October 27th, 2008
01:19 PM ET
14 years ago

String of polls shows uphill climb for McCain


Obama campaigned in Colorado Sunday. (Getty Images.)

(CNN) - Barack Obama is hanging onto leads in several battleground states as well as a handful of traditionally red states won by President Bush in 2004, CNN's average of several recent state polls shows.

According to a string of new polls of polls from CNN, Obama holds narrow leads in Ohio, Missouri, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia. John McCain meanwhile is hanging onto his lead in Indiana and West Virginia. CNN's polls of polls are statistical averages of several recent surveys from each state. They do not carry margins of error.

CNN Election Center: Check out the latest state polls

In Ohio, the state no Republican has won the White House without, Obama is holding a 4 point lead, 50 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than a CNN Ohio polls of polls last week.

In Missouri, the state that voted for President Bush twice, Obama holds a 1 point lead over McCain. A CNN average of recent polls last week showed the race tied in Missouri.

Obama is holding onto a 2 point lead in Florida meanwhile, 48 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than the race was last week at this time.

In Nevada, Obama has a 4 point lead, 49 to 45 percent - a lead that hasn't changed over the last week.

In Virginia, a state that hasn't voted Democratic in over 4 decades, but one that has been increasingly trending Democratic, Obama holds a 5 point lead, 50 to 45 percent. That's 3 points narrower than Obama's lead there last week, according to a CNN poll of polls then.

McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent, another state that hasn't voted Democratic since the 1960's but one that the Obama campaign has heavily targeted.

McCain also has an 8 point lead in West Virginia, 50 to 42 percent, a lead that is 6 points higher than it was this time last week.

That latest round of poll results shows McCain faces an uphill climb in the final week of his presidential campaign.

“The Republicans haven’t lost Virginia in 44 years. They absolutely need Florida to reach 270 electoral votes on Election Night. They’ve never won the White House without carrying Ohio. And the last time Missouri backed a losing candidate was in 1956," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "McCain is now trailing – albeit narrowly – in all four of these states. He needs a dramatic turnaround this week to have a serious shot at winning on November 4.”

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (294 Responses)
  1. Bullwinkle doesnt want Palin back in Alaska

    Go Obama Biden!

    The Moose, Wolves and Bears in Alaska are gettin' nervous. Their nemesis will be returing soon and she will be angry (but well dressed).

    October 27, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  2. Anne

    I read these polls to say that the race is narrowing – Obama's lead is dwindiling in at least four of the states cited.

    By the way – I think it's the dems up to their old vote early vote often tricks again! Every story has two sides, right?

    October 27, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  3. Carole

    Alot of my friends and relatives are suffering voter anxiety here in Pennsylvania. They can't WAIT to VOTE!!!!!

    Not to mention people are scared with the stock market going even further down today.

    **I think people want to tell their grandchildren 'I voted for the first African-American President'! I think people want to be a part of history!

    October 27, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  4. Chris Shepard

    Well if this isn't bad enough, McCain's recent endorsement from Al Qaeda should keep things going down for McCain. Al Qaeda said they prefered McCain, and why you might ask? Because he will continue the Bush policies that has helped recruitment of suicide bombers and others who are willing to die to fight the neo-con agenda of U.S. world control. Vote for McCain and support the agenda of Al Qaeda.

    October 27, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  5. MARY


    October 27, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  6. patriot

    GARY–Stop yelling and get out of the way. The rest of us have work to do here.

    October 27, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  7. McCrazy


    You clearly have no argument here. Whining about Obama having more money? Did you whine each time the RNC outspent the Dems by 10 times? Get over yourself. Obama ran a successful campaign and now he will win. Deal with it.

    October 27, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  8. Kyle in OH

    Perfect, just enough of a comeback for the corrupt GOP secretaries of state to purge some newly registered voters and once again win the election.

    Thank God for Brunner in Ohio.

    Oh wait, I'm sure "Osama Bin Laden" will swoop in at the last minute (pardon my pun) and push John McSame over the top...

    October 27, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |



    VOTE EARLY – BARACK THE VOTE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  10. sabuc for Obama

    "Stand up! Stand up! Fight with me! Let's fight! Help me fight! Let's fight Russia, Let's fight Iran, Let's fight Pakistan, pretty PLEASE!! Fight with me! Drill baby Drill!! Maverick!! Isn't she great?!? HUH!?! HUH?!?

    I am John McCain and I approve this message!

    PS. Screw the economy. Im rich!"

    Obama in 2008!!

