, and he is not buying the business.
    he makes 40K a year and would benefit in that realm from Obama's tax plan, plus, fot hsioe who are arigning their hands,...as I understand it the additonal tax would be on the amoount over 250K, not the whole amount.
    Repubs before you spin things read, and learn the facts. The lies need to stop or this country is in trouble.

    October 17, 2008 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  16. C A

    Take heart Obama supporters.

    There is no swing here and there won't be a swing. Everyone has to get out and vote.

    Remember it is the electoral college votes that count and there is no way McCain can catch Obama now even if McCain were to take those States still identified as toss up States. And Obama is neck and neck as well as slightly ahead in several of those toss up States.

    Obama will take this election with nearly 334 electoral votes. You can count on it.

    But get out there and vote. If you can vote early do so, and then for the rest of us let's pack those voting places on Nov. 4. no matter how long the lines are and how long we have to stand in line. Take lunch or diner in a picnic basket and camp out in those lines if necessary. Let's give Obama a clear mandate.

    October 17, 2008 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  17. Gail

    Gosh – It's not over 'til the fat lady sings. I hope that this country will see that McCain/Palin should just go bye-bye.... John McCain is one of the most negative people I've ever seen. Palin makes women look bad – somehow I can't see her as president of this great country.

    October 17, 2008 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  18. Jaye

    For goodness sake people we have to pay taxes!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Look what 8 years of low taxes have done to our country!!!!
    The more you earn the more you pay. Period.

    October 17, 2008 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  19. True Blue Ohio

    I do not trust the polls, I think they are more of an attempt to shape public opinion than a reflection of public opinion.

    October 17, 2008 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  20. KJL

    This just shows what fools a lot of people are. That "Joe the plumber" fiasco got McCain a lot of publicity, even though the guy isn't a Joe and isn't a plumber. Americans seem to want a joke rather than a competent president. Lord help us if they get one.

    October 17, 2008 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  21. Keith

    Interesting choice of polls. Hotline/Diego has a weighting problem (showing Dems only +2). Not sure which of the THREE Gallup models you are using, but the traditional model is predicated on Republicans having GREATER turnout than Democrats (which is traditional). No one thinks that will be the case this year. And then there is ZOGBY. I don't need to go there.

    If you are going to use tracking polls, use all of them and weight the results. This cherry picking to show tightness is pretty ridiculous.

    October 17, 2008 08:52 am at 8:52 am |
  22. PA voter

    Watch McCain's supporters jump for joy. Polls are like the stock market. I wouldn't be suprised if Obama has a 12 point lead tomorrow.

    October 17, 2008 08:52 am at 8:52 am |
  23. Michelle, PA

    This was never going to be a 10 or 11 point blowout, and most people who follow these things know it. The country is too divided for the race not to close near the finish line. However, it is going to be extremely difficult for McCain to catch up enough to take the White House. Dems, don't rest on your laurels – Difficult does not mean Impossible.

    Just remember, McCain may very well win Oklahoma by 50 or more points – but that gets him the same number of Electoral College votes as if he had won it by 2 points. Obama may win Ohio by 2 points, but he gets the same number of EC votes if he won it by 50 points. Eyes on the prize!

    October 17, 2008 08:53 am at 8:53 am |
  24. hank

    Never under estimate the stupidity of the American people. A wannabe cowboy was elected 8 years ago who started this mess. An angry old white man will continue the mess.

    October 17, 2008 08:53 am at 8:53 am |
  25. votenow

    Everyone vote!!!! Obama WILL win as well he deserves.. and please stop it with Joe the Plumber, he doesnt make anywhere near $250,000 and evidently can't pay his taxes even under George Bush ( back taxes approx. 1200.) this guy should not be a viable person that america is trying to relate to.. and will you people please vote based on informed facts, foxx news is not a news source, it is a continuous running commercial for John Mccain.. people should vote on what serves their best interest, 95% should vote Obama and the rest ( if you were the true christians you say you are) than you should vote for Obama as well, spread the wealth, spread the love, spread the peace, it is in the Good for everyone!!!

    October 17, 2008 08:53 am at 8:53 am |
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