October 27th, 2008
01:19 PM ET
14 years ago

String of polls shows uphill climb for McCain


Obama campaigned in Colorado Sunday. (Getty Images.)

(CNN) - Barack Obama is hanging onto leads in several battleground states as well as a handful of traditionally red states won by President Bush in 2004, CNN's average of several recent state polls shows.

According to a string of new polls of polls from CNN, Obama holds narrow leads in Ohio, Missouri, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia. John McCain meanwhile is hanging onto his lead in Indiana and West Virginia. CNN's polls of polls are statistical averages of several recent surveys from each state. They do not carry margins of error.

CNN Election Center: Check out the latest state polls

In Ohio, the state no Republican has won the White House without, Obama is holding a 4 point lead, 50 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than a CNN Ohio polls of polls last week.

In Missouri, the state that voted for President Bush twice, Obama holds a 1 point lead over McCain. A CNN average of recent polls last week showed the race tied in Missouri.

Obama is holding onto a 2 point lead in Florida meanwhile, 48 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than the race was last week at this time.

In Nevada, Obama has a 4 point lead, 49 to 45 percent - a lead that hasn't changed over the last week.

In Virginia, a state that hasn't voted Democratic in over 4 decades, but one that has been increasingly trending Democratic, Obama holds a 5 point lead, 50 to 45 percent. That's 3 points narrower than Obama's lead there last week, according to a CNN poll of polls then.

McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent, another state that hasn't voted Democratic since the 1960's but one that the Obama campaign has heavily targeted.

McCain also has an 8 point lead in West Virginia, 50 to 42 percent, a lead that is 6 points higher than it was this time last week.

That latest round of poll results shows McCain faces an uphill climb in the final week of his presidential campaign.

“The Republicans haven’t lost Virginia in 44 years. They absolutely need Florida to reach 270 electoral votes on Election Night. They’ve never won the White House without carrying Ohio. And the last time Missouri backed a losing candidate was in 1956," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "McCain is now trailing – albeit narrowly – in all four of these states. He needs a dramatic turnaround this week to have a serious shot at winning on November 4.”

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (294 Responses)
  1. John Smith

    What planet is Scott L really from? Bush won BIG and HUGE in the past 8 years, and where is our nation today? This is a matter of common sense and true love for one's country, not party. This Republican is learned, informed, loves this country, and has already voted for BO. I thank God for this wisdom!

    October 27, 2008 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  2. Bruce

    VOTE and make sure your vote gets counted the Repubs are up to their old games again. Do not let them prevent you from voting.

    October 27, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  3. Accountant Guy

    We are almost there, don't become overconfident. Now is the time for us to get out there and Barack the Vote!!

    Obama/Biden '08

    October 27, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  4. learn


    October 27, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  5. Rodger

    America wants and needs change! Obama will win by a landslide, 10 red states will turn blue!

    October 27, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |


    October 27, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  7. KJL

    Are we supposed to feel sorry for McCain? He's a nasty old man who wants to make war with the world because he lost in Vietnam, and he picked a hopeless running-mate. The only people who will vote for him are die-hard Republicans, religious nuts, and people who don't read the news.

    October 27, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  8. Vince in NY

    McCain should just give up. The commies defeated him forty years ago and will defeat him on Nov. 4th!!! Viva El Presidente Obama!!

    October 27, 2008 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  9. vote! OBAMA-BIDEN NOV.4th


    October 27, 2008 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  10. dEMOBRAT


    October 27, 2008 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  11. Ms Jenny

    Na na na na,
    Na na na na,
    Hey hey hey,
    Good bye!!!!

    October 27, 2008 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  12. katiec

    Am happy to see Barack Obama ahead in the polls but am
    extremely worried about the republicans dirty, criminall
    tricks. Just read where they are trying to suppress thousands
    upon thousands of votes in Colorado. They have and will
    stoop to any level to try and win.
    We Obama/Biden supporters must continue to work very'
    hard to make sure voters elect them by a landslide.
    Isn't it a shame that in this United States of American we
    are victims to a political party with no scruples?
    We cannot have people such as these running our country.

    October 27, 2008 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  13. dEMOBRAT

    good for you jon smith- no hand your paycheck over.......to barack obama.


    October 27, 2008 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  14. Bill from Fairport, NY

    I really wish that the polls were closer. My greatest fear this year is that there will be complacency in the Democrat vote. People will just stay home if it's the least bit inconvenient thinking that, "what the hell, we have this in the bag. My missing vote won't be any problem". Result will be McCain/Palin will be elected.

    October 27, 2008 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  15. vw

    As long as American stay calm, they will definitely choose McCain for THE SAKE OF USA, ESPECIALLY at this critical moment.

    October 27, 2008 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  16. Billy

    One more week and then McCain and Palin can go away forever.

    October 27, 2008 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  17. X-Republican in Texas for Obama

    The race will tighten between now and Nov 4th. Just because Obama is ahead in the polls we can't sit back and think we don't need to get out and vote. I made sure I made my vote count first day of early voting.


    October 27, 2008 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  18. Michael in Houston

    Hold 3.....2......1 Okay here comes the "CNN is being biased" or "The polls don't eman anything" rants. Come on Repubs, let's get it over it. Although I have to agree the pools are not correct. Obama is going to win y a larger margin than what the polls are predicting. It's funny because most o fyou Repubs don't even like McCain but you are only voting for him because of Obama. Now that is sad, if we didn't like Barack, we wouldn't just for for anyone just to see McCain not get in. Yeah, Yeah I know, we did it in 2004 but that was then and this is now. So Repubs, come on over here to the winning team, will ya! Don't feel sad Repubs, look on the bright side, you have 4 years to plot another lose.

    October 27, 2008 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  19. JL

    I still don't believe the polls because of the old republican tricks to keep democrats from casting their vote on election day.

    Be sure to show up and know your rights.

    October 27, 2008 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  20. facts are facts

    The fact many sensible and respectable Republicans have announced their support for Obama should be telling to anyone who is interested in their country"s and their own futures.

    When you add this in along with the fact John McCain has yet to come up with one economic policy different than George Bush's policies how could anyone expect any different economic conditions than those that currently exist?

    I think the polls are under estimating the margin of victory Obama will have in these elections and would expect him to have at least 200 more electoral votes than John McCain.

    October 27, 2008 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  21. From Texas

    Wake up people. Four more years of Bush's war under McWar or a new era of peace and prosperity. Up to you

    October 27, 2008 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  22. Bye Bye Sarah

    Deombrat, are you one of those "lug nuts"? Spelling makes me think so.

    Palin says the polls don't concern her. She said nothing about the Czechs, Hungarians, Russians or Germans. Guess they don't count.

    October 27, 2008 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  23. colleen from canada

    why not say more about the huge crowds Barack got yesterday on the campaign trail CNN...are you afraid it might influence the vote. By all means, tell McCain's crowds as well, .e. 100,000 for Barack vs. 3000 for McCain. I hope this is the way the final tally looks!!!!!

    October 27, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  24. Commonwealth of Virginia

    McCain won't reach the mountain top.


    October 27, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  25. RH, Ohio

    Hasn't the GOP done enough that affects our state? On the McCain website, if you click on jobs and then trade, you see two paragraphs; one is a continuing Bush policy of lowering the barriers to global trade and the other having to retrain laid off american workers.

    Why doesn't he propose legislation that would bring jobs to America, instead of the other way around? ... and the polls are close here; I just don't get it. If you're not outraged, you're just not paying attention.

    October 27, 2008 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
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