    October 27, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  11. virginia voter

    Since when is $250,000 the threshhold of the American Dream? Raise taxes for those folks PLUS higher taxes in capital gains and AMT, America is shooting itself in the foot. That's exactly the way to discourage ANYONE from achieving the American Dream. Why bother if it all goes up in taxes?? If Warren Buffet and Bill Gates had been taxed like this way back as they were growing their businesses - no one would even have heard of them today. Looks like not only American jobs are going overseas – so is the American Dream.

    October 27, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  12. Mike

    I am watching McCain on CNN right now. He looks terrible as though he may cry or even faint. He is flanked by the Lady who runs the failing E Bay which is laying off most of their employees. And by Romney who became a Billionaire by closing American factories and re openning them in China. He says these are his economic inspiration.

    October 27, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  13. stacey

    McCain can't even run his campaign properly. It's laughable that he thinks he can run this country.

    October 27, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  14. Sue/PA

    well let me tell you..McCains economic speech..covered by CNN a few minutes ago, was full of lies and misleading statements about Obama policies....we EXPECT CNN to entirely fact check McCains speech..........as well as Obamas later today.

    McCain is running on LIES........

    Just say NO to McCain on Nov 4th


    October 27, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  15. McCain=the draft

    Let's win in a landslide so the GOP can't steal it!!

    October 27, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  16. MG

    I'm curious....can any of you McCain supporters tell me why I should vote for him without saying anything at all negative about Obama or the democrats?

    I didn't think so.

    I can give you 50 different reasons why I support Obama and I don't even have to mention McCain at all.

    That's the difference.

    October 27, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  17. Phil in KC

    Not a good sign for McCain, but not a good sign for Obama, either. This does not point to a comfortable lead in the electoral college. Most of those polls are within the margin of error, making them a statistical dead heat. Throw in the "Bradley Effect" (and I think there are a lot of people out there who will vote against Obama or not vote at all because he is black), and the advantage may actually tip toward McCain.

    October 27, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  18. AD

    Independant Vet: Quit repeatng right-wing radio lies.

    October 27, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  19. Sue T

    McCain/Palin, more Abuse of Power, more war, ..........With Bush and his Military advisers in Iraq that back Bush and are now crossing over into Syria and killing people, Bush is liable to start another War, we can't afford the two that we are fighting much less three or maybe four considering Pakistan......Bush is creating more hatred for American every day that he is in office........and McCain supports War.......and with his lack of judgment he would be like Bush, getting into more War and he already has said he won't sit down with anyone with out pre-conditions........or was that Palin that said that...........Just because he was a War Hero 41 years ago doesn't mean he still has the stuff it takes to make rational discissions........

    October 27, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  20. Brooke

    Regardless of what you think of Senator McCain you should never count him out. He was declared politically dead before New Hampshire, Huckabee was the guy to meet... then he won the nomination. Go ahead Obamabots, be complacent.

    October 27, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  21. A Canuck

    Poor old McCain.....when things are going so badly....the last thing you want to see....is your running mate jumping ship......the pitbull is doing the "dog paddle" !!!!!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  22. Republican Woman in PA for Obama

    I am so happy Obama is speaking here today in Pittsburgh, PA. Like some others posting here, I'm concerned that polls will lull people into a false sense of security that he will win and therefore stay home on election day. We need to keep pressing onwards and getting people to vote for CHANGE!!!!

    McCain and Palin will just bring more chaos. And I hope Palin goes far, far away after this election. Her selection was an insult to me as a Republican Woman.

    October 27, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |

    Dont know what part of Texas your in, but, you sure DONT speak for all Texans! There are thousands of us independents, connecting with each other, by phone, in parties, emails etc, and we are voting OBAMA..the Democrats, along with all our independents ARE going to change this state to BLUE..we must not be as stupid as you would have us to believe, in fact, we are thinking yOUR the stupid one !

    October 27, 2008 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  24. nerakami

    It is certainly NOT a string of polls that show an uphill battle for McCain.

    It is instead, McCain's inept... bordering on chaotic efforts in running his campaign for the past 2 years. If this man cannot run an organized, focused and efficient campaign... what confidence do the voters have in him being able to run the country ???


    October 27, 2008 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  25. Marie Ontario

    These blogs from McCain supporters all have a hateful ring to their message with outrageous lies about Obama. These must be paid bloggers to have such a warped message without a hint of common sense.

    It just amazes me how people can spew such vile and hateful remarks rather than a common even handed support for the candidate of their choice.

    October 27, 2008 10:21 am at 10:21 am |
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