October 21st, 2008
04:07 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN Poll of Polls: Obama leads by nine points

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/10/21/art.shake1021.ap.jpg caption="The two presidential rivals shook hands after their last debate as their wives looked on."]
(CNN) - Sen. Barack Obama has his largest lead so far over rival Sen. John McCain, according to CNN’s latest national poll of polls.

Obama leads McCain by nine points in the poll of polls released Tuesday – 51 percent to 42 percent. Seven percent of those surveyed are unsure about their choice for president.

In Monday’s CNN’s poll of polls, Obama’s lead over McCain was seven points – 51 percent to 44 percent.

“Today’s Poll of Polls average reflects the fact that Obama has moved into a commanding position in the presidential race,” said CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Obama is either tied or ahead in all of the battleground states. The Democrats now have what may be a decisive edge in terms of voter enthusiasm and financial resources. The financial meltdown has played to Obama’s advantage. By most measurements, McCain was not able to use the debates to gain ground on Obama. And most of the campaign is now being waged in previously red states. While anything can happen in the remaining two weeks, it’s hard not to conclude that McCain’s back is against the wall.”

Tuesday’s CNN poll of polls is composed of the following six national general election surveys of likely voters: Pew (October 16-19), CNN/ORC (October 17-19), ABC/Washington Post (October 16-19), Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (October 18-20), Gallup (October 18-20) and Diageo/Hotline (October 18-20). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

soundoff (270 Responses)
  1. Angelicious

    Keep working, Obama supporters - let's get out the vote and not depend on what polls say. We can't stop till we're through the finish line and Obama is safely elected. With hard work, in January, we can begin to see the change we all want and need so desperately, and the damage the republicans have done to our country will be a thing of the past. We'll have to deal with the results of eight years of terrible hardship, but we will pull out of it and overcome the damage Bush and McCain and the rest of their gang have done to us. And Palin can get back to gutting harmless animals in Alaska.

    October 21, 2008 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  2. Rob Johnson

    The Powell endorsement seems to have already had a slight effect, and will probably be the straw that breaks McCain's back.

    You also have to consider the "bandwagon effect." Everybody loves a winner, and as it becomes clearer that Obama is headed for victory, people will start breaking towards him so they can back the winning team. His final margin could be in double digits.

    During the height of Palinmania, after the GOP convention, I was genuinely worried for the future of America, not to mention the sanity of the average American. Thank God we woke up in time! 🙂

    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  3. FactCheck

    John McCain, you have lost the race. For the sake of your legacy and for the sake of your party, you would do wise to follow the advise from your fellow party members and run a respectable campaign (no more Ayers, Rev Wright, or similar junk). When you are bleeding, it is best to put a band aid than to put acid on the wound.

    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |


    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  5. Rich

    Two more weeks and it'll all be over. Finally.

    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  6. Al, NY NY

    Nice but I am more interested in FL, OH, VA, NC, NV statewide polls. Even 2 of those states would pretty much seal JM and the Moose's fate. He's back to the senate. She is thankfully back to huntin', fishin', wittlin' and all the other things those Joe six packs/Joe the plumber/whatever do up in the Yukon. See ya Sarah!!!

    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  7. Bob Indianapolis IN

    CBS says 12 points but whose gonna guibble?


    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  8. tulsa

    Just vote people.

    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  9. hurriCAIN PALIN

    who are they polling? mostly registered democrats? screw the polls,

    they fluctuate daily, for the nobama democrats – that means the polls

    go up and down, back and forth, got it? sorry that you guys suffer from

    idiocy. theres a sleeping republican giant thats goin to wake up and

    smash nobama, come nov.4. theres a whole lot more support for

    mccain than everyone thinks

    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  10. lou

    The only thing that can beat us now is complacency. Dont be lazy...get out and VOTE!!!! Rain or shine,we need you to get everybody out. There is no excuse.....

    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  11. Chi4Obama

    Well all this means is that we will hear more of a "gutter" political strategy from John McCain. It's obvious the GOP can't win on issues, which is why the only thing they have left are things like name calling, and race baiting.

    Get ready to hear more from the GOP about A.C.O.R.N, Bill Ayers, Obama's socialist policies, and of course Rev. Wright over the next 2 weeks. They will use code words like "Dangerous", "Terrorist", and "unpatriotic" when making reference to Obama.

    Too bad it won't work. Short of the McCain camp stealing the election, they are pretty much a sinking ship.

    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  12. Barbara - 65 yr old white female in NC

    We're tired of the Fear, Smear, Lie, campaigning of the republicans. Will they ever learn?


    Obama/Biden – vote early

    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  13. Oak Brook, IL

    Obama's cool like that!

    October 21, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  14. junie

    Finally some reality from CNN. Obama has to hold PA and win Colorado and it is over. Currently he is winning both comfortably.

    He doesn't need Ohio or Florida or NC or Virginia or Indiana or Missouri or Nevada. He is holding all Kerry's states and has included NM and Iowa which puts him at 268 with over 100 toss-up electoral votes in play in states he is either tied or leading.

    The margin of victory will be decided based on home many of the 7 aformentioned states he wins.

    I know your rating matter, but just be straight and stop with the polls are tightening stories and give us the truth.

    Like the Emperor and Darth Vader before them, the Republicans are done.

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  15. Kim

    Vote! And vote early if you can - make sure your vote counts!

    Go Obama!

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  16. Eight is enough ...

    So – after watching the Republicans steal the last two elections ... 2000 by out-and-out repudiation of the constitution and 2004 through manipulating the Ohio election system ... I am still scared that McCain and Caribou Barbie will win

    I have to believe the American public will do the right thing – but not sure what other tricks McCain and company have up their sleeves

    So let's not be complacent – get out the vote and do EVERYTHING you can to ensure folks vote for Barack – our children's future depends on it as does the future of the world ...

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |

    Obama: Future
    McCain: Yesterday

    What more can I say?

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  18. The Stallion & The Champ vs. The Old Mule and Winky Half-baked Alaska

    Can someone please change Crybaby Grampy and Caribou Barbie's diapers now that they have been soiled more than usual looking at the polls? Don't forget Rick Davis' and Nancy Pfotenhauer's granny pants while you're at it. Maybe that's too much to ask of pathological lying, pill-poppin', plasticized, Botoxed, Amphibia-eyed Cindy Lou McShambles.

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  19. Joe (Ex-Republican)

    The finish is near for Bush/McCain Policies

    Sen. Obama & Sen. Biden 08

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  20. CA 4 Obama

    Don't let this lead stop any od us Obama fans from voting. We can only win if we ALL vote- even if he is ahead in the polls. It's the result on November 4th that actually counts!!!

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  21. Liberated!

    Me and three of my co-workers voted today in FL for Obama/Biden. CHANGE WE CAN BELIEVE IN IS COMING! We are doing everything to turn FL deep BLUE!

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  22. proud american

    get used to it- President Barack Obama

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  23. John S

    It should be a lot wider. I think the polls do not reflect the real margin for Obama. I really believe that the margin would be around 58 % Obama and 36 % McCain. I truely believe Obama will win this Presidential Race with the biggest win margin ever in American Political History. As a Canadian hoping and praying that Americans do the right thing for themselves, I couldn't be more prouder of you all. . Show the world what happens when a political party forgets who they work for. America, show the whole world what real Democray is

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  24. Diana Ewing NJ

    Isn't great he did that without TRASHING the man he is running against..... Vote early on Nov. 4th

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  25. D. Jones


    If McPalin was ahead 9 points would you say Poll of Polls picks the Dork of Dorks – can't say I'm surprised???????

    October 21, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
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