October 26th, 2008
12:21 PM ET
13 years ago

Poll of Polls: Stark news for McCain in battleground states

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/10/26/art.obama.105.jpg caption="Sen. Obama is running a competitive race in the battleground states."]
(CNN)— With nine days left, a series of new battleground polls have some stark news for Sen. John McCain.

Georgia is shaping up to be a battleground state this election cycle, according to CNN's first poll of polls in the southern state.

The average of three surveys shows Sen. John McCain leading Sen. Obama by 6 points, 50 percent to 44 percent.

"McCain's six-point lead in Georgia is an extremely thin silver lining on an increasingly dark cloud for the GOP," said CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "Bush carried Georgia by 17 points four years ago. The Democratic upswing in Georgia mirrors the trend in most other states across the country. It is extremely hard to see McCain coming close to 270 electoral votes on Election Night if the current poll numbers - both on the national and state level - hold for the next nine days."

The Georgia poll of polls consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon poll conducted October 22 and 23, a Research 2000 poll conducted October 14 and 15, and a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted October 11 through 14.

Other new battleground state poll of polls show the same trend.

CNN Electoral Map Calculator: You call the race

CNN's latest Iowa poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 13 points, 52 percent to 39 percent, which is a six-point increase for the Illinois senator since the last Iowa poll of polls released in late September.

In Missouri, the latest CNN poll of polls shows the two presidential nominees locked in a dead heat, 46 percent to 46 percent, for the state's 11 electoral votes.

CNN's Missouri poll of polls consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon poll conducted October 22 to 23, Research 2000 poll conducted October 20 through 23, and a Suffolk University poll conducted October 17 through 19.

Finally, the latest New Hampshire poll of polls has Obama ahead by 10 points 52 percent to 42 percent. That is a two-point increase for the Democratic nominee since the last New Hampshire poll of polls released just last week.

There is no sampling error for any of the CNN poll of polls.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (109 Responses)
  1. Please Go Vote!!

    This is not over until November 5th! Please remember to VOTE on Nov 4th!!

    Go Obama/Biden!!

    October 26, 2008 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  2. Greg

    I'm beginning to think Palin is a habitual liar.

    October 26, 2008 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |

    please blogers get out and vote take a friend a nieghbor, or a older person in that may need help standing in those long lines. please go to the polls and take a good book, water but please stay and let your vote be counted so that we the people will have spoken.

    October 26, 2008 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  4. Mike

    If you use the new Election Tracker map and then go to the CNN electoral map calculator, move NV, CO, FL and OH to blue and even though ND is now a swing state (should be neutral) it has the Democratic Nominee Barack Obama now at 338 versus McCain's 174 with MO and NC (26 electoral votes) still up for grabs.
    Go Blue, Go Obama.

    October 26, 2008 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  5. Curtis - Marietta, GA

    Glad to see our work in GA is working. 🙂 Don't worry all, me and my other fellow supporters are working hard here. GA will be Blue!

    October 26, 2008 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  6. Change We Can Make Believe In

    Why is it offensive to investigate a presidential candidate's background, ideology, and agenda?

    Shouldn't it be offensive in a democracy not to?

    October 26, 2008 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  7. Jose Nsasi, ON

    Is not over for McSame. Go to vote and make sure that your vote count then CHANCE WE NEED can come for USA.

    October 26, 2008 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  8. Don't Believe the Hype!!

    Please VOTE! It's not over until Nov 5th!


    October 26, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  9. SSmith

    It does appear to be ending badly for McCain. It's unfortunate that he has to pay for all of Bush's sins, while W will be able to get off Scot-free, but the recklessness of the last 8 years was bound to come home to roost at some point. McCain's biggest problem is his timing. Well, that and his choice of running mates. His fate was sealed the day he chose Palin, which might have been novel in 2000 but speaks volumes about the man's judgment today.

    October 26, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  10. Jason

    I too think that Obama can turn Georgia...lets only hope

    October 26, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  11. Costly radical ties

    I have heard some complain that journalism is dead.
    Not to worry. Palin's wardrobe is being thoroughly vetted.


    October 26, 2008 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  12. Lawrence

    The fact that they are this close is obsurd!!!! Wake up people! This is the same McCain that (like Bush) didn't even acknowledge a financial problem until it was a grim crisis! That affects every single american! This is the same McCain that said "Palin is doing a great job" and we all see she is in over her head..... hmm sounds like the old Bush endorsement of the FEMA head as we watched people wade through the alligator filled waters, by the way, while Bush and McCain celebrated on the tarmac in Arizona!!

    October 26, 2008 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  13. paulaa

    The Palin/McCain ticket makes me so appreciative of the mute button on my remote control. I would like to take this opportunity to thank the inventor of the mute button.....couldn't make it through this election without it.

