October 27th, 2008
01:19 PM ET
14 years ago

String of polls shows uphill climb for McCain


Obama campaigned in Colorado Sunday. (Getty Images.)

(CNN) - Barack Obama is hanging onto leads in several battleground states as well as a handful of traditionally red states won by President Bush in 2004, CNN's average of several recent state polls shows.

According to a string of new polls of polls from CNN, Obama holds narrow leads in Ohio, Missouri, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia. John McCain meanwhile is hanging onto his lead in Indiana and West Virginia. CNN's polls of polls are statistical averages of several recent surveys from each state. They do not carry margins of error.

CNN Election Center: Check out the latest state polls

In Ohio, the state no Republican has won the White House without, Obama is holding a 4 point lead, 50 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than a CNN Ohio polls of polls last week.

In Missouri, the state that voted for President Bush twice, Obama holds a 1 point lead over McCain. A CNN average of recent polls last week showed the race tied in Missouri.

Obama is holding onto a 2 point lead in Florida meanwhile, 48 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than the race was last week at this time.

In Nevada, Obama has a 4 point lead, 49 to 45 percent - a lead that hasn't changed over the last week.

In Virginia, a state that hasn't voted Democratic in over 4 decades, but one that has been increasingly trending Democratic, Obama holds a 5 point lead, 50 to 45 percent. That's 3 points narrower than Obama's lead there last week, according to a CNN poll of polls then.

McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent, another state that hasn't voted Democratic since the 1960's but one that the Obama campaign has heavily targeted.

McCain also has an 8 point lead in West Virginia, 50 to 42 percent, a lead that is 6 points higher than it was this time last week.

That latest round of poll results shows McCain faces an uphill climb in the final week of his presidential campaign.

“The Republicans haven’t lost Virginia in 44 years. They absolutely need Florida to reach 270 electoral votes on Election Night. They’ve never won the White House without carrying Ohio. And the last time Missouri backed a losing candidate was in 1956," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "McCain is now trailing – albeit narrowly – in all four of these states. He needs a dramatic turnaround this week to have a serious shot at winning on November 4.”

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (294 Responses)
  1. Juvencio Lombrano

    I disagree with John McCain's statement that the Obama "Health Plan", which is also Hilary Clinton's health plan, that will give every American the same health coverage that members of congress has is not good for America, or American small business. Well, I work for the U S Postal service and I do have the same health plan that covers the members of congress!! It is called the FEHB – Federal Employees Health Benefit Plan. I pay $42.00 a month for health coverage and $10.00 a month for dental coverage. That is a total of $52.00 dollars a month for health and dental coverage!!!!!!! Of course my employer, does subsidise my insurance, but the way I look at it, "if I'm going to pay taxes – at least I have something to show for it. Like health coverage, good roads, good schools and law enforcement." Also, by the way having had a couple of "small businesses" myself there is a couple of things that can be "written off" on your taxes such as having to pay for health coverage for your employees. Just get yourself a good accountant who knows the tax laws. Mc Cain is just not realizing the reality of what is going on with the average "Joe" on the street. Taxes or not, the country has to get out of this mess that the financial industries and not to mention the borrowers created. I think that Obama is the man to do it.

    October 27, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  2. The Relentless Pursuit of Perfection

    Barack ...

    Run through the tape like Michael Johnson in the 200 meters in the Atlanta Olympics !! Not like Usain Bolt in the 100 meters in the Bejing Olympics !

    OBLITERATE McCain & Palin .... softly.

    October 27, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  3. Joy

    I live in Michigan which is in the worst shape financially of any state. We never came out of the previous downturn. McCain decided 3 or more weeks ago to not campaign actively in this state anymore. Now, I can understand that he had X amount of resources and needed to decide where to spend them, but Michigan turned solidly blue after he did that. It's almost like he told the residents of the Great Lakes state I've got more important things to do.

    October 27, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  4. Annie, Atlanta

    Pat – do you really believe that Michelle and Barack Obama want nothing more for this country than black supremacy? It's sad that there are still people like you out there who will hold us back because of these beliefs.

