October 27th, 2008
01:19 PM ET
14 years ago

String of polls shows uphill climb for McCain


Obama campaigned in Colorado Sunday. (Getty Images.)

(CNN) - Barack Obama is hanging onto leads in several battleground states as well as a handful of traditionally red states won by President Bush in 2004, CNN's average of several recent state polls shows.

According to a string of new polls of polls from CNN, Obama holds narrow leads in Ohio, Missouri, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia. John McCain meanwhile is hanging onto his lead in Indiana and West Virginia. CNN's polls of polls are statistical averages of several recent surveys from each state. They do not carry margins of error.

CNN Election Center: Check out the latest state polls

In Ohio, the state no Republican has won the White House without, Obama is holding a 4 point lead, 50 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than a CNN Ohio polls of polls last week.

In Missouri, the state that voted for President Bush twice, Obama holds a 1 point lead over McCain. A CNN average of recent polls last week showed the race tied in Missouri.

Obama is holding onto a 2 point lead in Florida meanwhile, 48 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than the race was last week at this time.

In Nevada, Obama has a 4 point lead, 49 to 45 percent - a lead that hasn't changed over the last week.

In Virginia, a state that hasn't voted Democratic in over 4 decades, but one that has been increasingly trending Democratic, Obama holds a 5 point lead, 50 to 45 percent. That's 3 points narrower than Obama's lead there last week, according to a CNN poll of polls then.

McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent, another state that hasn't voted Democratic since the 1960's but one that the Obama campaign has heavily targeted.

McCain also has an 8 point lead in West Virginia, 50 to 42 percent, a lead that is 6 points higher than it was this time last week.

That latest round of poll results shows McCain faces an uphill climb in the final week of his presidential campaign.

“The Republicans haven’t lost Virginia in 44 years. They absolutely need Florida to reach 270 electoral votes on Election Night. They’ve never won the White House without carrying Ohio. And the last time Missouri backed a losing candidate was in 1956," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "McCain is now trailing – albeit narrowly – in all four of these states. He needs a dramatic turnaround this week to have a serious shot at winning on November 4.”

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (294 Responses)
  1. Kenneth Harmon

    This election is about Global change. Our planet is suffering, we are in the midst of a world-wide financial crisis, and we desperately new sources of energy.

    With the new global challenges that we face, OBAMA IS THE COMMON SENSE CHOICE!!

    October 27, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  2. Thomas

    Some advice for the McCain camp; "Oh, what a tangled web we weave, when first we practice to deceive." The pigeons are coming home to roost for McCain/Palin. Their campain has been one of vitriol, distortion, lies and mud. I think we'll all need a shower when this is over. Go Barack!

    October 27, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  3. KJL

    I get tired of people who keep callin Obama by his middle name. How about Mc CAIN – with the mark of CAIN on his face? The MURDERER?

    Idiots. A name is a name.

    October 27, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  4. obama/biden08

    i agree that the race is "tightening" due to obama's historic fundraising record for the month of october. the media outlets want that money, so they give him a reason to SPEND it on advertising with their station. i believe that obama;s ahead by a lot more than they are broadcasting, but we STILL have to VOTE so they can't steal this one from us. i'm also willing to bet that this election will be called early– and then subsequently contested by the republicans. in the words of joe biden, "mark my words". 🙂

    October 27, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  5. Jean - NY

    CNN is continuing it disengenuous tactics here – the headline uses the terms new polls show bad sign for McCain in the hopes of empopwering Obamaites and disheartening McCain supporters. Unfortunatley for CNN if you read the numbers the polls are actually closing – albeit only a little thus far but they are getting narrower and when you have polls with 2- 3 points separating the candidates and they narrow even more I would not necessarily characterize that as bad news for the one trailing. There are still 8 days left and I have faith in the American people that they will vote McCain/Palin – especially once this Florida story gets around a bit more and begins to factor in. My goodness a few hard questions that Biden doesn't like and the Obama camp cuts off the station totally – makes one wonder how they will handle the tough questions if he's president, especially about this "genereated crisis" that Biden guarantees. Controlling the press is not what made America great.

    October 27, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  6. Susan in NC

    WHERE are Gov. Palin's medical records? With Sen. McCain's health in question, we need to demand her medical records. They'll never get my vote unless the records are released!

    October 27, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  7. ATLian

    So, Sarah taxes the big oil companies in Alaska and gives a check to every man, woman and child regardless of whether they work or not. Spreading the wealth? Socialist?

    October 27, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  8. Do the right thing

    It is OK to support BO
    It is OK to support JM
    But it is not OK to spread your hatred around
    When I see some of the Republican supporters say those horrible words toward BO, I am really annoyed. Obama is not anti-god. Hate is.
    Peace for America!

