October 27th, 2008
01:19 PM ET
14 years ago

String of polls shows uphill climb for McCain


Obama campaigned in Colorado Sunday. (Getty Images.)

(CNN) - Barack Obama is hanging onto leads in several battleground states as well as a handful of traditionally red states won by President Bush in 2004, CNN's average of several recent state polls shows.

According to a string of new polls of polls from CNN, Obama holds narrow leads in Ohio, Missouri, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia. John McCain meanwhile is hanging onto his lead in Indiana and West Virginia. CNN's polls of polls are statistical averages of several recent surveys from each state. They do not carry margins of error.

CNN Election Center: Check out the latest state polls

In Ohio, the state no Republican has won the White House without, Obama is holding a 4 point lead, 50 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than a CNN Ohio polls of polls last week.

In Missouri, the state that voted for President Bush twice, Obama holds a 1 point lead over McCain. A CNN average of recent polls last week showed the race tied in Missouri.

Obama is holding onto a 2 point lead in Florida meanwhile, 48 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than the race was last week at this time.

In Nevada, Obama has a 4 point lead, 49 to 45 percent - a lead that hasn't changed over the last week.

In Virginia, a state that hasn't voted Democratic in over 4 decades, but one that has been increasingly trending Democratic, Obama holds a 5 point lead, 50 to 45 percent. That's 3 points narrower than Obama's lead there last week, according to a CNN poll of polls then.

McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent, another state that hasn't voted Democratic since the 1960's but one that the Obama campaign has heavily targeted.

McCain also has an 8 point lead in West Virginia, 50 to 42 percent, a lead that is 6 points higher than it was this time last week.

That latest round of poll results shows McCain faces an uphill climb in the final week of his presidential campaign.

“The Republicans haven’t lost Virginia in 44 years. They absolutely need Florida to reach 270 electoral votes on Election Night. They’ve never won the White House without carrying Ohio. And the last time Missouri backed a losing candidate was in 1956," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "McCain is now trailing – albeit narrowly – in all four of these states. He needs a dramatic turnaround this week to have a serious shot at winning on November 4.”

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (294 Responses)
  1. Marsha (Atlanta)

    McCain is having a "speech on the economy" he is trying to do what Barack did last week but he as usual is failing miserably and he is the only one talking!

    October 27, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  2. Michael "C" Lorton, Virginia

    The fat lady is starting to "warm-up."

    October 27, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  3. Ed

    Both the Financial Times and the Anchorage News (Palin's hometown newspaper and Alaska's largest) endorsed Obama!

    Every vote for Obama is important. This is no time to become complacent.

    Vote Obama-Biden!

    October 27, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  4. Are you kidding me?

    For all of you Obama haters ... it's ok to disagree. But if you think his most distinguised supporters haven't "vetted" his background, you are the ones who are naive. Perhaps you are uncomfortable with the thought that any one "other than" a white person can lead this country. The Republicans have led this Country 20 of the last 28 years. Instead of whining about "internet rumors", you should be whining about the condition of this Country! Obama just might get it right! That should give you hope. Unless you're making $250K a year, jump on the bandwagon or zip it.

    October 27, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  5. Walt, Belton,TX


    October 27, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  6. Michael watching from Canada

    It continues to amaze me that some Americans ACTUALLY think that Obama's economic policies are socialist!!


    Any form of taxation spreads wealth.

    Does that mean America has been a socialist country for the past 200 years?

    And when the government, led by the Republicans, offer a $700B bailout, which was strongly supported by McCain (who suspended his campaign)......

    ........is this not socialistic?

    October 27, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  7. AL


    We have to be better off than we were the PAST 8 YEARS!!!!!!!!!!
    If MCSAME gets in we will have another 4 years of GOOD OLD GWB. I will take my chances and vote for change, a change that is needed. I was a Hillary supporter and now I am voting against GWB and John MCSAME and voting for my party and the party that puts a chicken in every pot instead of rob from the POOR to give to their RICH pals.

    October 27, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  8. Offenright

    Given the poor performance of the McCain campaign, and the astonishing incompetence of Palin, it is a surprise any polls are even close. McCain has demonstrated extremely bad judgment by choosing Palin and running an attack-based campaign without advancing any ideas nor substance.

    If elected, the McCain/Palin ticket would set America back decades. Why do people blindly support the GOP in view of the last 8 years of failure, and the certain disaster that McCain/Palin would bring to America and the world?

    October 27, 2008 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  9. John B

    Attention Kool-aid drinkers (democrats) and obviously goverment educated, no need to elect a trainee,as president here (142 days expierence & not necessarily good) just move to No Korea, Cuba, Iran etc.they have the type of goverment you want already.
    Keep us posted on what your allowed to say and do (if they let you). TaTa.

    October 27, 2008 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  10. Mikey

    To Texas Trail Dog: You have been spewing your racist motivated filth since way back in the primaries. I am a 50 year old white man supporting Barack Obama, not because of race, gender, religion or any other reason other than that he is the best candidate to come along in a generation. Period. End of story.

    Can we dare to hope – President Barack Obama! Yes we can!

    October 27, 2008 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  11. Georgia for Obama

    Vote early for Obama/Biden 08

    Obama/Biden 08

    October 27, 2008 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  12. Frank

    ist,ist,ist this country is so sad when it comes to name calling,and they don't even know the meaning of the words they are using.Sorry but the fear tactics will not work this time.I'll take Donald Duck over the GOP after what they just did for the past 8years.