    October 27, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  5. Team America


    Don't "act" all smart and say you can give 50 different examples of why you're voting for Obama without bringing up McCain's name, and then not list anything. Lame argument dude. Wanna know why I'm voting for McCain? Simple answer...experience level. I'm in my 4th year with a company that employs 50K people, does that qualify me to be the next CEO? Do I have all the experience in ALL facets of my company in my 4th year? Can you honestly say that Obama has the same experience level as McCain? Foreign policy? National security matters? Domestic matters? You and the other liberal Dems may not like McCain or Palin, maybe some do, no one with a working brain can ever argue who has the experience level for the very top job in this country. Taxes, economy, healthcare, the wars....all that aside, the only people in this election qualified to be POTUS are John McCain and Joe Biden. The only problem for the Dems is Biden isn't on the top of your ticket. EXPERIENCE MATTERS! John McCain for President.

    October 27, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  6. Republican Supporters in the Dark

    Observation: Most of the ranting Republicans on this thread are SO IGNORANT and CANNOT SPELL PROPERLY..yeeech. See, that is why you all need an Obama administration – EDUCATION. That's the problem with most republican supporters: ignorance/backwardness, bigotry, hatred, racism etc. etc. You all need to be enlightened. Another sad thing is that most of you call yourselves Christians. REALLY... You think you are Christ-like. I dont think so, and most people dont either. YOU ARE GOING TO LOSE THE ELECTIONS, MY REPUBLICAN FRIENDS, so get used to it.

    October 27, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  7. V.K

    Cannot imagine how people can choose McCain...He seems to share common philosphy with Bush. Always ready to "fight" than to build. Are voters so dumb that they choose unemployment and poor economic future over new change?. More tax relief to rich seem to be republicans way of building the economy – that has rewarded wall street destroying pension wealth for retirees..

    With republicans we will be locked in a 100 year war in Iraq wasting our present (we have lost 8 years of that already),our future, our children's future apart from losing trillions of dollars...

    October 27, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  8. Dr. Sam


    JOHN McCAIN THINKS THAT THE ONLY REASON WE SHOULD VOTE FOR HIM is fear of one party rule. We should forget in this stroke of fear-mongering, his ineptitude, temperament, anger, incompetence, wrong ideas for the time, bellicose attitude, Palin's unfitness to be President should anything happen to him, his mostly upper-crust concern for the rich, his strong alliance for the Bush policies that brought us into this economic mess, and more! He is dreaming in technicolor! What Democrats need is a strong mandate that will break the gridlock in Washington. Then they can implement a true agenda for change. Then as well, under a possible Obama Presidency, the United States can begin to rebuild its sullied image abroad under Bush. Say no to McCain!

    October 27, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  9. Sue

    No Obama. No, not now, not ever!!!

    If this idiot is elected, I won't even listen to his voice on TV. He is a disgusting liberal liar.

    October 27, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  10. Asheville, NC

    It is so strange that people get so upset about Obama "spreading the wealth". He wants to give a tax break to those of us who have a TAXABLE income of less than a quarter of a million dollars, and so many people are upset. What about multi billion dollar corporations that currently pay NO TAXES? I think they can stand to pay a small percent for once! John McCain is laughable when he claims he is a friend to the taxpayer. Aside from being a Keating 5 senator he was a champion of deregulation for years. Now even Greenspan acknowledges that was a huge mistake. Unfortunately you will see two Americas here. One that can take the time to read the facts and one that listens to lies and spin from a campaign so desperate to win they don't even know what their policies will be. You can't attack the economy with slurs if you win the white house. Yell all you want, it's not going to help you there.

    October 27, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  11. Geo Joe in ABQ

    In these uncertain times people want a stable and strong leader. Only Barack Obama has displayed those traits in this contest.

    Obama has laid out a detailed economic policy and the brilliant conduct of his campaign shows he and his team are capable of executing this policy. Johnnie McCain blew through $26 million before the primaries and didn't even know where it all went. That's why he had to nearly shut down his campaign last August. This shows that even if Johnnie had a coherent economic policy he wouldn't be able to pull it off.

