October 17th, 2008
10:15 AM ET
13 years ago

Obama's lead falls two points in new CNN Poll of Polls


The latest CNN Poll of Polls shows Obama's lead over McCain dropping by 2 points.(AP PHOTO)

(CNN) - A new average of the most recent national polls suggests Sen. Barack Obama holds a 6-point lead over Sen. John McCain.

The CNN Poll of Polls, compiled Friday morning, indicates that 49 percent of Americans say Obama, D-Illinois, is their choice for president, with 43 percent backing McCain, R-Arizona. Eight percent of those questioned are undecided.

Watch: Polls show Obama is leading McCain

The previous edition, compiled Thursday, indicated Obama had an 8-point lead over McCain, 50-42 percent.

This edition of the CNN Poll of Polls averaged four surveys: an American Research Group poll conducted October 11-13; a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby survey taken October 13-16; a Gallup poll conducted October 13-15; and a Diageo/Hotline survey taken October 13-15.

soundoff (183 Responses)
  1. Observant Voter from Texas

    Barack the vote!!!

    October 17, 2008 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  2. Election Watcher

    Please America, for the sake of your own wellbeing and the rest of the world, please don't choose Barack Obama for president. Please think clearly, there is a need for a stable and unifying president in your country!!

    October 17, 2008 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  3. Steven

    Panic!! These polls are getting silly. Remember, this is not a national election so national polls are irrelevnt at this point. As long as Obama has a higher positivity rating, and holds his leads in key states, the election will his to loose and not McCains to win. Surveys in national polls sway due to who is being interviewed and who is being honest when saying they are independent. The only numbers that are more volitile than the stock market are the media's poll numbers.

    October 17, 2008 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  4. C A

    Bill October 17th, 2008 8:36 am ET
    Gallup changed its model to only those voters who have voted in the last two elections.

    In fact Bill, according to various news organizations (and Gallup) Gallup has already suspended any further polling as it is unnecessary due to Obama's insurmontable lead.

    Get to the polls and vote!

    October 17, 2008 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  5. Buckeye Voter

    Perhaps the margin of victory will slip from a rout into a mere landslide.

    October 17, 2008 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  6. W Spivey Merritt Island, FL

    The only Poll that counts is the one taken on Nov 4th.

    October 17, 2008 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  7. Liliana, FL

    I will help you get Florida Mac!

    October 17, 2008 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  8. Brian

    Would you please publish a detailed description of your "methodology" for calculating the poll of polls? I have located elsewhere the underlying data from the four polls you mention and I cannot reproduce the results you come up with. I suspect you are doing something that is unsupported by mathematical theory but I cannot be sure since you do not say how you actually arrive at your results. Please describe the process.

    October 17, 2008 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  9. jeremy - tx

    Everyone settle down. These polls have gone back and forth just about every day since day 1. mcCain might have lost the third debate, but he did a little better than he did in the other 2. His numbers will go up alightly because of that. He's going to try and use Joe the plumber to his advantage, but I'm not convinced that will really help him all that much. He's already started another barage of negative attack ads and phone calls. They've blown up on him the entire election season so far. It will happen again.

    If nothing else, fellow Obama supporters, use this as fuel to get yourselves out there and vote. VOTE EARLY IF YOU CAN. We are in control of the country's destiny, and that control is ours to lose. We must continue to maintain the upper hand.

    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  10. vwbusguy

    Somethings wrong with the math. 49 – 43 and 8% are undecided? There's 6 points difference between 43 and 49%.

    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  11. John W.

    The best line John McCain, have going for him. "I am not George Bush". Well, John nobody is saying you are George Bush. You are George Bush's YES MAN.

    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  12. Scott Whitehill- Omaha, Nebraska

    ..Poles, schmoles.. John McCain is Toledo, and Barack Obama is Michigan...

    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  13. Justin

    O.K people, polling 101... You put 10,000 red marbles and 10,000 blue marbles in a bag, shake them up, and pull out 5. A very small percent of marbles are drawn on, and from day to day you will get different marbles (Monday 3 red, 2 blue Tuesday 4 red one blue etc),
    a more telling poll would be to take 500 marbles out of the bag and put them on a table and see if they change color.

    The moral of the story is, when it comes to polls, DON"T LOSE YOUR MARBLES, at the end of the day, the finish line is still the decider.

    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  14. patriot

    Calm down, Nightingale. Turns out Joe the Plumber isn't who McCain implied he was. Turns out he only makes about $40k per year and has a lien against his house because he hasn't been paying his state taxes (BTW, doesn't even have plumbing license! He says he doesn't need one because his employer has one., which is BS). Obama's tax plan would actually help him more than McCain's would, given his tru circumstances. And even if we really were able to "buy a plumbing business", he'd still be ahead with Obama's plan!

    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  15. Kevin

    It is all about have effectively the Republicans can get people to vote against their own interests.

    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  16. SD

    Army and Navy Mom, Army Spouse/Retired here (25+ Years) I am with you. I voted already in early voting...and have not doubt, close race/land slide either or, we'll take it. VETERAN FOR OBAMA!!!! I been in battles before and I feel it. I feel a victory!!


    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  17. Shawn - Ga

    The secrect service can find no evidence nor a single witness to anyone ever calling out "kill him" you see you are so filled with hate that your minds simply heard it that way. This says a lot more about the listener than it does anyone else.

    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  18. Jenny from the block

    Polls don't access cell phone users. Most young people today are both Obama supporters and lack a land line they use cell phones. Simply because they cannot and are not polled, does not mean they won't show up and vote – and we all know that Obama is their candidate of choice AND that they have the strongest swing vote of any time period. I'm not one bit worried that there is a 1% difference in the numbers stated in these so-called accurate polls ( which always have a difference of +/- 3 or more points anyway lol! )

    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  19. Bob

    Who cares how Poland would vote?

    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  20. jason from woodbridge nj

    mcaniacs it's the electoral vote that counts

    October 17, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  21. Marianne




    October 17, 2008 08:59 am at 8:59 am |
  22. Juan

    Polls mean absolutely nothing. Polls don't win elections, they just give the media (ALL MEDIA) something to write about and give them a sense of control over the situation. This election will be determined by votes cast in key "toss-up" states.

    October 17, 2008 08:59 am at 8:59 am |
  23. I am Only 90% Bush

    Hahahaha....The momemtum will begin again. The Obama "surge" is coming!

    October 17, 2008 08:59 am at 8:59 am |
  24. Lorna, NY

    CNN is really BIASED!

    October 17, 2008 08:59 am at 8:59 am |
  25. Richard

    Seems some people can still look at the state of the world today and the state of our country, and say " Yep, this is what I like and want for my children."

    October 17, 2008 08:59 am at 8:59 am |
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