October 27th, 2008
01:19 PM ET
14 years ago

String of polls shows uphill climb for McCain


Obama campaigned in Colorado Sunday. (Getty Images.)

(CNN) - Barack Obama is hanging onto leads in several battleground states as well as a handful of traditionally red states won by President Bush in 2004, CNN's average of several recent state polls shows.

According to a string of new polls of polls from CNN, Obama holds narrow leads in Ohio, Missouri, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia. John McCain meanwhile is hanging onto his lead in Indiana and West Virginia. CNN's polls of polls are statistical averages of several recent surveys from each state. They do not carry margins of error.

CNN Election Center: Check out the latest state polls

In Ohio, the state no Republican has won the White House without, Obama is holding a 4 point lead, 50 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than a CNN Ohio polls of polls last week.

In Missouri, the state that voted for President Bush twice, Obama holds a 1 point lead over McCain. A CNN average of recent polls last week showed the race tied in Missouri.

Obama is holding onto a 2 point lead in Florida meanwhile, 48 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than the race was last week at this time.

In Nevada, Obama has a 4 point lead, 49 to 45 percent - a lead that hasn't changed over the last week.

In Virginia, a state that hasn't voted Democratic in over 4 decades, but one that has been increasingly trending Democratic, Obama holds a 5 point lead, 50 to 45 percent. That's 3 points narrower than Obama's lead there last week, according to a CNN poll of polls then.

McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent, another state that hasn't voted Democratic since the 1960's but one that the Obama campaign has heavily targeted.

McCain also has an 8 point lead in West Virginia, 50 to 42 percent, a lead that is 6 points higher than it was this time last week.

That latest round of poll results shows McCain faces an uphill climb in the final week of his presidential campaign.

“The Republicans haven’t lost Virginia in 44 years. They absolutely need Florida to reach 270 electoral votes on Election Night. They’ve never won the White House without carrying Ohio. And the last time Missouri backed a losing candidate was in 1956," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "McCain is now trailing – albeit narrowly – in all four of these states. He needs a dramatic turnaround this week to have a serious shot at winning on November 4.”

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (294 Responses)
  1. fed up with polls

    Do you know that most of these polls include how much advertising is done in the swing states? No wonder they show Obama ahead. He wants to buy the White House with his nearly $700 MILLION in campaign fund. Funny he's doesn't practice what he preaches – I don't see him distributing that wealth!

    October 27, 2008 10:21 am at 10:21 am |

    Go ahead and vote for obama.Then sit back and watch the last days of a great and free America.
    Unless you're black,you people have no idea what you're doing to this country. You have no idea what you are setting your kids up for.
    I honestly believe that common sense has been breed out of any person that would even consider handing this country over to obama.

    October 27, 2008 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  3. David, Silver Spring, MD

    Kerry had enough supporters to win the White House in 2004. Gore had enough to win the White House in 2000. We could have saved ourselves a lot of grief and a lot of money if only people would get out and vote.

    The Obama lead is real in many, many states. But it is not so great in any of them that a big McCain turnout couldn't overcome it.

    Of course, why anyone would turn out to support McCain is beyond me.

    October 27, 2008 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  4. Obama 08: white, female, 60 yr old supporter

    I'll take Obama's economic advisory team over McCain's any day! Intelligent, wide ranging experience, successful and dynamic.

    October 27, 2008 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  5. Joey

    A McCain win is not likely. Just look at the stock market today. One has to wonder if McCain should really want to win this time.

    October 27, 2008 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  6. Marilyn, Powell, OH

    McCain addresses a group of supporters at a rally "my fellow prisoners" – he AND his partner have shown they are not qualified to lead our country at this time. VOTE OBAMA/BIDEN and get America back on track, PLEASE!

    October 27, 2008 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  7. Linda K.

    What does the McCain/Palin (or is it Palin/McCain) ticket have to offer except lies and the same old policies. Most of what comes out of their mouths is slander against Obama. I feel sorry for those voters who seriously believe all the garbage being thrown at them.

    Tell me what McCain would do that would make life better here in America. Anyone?

    October 27, 2008 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  8. Elizabeth

    McCain should have an uphill battle!!! He definitely is not good presidential material! He is a grouchy old warmonger and his vp pick, Palin, is a disaster!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  9. Rick Robison

    McCain facing uphill battle? This is such a liberal outlook!
    McCain closing gap in uphill fight. This would be a true account.