    Send the Diva back to Alaska and retire McCain. The best of luck to the Repubican party for a speedy recovery from this fiasco of a ticket from a former Republican, now Democrat.


    October 26, 2008 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  14. Rj

    Democrats, now is the time for us to throw everything we have into the election! We cannot afford to relax! We need a landslide to take away the chance of a stolen election. CHARGE!!!!!!!

    October 26, 2008 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  15. linda from South Dakota

    i agree ,, mccain is truley in denail,, but hen he always was,, with his remarks and slams,, im surprized anyone is voting for him,, is this the kind of president you want,, one that lies??? and does this to get what he wants??? just because he was in the service, DOES NOT make him qualified more than obama,, if you have done your research on mccain=military,, you will find out what kind of manhe was and what the truth is about his teatment as a pow,,, he has lied and decieted us all,,, there used to be some tapes on here on" what mccain doesnt want you to know,,",, i copied them to save em and poofff wouldnt you know the next day they were erased from the net,,,, strange how mccain says he tells all but then when theres something online about his past,, its poofs,,,,,,, i do not want nor do we need a president like this,, obama/biden.08 and beyond,,<<< the only true pair to vote for ,, change we need,,,

    October 26, 2008 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  16. Tired of fraud

    I am tired of CNN hogging all the updates. I feel they are misleading the public in all thier news reporting and I for one will never trust anything they report on again. They never tell the story like it really is. I used to wath CNN Nes and trusted them to report that news awe need to hear without bias and blame. Now all we hear appear to me to be misleading. How does one know if they are telling the truth? How can we tell they will report the news correctly in the future. I have turned to Fox News for truthful news reporting. They report the news as it really is. Too bad. Perhaps all this will lead to CNN failing by the wayside and be a very poorly watched channel.
    Previous Cnn supporter.

    October 26, 2008 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  17. Yes!!!!

    This is great news. I know that I have already voted and I am exicted to see the results of the early voting turnout. I live in Texas and I wish we can turn this into a blue state! I cannot believe that the woman that lied about being attacked is now considered sick, this is a disgrace. I know that she is a college student and had enough insight to go to another state and volunteer for this campaign. She devised the horrible lie, got caught, now she is crazy? McCain and Palin called her personally before anything was confirmed. That is scary!
    Please, everyone go out and vote! We are ready for intelligent leadership once again! I am ready for a man of solid morals to lead us. I am ready for a change! Obama!!!!!!!!

    October 26, 2008 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  18. Frank G

    When you have nothing to say you say anything. And telling us "I know how to fix it", no matter what the subject matter, and then not telling us how, is typical McCain nonsense. Somehow, the "Etch A Sketch" toy keeps coming to mind whenever the McCain/Palin ticket spout off their nonsense irrespective of the subject matter.
    McCain has failed the big test.
    And that is to convince the American public he would be a better leader.
    Courageous military service is just that; courageous military service which has been acknowledged over and over and rightfully so.
    But does not qualify one to be a National leader.
    This time, hopefully, the American public "gets it".

    October 26, 2008 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  19. NO PALIN

    I'm afraid that there is this unpolled hidden majority that will vote for McCain and swing all these battleground states and even states that are "leaning" or "solidly" for Obama will go to McCain. I fear that we will see a Nov. 4 McCain landslide.

    October 26, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  20. Callie

    While I agree with this story and do believe that McCain will lose I feel sorry for him. He is so sure that the American people will give him what he believes he has earned he doesn't see any thing else. He doesn't see or understand that his VP choose was a dumb move, he only see a young good looking women who thinks he is great. She doesn't, but then he divorced his first wife so he could get a younger, richer wife he can't understand that Palin was just playing him for what she wants. I am sure if she told the truth so believes that he won't make it through 4 years so she would be pres. I truly feel sorry for McCain because as most of us can see he will be remember for how dumb he looks this time, not what he did in the past. To bad so sad

    October 26, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  21. Shauna in Missouri

    I'm glad to see that Obama is competitive in GA, but I think he needs to come here to Missouri one more time, to seal the deal here..

    October 26, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  22. HP

    The average of three surveys shows Sen. John McCain leading Sen. Obama by 6 points, 50 percent to 44 percent.
    You can thank Biden shooting at the mouth for the turnaround. He's gona pop an annurism soon. He looks like a rabid dog. Biden was the wrong VP pick for Obama's inexperience....

    OBAMAMANIACS is not over just yet.......

    October 26, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  23. Wendy

    We got McCain right where we want him.

    October 26, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  24. maurice

    Tell me this hasnt happened in part and if you say no then you need a history lesson. http://oldbluewebdesigns.com/USSA.htm And there is a poll that has them almost dead even and that poll was dead on the last election.

    October 26, 2008 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
  25. Ethan

    C'mon Georgia! C'mon ATL! Hook it up. Yes We Can! Si Se Puede!

    October 26, 2008 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
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