October 27th, 2008
01:19 PM ET
14 years ago

String of polls shows uphill climb for McCain


Obama campaigned in Colorado Sunday. (Getty Images.)

(CNN) - Barack Obama is hanging onto leads in several battleground states as well as a handful of traditionally red states won by President Bush in 2004, CNN's average of several recent state polls shows.

According to a string of new polls of polls from CNN, Obama holds narrow leads in Ohio, Missouri, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia. John McCain meanwhile is hanging onto his lead in Indiana and West Virginia. CNN's polls of polls are statistical averages of several recent surveys from each state. They do not carry margins of error.

CNN Election Center: Check out the latest state polls

In Ohio, the state no Republican has won the White House without, Obama is holding a 4 point lead, 50 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than a CNN Ohio polls of polls last week.

In Missouri, the state that voted for President Bush twice, Obama holds a 1 point lead over McCain. A CNN average of recent polls last week showed the race tied in Missouri.

Obama is holding onto a 2 point lead in Florida meanwhile, 48 percent to 46 percent. That's one point narrower than the race was last week at this time.

In Nevada, Obama has a 4 point lead, 49 to 45 percent - a lead that hasn't changed over the last week.

In Virginia, a state that hasn't voted Democratic in over 4 decades, but one that has been increasingly trending Democratic, Obama holds a 5 point lead, 50 to 45 percent. That's 3 points narrower than Obama's lead there last week, according to a CNN poll of polls then.

McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent, another state that hasn't voted Democratic since the 1960's but one that the Obama campaign has heavily targeted.

McCain also has an 8 point lead in West Virginia, 50 to 42 percent, a lead that is 6 points higher than it was this time last week.

That latest round of poll results shows McCain faces an uphill climb in the final week of his presidential campaign.

“The Republicans haven’t lost Virginia in 44 years. They absolutely need Florida to reach 270 electoral votes on Election Night. They’ve never won the White House without carrying Ohio. And the last time Missouri backed a losing candidate was in 1956," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "McCain is now trailing – albeit narrowly – in all four of these states. He needs a dramatic turnaround this week to have a serious shot at winning on November 4.”

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (294 Responses)
  1. mike

    If poll so close,why 99% CNN comments against McCain. SOmething Wrong.? Maybe everything is fake above or game is players.

    October 27, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  2. Al, NY NY

    Do not get complacent people because of these polls. That's just what the GOP wants

    October 27, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  3. jn

    two words.....Sarah Palin!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  4. Matt: honestly

    Big Bear,

    Fact: Obama has the knowledge and intelligence to do the job.
    Fact: McCain has his skeletons as well, Obama has just chosen not to focus on them
    Fact: People vote for Obama because he provides positive leadership, something this country has not seen in over 8 years
    Fact: We as a country can only get better under a Democratic government seeing the mess the Republicans have made out of this country
    Fact: McCain supporters, and John McCain himself can not say one good reason to vote for him as president, all they do is attack why they feel Obama should not be

    might as well list all the facts bear cub.

    October 27, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  5. Veteran for OB



    October 27, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  6. John, Austin TX

    These polls are worrying me. I would really like to see Obama with a bigger lead; one that we've seen a few days ago. The leads in some of the states are shrinking, and I fear McCain and Palin have a chance.

    Please don't let McCain and Palin in the White House. McCain and Palin are too stupid for different reasons to be the executive branch.

    October 27, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  7. Scott L

    Obama interview in 2001 stating it was a tragedy that Supreme Court has not examined re-distribution of wealth.

    This guy is crazy...

    October 27, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  8. Paint VA Blue!

    Republican Woman in PA for Obama October 27th, 2008 10:19 am ET

    I am so happy Obama is speaking here today in Pittsburgh, PA. Like some others posting here, I'm concerned that polls will lull people into a false sense of security that he will win and therefore stay home on election day. We need to keep pressing onwards and getting people to vote for CHANGE!!!!

    McCain and Palin will just bring more chaos. And I hope Palin goes far, far away after this election. Her selection was an insult to me as a Republican Woman.

    * & reality is she is splitting her party and the Republicans are dividing our nation. Don't we get tired of this?

    October 27, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  9. joe rossi

    McCain meanwhile has a 1 point lead in Indiana, 47 to 45 percent,

    what is wrong w/ this sentence. do the math.