    October 27, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  10. undecided

    Why has CNN not covered the 2004 story of Obama's comments that he felt that the federal judges should step in and MANDATE that money should be taken from the rich and redistributed to the poor?

    That sure sounds like Marxist / Socialist comments to me!!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  11. Nathan, FL

    I have two words for you Mr Obama, because the repubs arent done yet. They"re are now digging deep in the elections playbook.

    They are now looking at the "Hail Mary", '"The Flee Flicker" and Most of all............


    October 27, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  12. jm for sc

    John Smith, people like Scott L, Sean Hannity, Joe Scaraborough, Rush Limbaugh and other republicans would rather see this country in a depression for the next 8 years than see a person of color in the white house. It is clear that the McCain/Palin ticket is out of touch, out of time and out of ideas, but yet people are pretending that they are best for our country. Not this time!!!

    Obama/Biden 08

    October 27, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  13. Marie

    I just wanted to reiterate-–GET OUT AND VOTE!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  14. Donna

    This is really sad, I have NEVER seen such hatred in American. Why is it that we cannot accept that people have different opinions. Why is it that if you disaggree with members of the other political party the name calling has to begins. Does anyone realize how bad this makes our country look that we show such hatred toward each other. I thought we were the United Stated, latelty all I have seen is the division between the two patries. This is a sad country. No president can be successful unless we come together as a country first.

    Who ever the next president is we should love our country enough to respect the position that person holds of our country's commander in chief.

    October 27, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  15. mark s.

    Get ready rich folks cuz Obama's gonna take your money. The revolt of the proletariat is on. Power to the people.

    Obama/Biden 08

    October 27, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  16. vic nashville,Tn

    CNN did you subtract ACORN voters from the polls

    October 27, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  17. dj

    Everyone MUST get out and VOTE for OBAMA!!!!!!!!!
    I cannot even imagine McCain-Palin running this country. McCain -Palin ticket is clearly very frightening!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  18. Landslide


    October 27, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  19. Tina

    of course, Zogby just released its Monday polls, which, show a definite lean in McCain's direction, daily – it is going to be a tight race, and it is far from over. 5 to 10% (depending upon the poll) of respondents are still declining to answer) – that 5 to 10% swing could go either way – if 2004 is repeated, they'll swing to McCain, if not, they'll swing to Obama – it is, as of this juncture, anyones guess.

    October 27, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  20. BatCat05

    Alaska's largest-circulation paper, the Anchorage Daily News, said state governor Mrs Palin was "too risky" to be one step away from the presidency. In an editorial it says her nomination "captivated" Alaskans but that must not "overwhelm all other judgment".

    The focus should be on John McCain, it said, calling him the "wrong choice".

    Nuff said: McCain-Palin; wrong choice, too risky and bad for America!

    OBAMA-BIDEN; ready to restore America's standing in the world and the right choice for America and its citizens!

    Obama-Biden, now that's the ticket!

    October 27, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  21. Jen in NYC

    Many of the comments in this feed are illustrative of why I will probably be moving to Canada after Nov. 4th. If this country hasn't learned a thing or two over the past 8 years, it deserves the crap bag a McCain/Palin administration will certainly deliver.

    October 27, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  22. Joe Regis

    Goodbye McCain and the repubs.

    We want a big victory and a big outdoor party on Nov. 4th.

    Landslide Obama/Biden 08/12.

    October 27, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  23. Unaffiliated

    I used to have a lot of admiration for McCain, but this campaign has showed that he is not made of the right stuff to lead this country in these times. The selection of Palin confirmed my views. A 'Maverick' does not cave in to his party in such a fundamental way.

    On the surface, I initially preferred McCain. However, having watched the race closely, watched all the debates, read voraciously, and studied the policy positions, I no longer can say that McCain would be the right choice. Even Republicans are agreeing with me now...except for the ones who watch politics like a football game.

    October 27, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  24. Michael Martinez

    The only polls that count are those which open and close on November 4 (early voting notwithstanding).

    If we're lucky, Americans will just vote "NO" to both these idiots.

    October 27, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  25. king

    this ting was over since super tuesday in the primaries

    October 27, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
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