October 27th, 2008
01:19 PM ET
14 years ago

String of polls shows uphill climb for McCain


Obama campaigned in Colorado Sunday. (Getty Images.)

(CNN) - Barack Obama is hanging onto leads in several battleground states as well as a handful of traditionally red states won by President Bush in 2004, CNN's average of several recent state polls shows.

According to a string of new polls of polls from CNN, Obama holds narrow leads in Ohio, Missouri, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia. John McCain meanwhile is hanging onto his lead in Indiana and West Virginia. CNN's polls of polls are statistical averages of several recent surveys from each state. They do not carry margins of error.

CNN Election Center: Check out the latest state polls

In Ohio, the state no Republican has won the White House without, Obama is holding a 4 point lead, 50 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than a CNN Ohio polls of polls last week.

In Missouri, the state that voted for President Bush twice, Obama holds a 1 point lead over McCain. A CNN average of recent polls last week showed the race tied in Missouri.

Obama is holding onto a 2 point lead in Florida meanwhile, 48 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than the race was last week at this time.

In Nevada, Obama has a 4 point lead, 49 to 45 percent - a lead that hasn't changed over the last week.

In Virginia, a state that hasn't voted Democratic in over 4 decades, but one that has been increasingly trending Democratic, Obama holds a 5 point lead, 50 to 45 percent. That's 3 points narrower than Obama's lead there last week, according to a CNN poll of polls then.

McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent, another state that hasn't voted Democratic since the 1960's but one that the Obama campaign has heavily targeted.

McCain also has an 8 point lead in West Virginia, 50 to 42 percent, a lead that is 6 points higher than it was this time last week.

That latest round of poll results shows McCain faces an uphill climb in the final week of his presidential campaign.

“The Republicans haven’t lost Virginia in 44 years. They absolutely need Florida to reach 270 electoral votes on Election Night. They’ve never won the White House without carrying Ohio. And the last time Missouri backed a losing candidate was in 1956," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "McCain is now trailing – albeit narrowly – in all four of these states. He needs a dramatic turnaround this week to have a serious shot at winning on November 4.”

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (294 Responses)
  1. Emit R Detsaw


    October 27, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  2. kim

    Don't take anything for granted....go vote and vote early if possible...I'm scared b/c the rep. will try once again to steal the election....

    vote...OBAMA/BIDEN '08

    October 27, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  3. Paul DObro

    "McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent, "

    Isn't 47-45 2 points?

    ANyway, please, EVERYONE VOTE. Do not take anything for granted.

    Yes, there may be a Bradley effect, but there is also alot of Republicans who will vote for Obama but say the voted for McCain. Note all the former Republican goveners and senators now voting for Obama.

    Hey CNN, where is the list of editorial boards backing Obama? The count is around 180 to 75 with over 40 switching from Bush 2004 to Obama 2008. Although McCain has 4 switched from Kerry 2004 to McCain 2008, and the are all in SOUTHERN STATES.

    October 27, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  4. Suzmardav

    Listening to John McCain in Cleveland...so distorted. He has absolutely turned many things Obama said completely around. If anyone believes that he is different than the past 8 years, sad.

    The gas prices coming down JUST before the election. HOW CONVENIENT... Don't forget the oil companies can afford to do this to take your mind of that in time to vote. They can afford it because they've made record profits for years now while we struggle.

    STAY STRONG ... VOTE OBAMA. We want a change not 8 more years of the same of rob from the bottom to pad the coffers on the top.

    October 27, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  5. PA Voter

    It's sad that Obama supporters, automatically, say, if McCain win it's dirty tricks, and related to illegal activities.... NO... Maybe the Obama's brainwashing wasn't as effective as people thought. Maybe, voters realized that McCain's plans will be more effective. Maybe, voters will see they will benefit more by having McCain in power. Maybe, the rhetoric of 'another 8 years of Bush' will lose it's power. And the 'spread of wealth' is absurd and will put the country in a worse state.

    October 27, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  6. welches, oregon

    My entire family cast our ballots yesterday – and we all voted for Obama and other Dems. (Yes yesterday – Oregon has mail in or drop in ballots.)

    Obama/Biden 'till 2024

    October 27, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  7. MarylouSC

    And AGAIN McCain is changing his "PLAN"...wonder which "plan" will be in effect if he is elected, he has contradicted himself every day. He may be suffering from 5 1/2 years of TORTURE while in captivity. His mind is gone

    October 27, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  8. robind

    McCain has all the soldiers with him today. Mitt is standing there biting inside his cheek the whole time. So funny. I think his head will explode. I don't think he does the good soldier very well, remines me of when McCain did it in 04.

    October 27, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  9. joseph

    joe you are making a mistake for voting Mccain, I am telling you. open your mind, open your ear.