    October 27, 2008 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  13. Lin from Arkansas

    Obama/Biden '08!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  14. Accountant Guy

    So proud of you America, it looks like we are waking up and seeing McBush for what he really is. We don't need 4 more years of Bush, oh wait, he is not Bush, he just agreed with him 90% of the time!! Get out and Barack the vote America!!

    Obama/Biden '08

    October 27, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  15. drea for obama

    To Texas Trail Dog: Go back to your dog house
    Joe and Gary, get educated you fools. You guys like where the country is today? If yes, you crazy. We need drastic changes, and mc Cain isen't it.

    October 27, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  16. James from Kansas City

    Boy Texas Trail Dog, you are off. Obama is exactly the man we need for our country at this time. We need a brilliant, patient, cool leader who can work with our allies to restore peace and dignity to our country and to the world.

    October 27, 2008 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  17. Dan, TX

    Obama provides a common sense, centrist approach to practical problem solving. That's why he'll win. McCain has become a dog of the far right. I feel sorry for McCain, he sold his soul, and for what?

    Obama – the future depends on cutting spending, raising revenues (taxes), cutting taxes for those who have been robbed by Bush for the past 8 years, and reducing the deficit on a year over year basis. If that can be done, reelection is in the bag.

    2nd term, year over year budget deficit reduction toward a balanced budget while improving health and education. THen the next democratic president will easily win. The democratic party will be the party of fiscal responsibility and the republicans will be fight with the libertarians for 2nd party status.

    October 27, 2008 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  18. Maggie from Virginia

    America will do the right thing this election. Barack Obama will be our president. The quicker McCain and his supporters realize this, the easier the transition will be for them. I can't wait to read some of the posts after election day. McCain supporters may go into hiding after the landslide that's approaching.

    October 27, 2008 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  19. Chipster

    For Obama's plans (and he does have plans!) to succeed, he will need a majority in the House and Senate. Don't forget that this is not just about the presidency. Democrats in the House and Senate haven't been able to do anything because they don't have a super majority to fight Bush's veto!

    McCain calls himself "Mr. Deregulation" and hired Phil Gramm to work for his campaign. Republicans controlled the House and Senate for too long. Only the voters can make the change.

    October 27, 2008 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  20. Stu-Florida

    Texas Dog,
    This has got to be one of the most racist comments I have read to date. Get out of the 60s and into the 21 Century, dog.
    When you say Mc is the only is the only choice to make you really mean Palin. That is s big mistake "choice to make". It's no wonder the people of Colorado don't like Texans too much, with this kind of mindset.
    Wake up... grow up!

    October 27, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  21. rm


    Just because you write your hatred in all caps does not make it true. It looks stupid. It is really sad that your confidence in the U.S. has been trampled by the last 8 years. That is what Bush has done and that is exactly what McCain if offering, more negativity and no feeling of hope for the future. Like Barack has said before, " if you keep hitting your head against a brick wall, eventually you will realize that it hurts." Apparently you like hitting your head against a brick wall. Unfortunately, it appears you have suffered some brain damage.

    Go Obama/Biden 08

    October 27, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  22. Dawn

    People spread vile untruths and hate and fear, Go to Gettsyburg, PA.
    Stand where over 50,000 Americans died for their beliefs. Remember Martin Luther King speech, I HAVE A DREAM. This is what his dream is all about.
    To the ones who is fearing the Socialistic views of Barack Obama, then tell me why the United States spies on their own, I call that Communism.
    Obama wanted to remove spying on the American People. NSA workers was a whistle blowers and listening to our soldiers conversations with their wives and girlfriends, how awfulm that is their private time not the American Government. {this is for you dEMOBRAT}

    I know that both Obama and McCain both had said "Please don't count your chikens before they hatch.


    October 27, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  23. Charla in TX

    I do not understand how anyone could be for John McCain and his angry, hateful, vitriolic rhetoric that he spews on a daily basis. Every time I hear him say "this is a fact" it was either preceded or followed by a complete and total lie. I have not heard him say one truthful statement about Senator Obama or his plans in any of his campaign speeches. We have already suffered the ills of one hate and fear mongering president for the past 8 years, this country cannot withstand 4 more years of the same vitriol.

    October 27, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  24. Docb

    They are saying on the radio that there were 150 thousand in Civic Center Park here in Denver yesterday. Mccain had 4 thousand at his rally...That is telling but more so that those thousands in Denver were all peaceful and hopeful–excited but cooperative and respectful and there were tons of kids...Amazing....

    Vote early if you can -We have lawyers on the ground in pivot states to keep things on the up and up but early voting is the key...No provisional ballots...

    October 27, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  25. STL-Veteran

    Texas Trail Dog, GARY, you both are living in the past wake up to the real world. Things have changed in this world and all you still see is black and white. If your are really scared about an Obama presidency then move out of the country! I have stayed for the last 8 years and watched your great white savior destroy this country, destroy the economy, destroy the military. Do the exact opposite that he said he would do, on all accounts. It's time for the GOP to realize that the old was are over Reagan is dead and so is his economic's. Lets move forward and make this a better country instead of dividing this nation even more. I fought for this country I am not giving up on it even if my candidate losses you shouldn't either.

    October 27, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
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