    Obama has been steady at the helm while Johnnie has been all over the place.

    October 27, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  12. Julie - Portsmouth, Va

    Let the McCain/Palin ticket keeping on talking. That is all that they have left. They are like scrambled eggs in a frying pan. All over the place. And by the way, to the McCain/Palin supports, we are NOT anti-American or unpatriotic. We are smart!

    October 27, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  13. Tommy

    The End of America by Obama: You need to realize that the end of America has happened with Bush. He has destroyed America as we know it! Anyone believing that McCain will offer anything else other than what we have had for the last 8 years is living in serious denial. McCain will continue the destruction, even more severely, that Bush started 8 years ago!

    October 27, 2008 10:46 am at 10:46 am |

    THE OCTOBER BOMBSHELL HAS ARRIVED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    CHECK DRUDGE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  15. PA Voter

    Republicans are up to their dirty tricks. But, Obama has bought this election. It hasn't been with people's contributions, by those making less than $40,000/year. What experience does he have dealing with Putin's nuclear arms ambition? Will Obama, really, bring the troops home, or will he come up with a story to keep them there? Obama's running mate has said it that he lacks experience.

    October 27, 2008 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  16. Kevin

    For those of you who think Obama is a socialist, how is unbridled capitalism working for you? Are your 401(k)'s still raking in the dough? Man, its too bad we didn't listen to W. and put our Social Security into the stock market. Oh, and by the way, we just instituted a $700 Billion bailout of key banks, a plan that McCain had to "suspend his campaign" to champion.

    But enough about my views, GET OUT and VOTE!

    October 27, 2008 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  17. Barbara Caniff

    McCain needs to be in a rest home and Palin needs to be home with her children.

    October 27, 2008 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  18. Veteran for OB

    BigBear: Go back to school. It takes 1.1 million people with $125 each to reach 150 million (a little less than the population of the city of Dallas, Texas–not including the suburbs). I suppose that he received contributions from more than 1.1 million last month. It is not impossibe at all.

    As for background: Keating & Alaska Independence Party?

    Quit grasping at straws. McCain can't even run his campaign, and yet you folks think that he would run the country better. Give me a break.

    October 27, 2008 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  19. jn

    your stupid..how bout that one..i think you need to move out of the US...If you think life will be so bad with an Obama presidency, then I think you should leave the country!!!! One less bad apple in the US would be good for it! By the way, it's be able..not beable...learn english!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  20. J P from MD

    Forget the polls.
    Dont be stupid. Vote early.
    Dont be stupid. Vote early.
    The early vote gets the election.

    October 27, 2008 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  21. Praetorian

    I can't believe I'm still reading the "socialist bit"!!!!
    For those who can't read the polls–there is a social revolution building. Wage earners share of the enormous profits which have been made by U.S. businesses has been in decline for over 20 years. Jobs which could have been salvaged with some force from Washingon–have been sold out wholesale to cheap foreign labor markets while two Presidents simply looked the other way.

    Wages and quality of life are in decline–and Americans are voting for their own economic survival in this election.

    We pray Obama will do what he says–and regain control of trade agreements with all foreign powers–ensure they are in the best interests of American business AND American workers.

    October 27, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  22. Old White Man in Colorado

    You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows... and it's blowing the repubs out of DC. You must VOTE! Do not let them steal this election too! This Old White Guy is voting OBAMA.

    October 27, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  23. adam

    polls dont mean a thing ill be happy on nov 5 and see o win.

    October 27, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  24. Jack Jodell, Minneapolis, MN

    If McCain DOES miraculously achieve the turnabout he hopes for and does it through fear, lies, and deceitful distractions like the Joe the phony Plumber, it will be a shameful mockery and perversion of democracy!

    OBAMA/BIDEN '08 AND '12!!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  25. Rick

    Vote for a man who dedicated his life to America, vote for a true American Hero, a man you can count on when things get tough, vote for John McCain. Vote for a woman who has withstood unfair bashing by the press, sexism everywhere, and still stands her ground. Vote to end woman discrimination, sexism, Vote for Sarah Palin.

    October 27, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
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