October 21st, 2008
04:07 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN Poll of Polls: Obama leads by nine points

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/10/21/art.shake1021.ap.jpg caption="The two presidential rivals shook hands after their last debate as their wives looked on."]
(CNN) - Sen. Barack Obama has his largest lead so far over rival Sen. John McCain, according to CNN’s latest national poll of polls.

Obama leads McCain by nine points in the poll of polls released Tuesday – 51 percent to 42 percent. Seven percent of those surveyed are unsure about their choice for president.

In Monday’s CNN’s poll of polls, Obama’s lead over McCain was seven points – 51 percent to 44 percent.

“Today’s Poll of Polls average reflects the fact that Obama has moved into a commanding position in the presidential race,” said CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Obama is either tied or ahead in all of the battleground states. The Democrats now have what may be a decisive edge in terms of voter enthusiasm and financial resources. The financial meltdown has played to Obama’s advantage. By most measurements, McCain was not able to use the debates to gain ground on Obama. And most of the campaign is now being waged in previously red states. While anything can happen in the remaining two weeks, it’s hard not to conclude that McCain’s back is against the wall.”

Tuesday’s CNN poll of polls is composed of the following six national general election surveys of likely voters: Pew (October 16-19), CNN/ORC (October 17-19), ABC/Washington Post (October 16-19), Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (October 18-20), Gallup (October 18-20) and Diageo/Hotline (October 18-20). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

soundoff (270 Responses)
  1. Barnhardt in NC

    Let's FINISH THE DEAL. You have to get out and vote. If you have early voting, vote NOW. We want to not just win, we want a landslide to send a message that the Bush failure will cost the GOP for years to come.

    October 21, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  2. Leericists


    October 21, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  3. al in memphis

    People know why this economy is messed up. From a political party point, they both are liable. The trouble for the Republicians is that they can't disconnect truly free capital markets from "capital gains tax breaks" Even with 8+ years of reduced capital gains tax, the jobs were still exported to other countries because of the lower wage scale.
    Voters understand more than what some politicans have given them credit for.

    October 21, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  4. Bruce

    The lights have come on in the minds of those who really are concerned about the FUTURE OBAMA is th FUTURE

    October 21, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  5. Countdown with Keith Olbermann

    Dear Senator McCain, do what's right for your country and put your country first one more time... please drop out of the race and endorse Senator Obama so we can get this country moving in the right direction again, thank you.


    October 21, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  6. Ryan in VA


    October 21, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  7. Palin is an Idiot

    Go Obama!

    Only an idiot would vote for McCain/Palin.



    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  8. Average Republican

    And thats not counting new voters, voters with cell phones and dosent count all the brainless that will get lost on their way to vote for McBush.

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  9. Oh! The Irony

    Obama is like a boa constricter, slowly killing his prey. We need to make sure he finishes them off. Go vote. Do not get complacent. This election is not over until Nov 5th, not Nov 4th. After Obama wins, then we need to change this country. He can't do it himself.

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  10. Leslie from Garden Grove, CA


    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  11. Grant

    I'm a little confused by the polls. Wasn't there a story just yesterday on CNN about how the race had tightened to 5 points nationally? Regardless, if it rings true, it's good news for the US.

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  12. vahe

    Rob please forget about coming on this site

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  13. Y


    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  14. Chris

    Obama is sealing the deal. Don't put too much faith in the polls but I'm hoping that nothing major happens to sway a lot of minds/hearts.

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  15. paulie_nj

    Here's how McCain's tax credit would work when referring to how he will tax your employer's health care benfit:

    Your a family earning $80,000 per year. Your employer provides a $12,000 health insurance plan. Your family would pay taxes on their $12,000 employer-provided health benefit, resulting in owing $3,000 more in taxes if they fall into the 25% tax bracket. Here's what Obama leaves out when hitting McCain on this: McCain is providing the family with a $5,000 tax credit to offset any new tax liability. So in the above example the family would pay an addt'l $3,000 in taxes but will have $2,000 left over to put in their pockets, and that's $1,000 more than the $1,000 tax cut ( or welfare check ) that Obama is proposing. So the family either uses the tax credit to offset employer-provided health care benefit taxes or to go out and find their own policy.

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  16. Paul - Seattle

    Even if he is ahead in the polls, we all need to vote, no matter how far ahead Obama is. I want a landslide victory.

    Obama/Biden '08!

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  17. jack phoenix,AZ

    I'd say his back is against the wall, and the firing squad is loading up.

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  18. Annan

    Please do not rely on polls 100% . Continue working hard ...

    Great job Obama ....

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  19. Matt

    Obama leads in the polls because the press would rather bring up Cindy McCains drug abuse then Barack Obama's. They would rather avoid the truth of his lack of character, credibility, and accomplishments then mention all of his mistakes.

    I wonder if a white guy who did drugs as a young adult, went to church with racists and worked with terrorists. Had little to no accomplishments besides writing two books about himself. One of which was full of racist remarks that have since been edited out. Had not completed even one term as a Senator and had a record of voting present rather than taking a stand and thinks the same goventment that can not deliver mail should handle your health care. And should spread the wealth of people who earned money to those that have their hands out. I wonder if that guy would be so high in the polls as well?

    I guess if no one bothered to report about their character flaws they would.

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  20. George

    I can't believe Republicans are still supporting the same old GOP that has brought the U.S to it's knees !

    Sometimes you've got to do what's best for your country, not your pride.

    Get it through your very thick pride. Obama is the one and only choice
    for the future of America.

    Has the last 8 years not sent the message loud and clear ?

    Democrats and Republicans must join together and vote for the only choice there is for President and Vice President. God forbid Palin ever been came President ! You don't want to see the fall of the American Empire, do you ?

    Be smart, vote for your future and your children's future.
    Obama | Biden !

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  21. Yes We Can.

    Go Obama.

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  22. Doug

    Rob...Dork of Dorks ? Oh Ouch.....Can you say President Obama ? Better practice....it kinda slips off the tongue real easy...doesn't it ?

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  23. bibi

    It is like watching a movie from abroad. We in the world can clearly see who the good guy is and who the bad guy is. It is difficult for some of you to see the truth when you are in the movie. Trust us America almost the whole world would like to see Obama as president. He will bring peace in the world. he is definately the good guy.

    October 21, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  24. Steve Perzan

    I like Obama and hope that our Nation does Vote for a Change. We all know the only polls that count are the ones on November 2. Let's hope it is a fair and just election with people voting issues first - that really is putting Country First and personalities second.

    October 21, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  25. Chi4Obama

    I am for pro-Obama, and obviously glad that he "appears" to have momentum on the national level.

    But I still have a problem with Polls. Newsflash, every poll to some extent has a degree of "sampling error". All they represent are just a very small sampling of the entire population. They do not take into account a growing segment of "newly registered voters". Nor do they accurately capture a complete cross section of America.

    CNN, I am not sure how noone else has challenged you on your claim of "0 sampling error" in your Poll of Polls.

    October 21, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
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