    October 27, 2008 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  9. lil

    Just because Obama is leading now doesnot mean he dont need you
    to vote early. Vote early I did two weeks ago for Obama/Biden.

    October 27, 2008 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  10. NC Mom

    The erratic behavior of McCain, the clear ignorance of Palin and the overall Republican divisiveness in this election terrifies me. McCain/Palin are not mavericks...they are simply loose cannons.

    Be sure to get out and vote for Obama...do not take this election for granted!

    October 27, 2008 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  11. smart40

    McCain/Palin have tried to make me scard to vote for Obama/Biden but all they have done is make me scard to vote for them. McCain on Meet the Press yesterday was unseteling, his agruments against Obama to not even make sense because there is zero consistency.

    October 27, 2008 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  12. GO back To Where u came from


    Why you never talk about AIP and Palin's ties to them?


    October 27, 2008 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  13. Declan (A view from Canada)

    Sen. John McCain, more than ever, looks the part of someone who's
    about to lose - cranky, unsteady, unsure of his own words, desperate.
    Gov. Sarah Palin, as always, looks and sounds like a joke. There is
    absolutely no depth to her. I'm listening to her give a speech right now and it sounds like a ridiculously bad attempt to be named the next student body president of Wasilla High...she's all bubble gum, no substance and if rumours of a rift within the McCain camp are true and Palin is looking to lead the Republican party in the coming years, then that's great news for the Dems. Can you say two terms of President Obama?
    Also, she just mentioned "Joe the Plumber" three times in 60 seconds ... I wonder how often Palin runs into Joe the Plumber and Tito the Builder and Cindy the Citizen on her shopping excursions ... after all, they shop at the same stores, right?

    October 27, 2008 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  14. Annie, Atlanta

    I wonder if McCain has called in Bush's computer techs yet in PA, so that the Obama votes can be changed over to McCain votes, like they did in Ohio in 2004. Get out and vote Democrats, in such large numbers that the Republicans can't possibly steal it this time around.

    October 27, 2008 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  15. Love My USA/Do You?

    If the main MEDIA would print the truth about BO and/or ask him the tough questions, we would be seeing BO in the light that he is. LYING, DECEIVING, DOUBLER TALKING, SOCIALIST, ETC.

    October 27, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |

    I just read down through these post. GOD !! You obamabots are really stupid people. All kidding aside, you people are really, really stupid.
    You really believe all his crap. What makes you people so blind.

    October 27, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  17. angie in nc

    No threepeat. Vote Obama/Biden 2008!

    October 27, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  18. Sharon

    Please! I find it absolutely unblieveabe that ANyBODY could vote for McCain....do they not see what Bush and the Republican party has done to our wonderful country. Do they really want us to go completely down the tubes, with another Bush look-a-like! Obama is the ONLY sane hope twe have to help save us from more heartbreak....please vote for Obama, if you love our country.

    October 27, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  19. RED ALL THE WAY!!!

    Must say a lot when you have two people like Oblama and HILL/BILL who can't even hold on to there own two home states. Wake up America! McCain and Palin all the way!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  20. matt

    Give me a break with these liberal polls.

    October 27, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  21. Jay N.H.

    To the people who keep bringing up the word "Socialist" Almost all of McCains plans(The ones he actually has which is not many) call for some form of tax credit. That in itself is spreading the wealth who do you think pays for those? McCain? No. We do. Change is coming!

    October 27, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  22. Obamafied Cheesehead

    The GOP brand has lost value like the “tickle me Elmo” that was once the hottest item out there. Just the fact that Obama may win the WH without carrying a majority vote from the south is good proof of that. The old saying that “one can’t win the presidency without the south” is going up in smoke.

    October 27, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  23. Brain in DC

    This morning again I see both McCain and Palin fixated in making speeches targeting Obama character. When they'll introduce their advantages? Do they have any to introduce? Is their logic now is that we should elect them just to avoid a single party? I don't buy it.

    Watching Palin's rally now. It looks as a badly choreographed reality show. Even people at the rally show lack of enthusiasm or interest. Strange!

    October 27, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  24. Sam Benegal

    Obama needs to be over 50% to overcome Bradley Effect. He needs to consider undecided %'s as McCain's points.

    Thats the reality...

    October 27, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  25. Ed

    It may not yet have been updated but if you go to the CNN Election Tracker map it shows Obama over McCain in Indiana 51-42 +/- 4% if you hod the pointer over it. I also noted the date the poll was conducted was Oct 19-22 2010, the Ohio poll was for the same dates, but in 2014.

    October 27, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
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