    October 27, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  10. Noah

    why would John Mccain keep mis-interpreting Obama? why would he keep saying the opposite of what Obama is saying? is someone a slow learner here? pls say wat your plans are for the people of the great nation (USA) we are sick of ur sickness

    October 27, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  11. Reverse racism?

    Blacks are voting for Obama because he's Black? Well *scratching my head* why are Whites for him? Better yet, why are Whites voting for McCain? Because he's White? Give me a break!

    October 27, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  12. Hal

    I'm going with Obama. I feel more comfortable with a canidate who offers hope and says I will work for the people, I will work to get the ecomomy back in shape, I will work to help make better health care, I will work to improve our schools. I do not believe in a canidate who pretends to be God saying I will balance the budget in 4 years. I will change the health care I will do this and I will do that, McCain is not God and isn;t near as capable as he thinks he is. If he was, he would have stepped up and gotten things done the last 26 years hes been in the senate, but no he went along with Bush, we all know that and to pick a running mate like Pa;in shows his lack of judgment. She could no more run this country than I could.!!!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  13. BigBear

    It is interesting to see people swinging towards McCain. The Obama supporters may still see the light.
    Fact – you cannot raise 140 million in one month on contributions of $125. Those of you that believe this happens ought to find out what the Saudi Arabians, Chinese, et al, are giving him.
    Fact – Ayers, Rezko, Wright, et al are not members of McCain"s background.
    Fact – Not one of the Obama supporters can say one thing that Obama has done to earn the election. It is only his silver tongue that has so many hoping against hope based on so little.\
    Fact – America will change if Obama, Pelosi and Reid are running the country. If you believe that it will be for the better, than my opinion is that you don't care about your future.
    PS – John Smith, you just voted for disaster.

    October 27, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  14. frank caputo

    So, It is an 'Uphill' battle for McCain, but he has gained on all polls listed? Sounds to me like the title should be 'Obama Declining in polls', but hey that would be too accurate and CNN is not known for being accurate with Republicans.

    October 27, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  15. Henrita

    I just hope that Obama's legal team and those in the communities are on top of the attempted VOTER SUPRPESSION by GOP officials taking place in several states now. Questions regarding voter REGISTRATION and ACORN are pale compared to this.This is BIG. It can definitely affect the outcome. I don't want to wake up on NOV 5th with the same confusion as four years ago. The world is watching. It's hard to fathom this kind of thing taking place in this day and age but but this is one of the ugly truths of America. THE GOP needs to be watched VERY, VERY carefully.

    October 27, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  16. Darrell

    Anybody that stills supports a Republican agenda after what we have experienced is an IDIOT. At this point Obama can't fail because we have bottomed-out already. They use to say that Jimmy carter was the worst President ever. Not anymore.

    October 27, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  17. conservative

    Any one who believes so called polls will buy ocean front property in Oklahoma !

    October 27, 2008 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  18. alix

    4 more years of Bush/McCain, and the US will slip into 3rd World Status. Time for a change.

    Obama/Biden 08

    October 27, 2008 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  19. Abe

    I think we all are realizing what a mess the Reps put this country in the last 8 years and we need a change a party and fresh start of the economy!

    October 27, 2008 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  20. mary, colorado springs

    The question of who to vote for is a no-brainer.

    Eight years of Bush and McCain is enough.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2008/2012

    October 27, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  21. Kimberly

    I don't want a president who calls everyone who disagrees with him 'unpatriotic' or 'unAmerican', like McCain & Palin. I guess that they have forgotten that everyone who lives here is an American and is a worthwhile part of this country. We need someone inclusive and not narrow minded. McCain says he works across the aisle and works with world leaders, but it seems like he just bullies his way around. That has gotten us nowhere in the last 8 years.

    October 27, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  22. Joel

    Time to look down-ballot, John. Dole took one for the team in '96, maybe you should do the same.

    October 27, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  23. james in s.c.

    i voted for obama, why, he's got a lot of smart people backing him up that can manage this country back in the right track. its the fools that will vote for 3rd term of bush. i like mccain, but he let the extreme far right wingers into his camp. palin has a plan to rid of mccain, i might be making that up... but i'm tired of these republicans doing nothing but flushing this country down the toilet. its time for a change, but i see people are dumb enough to believe palin-mccain lies and they're playing exactly the same thing that GWB did!!! WAKE UP AMERICA!!!


    October 27, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  24. kris p

    It is still too close for my comfort.

    One wonders – What will the "October Surpirse" be, to try and steal the election for McCian?Palin?

    Happened before and so let us watch out and vote ahead of time.

    October 27, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  25. Otis

    To paraphrase Ronald Reagan..

    I am not leaving the Republican Party; the Republican Party has left me.

    Obama in 08.

    October 27, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
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