    October 27, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  10. Greg in Colorado

    I was at the Denver rally and let me tell you there is going to be a big surprise for Mccan't come nov.4th. He is disslusional to think that he can win anything but those completely red states. The state of Colorado is decided. Get out and vote and vote EARLY. I have never seen so many people, not since the pope visited Denver. It was monumental!!!

    Obama/Biden 08/12

    October 27, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  11. RH

    It's funny, all of the Republicans posting here offer nothing but petty, juvenile slights – "brainwashed, socialist, media conspiracies, etc." While MOST of the Democrats post messages of hope and excitement. I'd LIKE to believe this is simply due to the sting of having one's pick lose versus the jubilation of having one's pick win, but somehow I doubt that's the case.

    October 27, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  12. Denise Groves

    This race is soooooo over!!!!!!! I predict Obama will become our first black POTUS! I also predict, he will win these Red States: NV, NM, CO, GA, IN, VA, NC. IA, WI. MO. Obama already has PA, and I am still unsure about FL, but Obama does not need FL, does he?

    GOOOOOOOOOOOOO Obama/Biden!!!

    October 27, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  13. Lu

    Obama presidency will bring us three steps closer to communism and his supporters don't even realize it or care. Time will tell but it will be too late.

    October 27, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  14. Nita

    McCain keeps saying he has the experience, well he is referring to his time as a POW, in a hole, well the USA is in a hole now because of republicans, we have to come out of that pow hole and stand for what the USA is all about, and it is not about where we have been but where we are going, and if the people don't want change then move to another country, because without change, this country is doomed.
    Obama-Biden 2008

    October 27, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  15. mtrought

    What happening with ES&S evoting machines. As I recall Republican Chuck Hagel was once CEO. These machines keep on spitting out McCAin when persons select Ob\ama, was this what happened in 00 and 04. these machine are in over 1700 locations. Are they there to ensure that red states are kept red. Did you see how easy it was to change the chip in those machines, why hasnt there been any security placed on those machines. talking about ACORn who register voters we are talking about the actual voting process. Is there an attampt to steal the elections. People ensure that your selections are correct

    October 27, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  16. carol

    This is to Pat- Barack Obama is a mixture of both if you know what i mean. I am very confident and so is 90% of Americans that he is fully capable of running this country for the next 4+ years the way it should have been for the last 8 years. The comment of Black Supremacy you made is either foolish if you dont know any better or ignorant if you do. I'll let you make that decision. Being that you are for McCain, it is probably the latter.

    October 27, 2008 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  17. ST

    Has anyone looked at the article about Palin going rogue?! That is hilarious. Boy, McCain sure knows how to pick 'em. If he can't even control his campaign or his VP candidate, how is he going to lead the country?! The Republicans should have chosen Romney. McCain has turned out to be a disappointment.

    October 27, 2008 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  18. Steve VA

    Obama is POPULAR. He can talk and he talks and gives these great speeches. People LIKE him and he walks around he gives speeches for TV. All of the young people who will be voting for the first time votes for him and you should too. He loves poor people and will give them money and if you don't want to work that's OK he will give you money but you have to vote for him.

    October 27, 2008 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  19. Mother of 4

    My husband and I voted yesterday for Obama. It's great feeling! Can't wait to celebrate on 11/4!

    October 27, 2008 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  20. South African for Barack Obama

    To Pat, to used the phrase "Cry, the beloved country", which is the title of a book written by a anti apartheid South African author, Alan Paton and to equate the phrase with the Obama's "black supremacy" is a utter disgrace to you and an embarresment to your country. This is the reason why Barack needs to be the next president because such vile ignorant comparisons are unacceptable in the world arena.

    October 27, 2008 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  21. C Spurgeon

    Let this be over and let Obama win. Let that Snarky lady take her clothes and go home to Alaska. Let McCain and Lieberman go retire to a corner someplace where they can live in the oast and stroke each othersd back...Let Biden calm down and get back to business. let Obama have the wisdom to lead from the middle and avoid the partisan mistakes that will make his presidency mediocre instead of great. Let everyone calm down and start working together to undo the damage this administration has wrought.

    October 27, 2008 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  22. Jason

    The Polls out today have Obama up by 5, 8, 5, and 3 This is a sharp drop from where obama was at this time last week. THis race is tighting back up. Thank god...as a young college student who is not buying into obamas speeches....and doing MUCH research, i realize what a democratic senate, house and presidency would mean. COME ON PEOPLE....dont let the america we all knwo and love to fall. If we think we are bad NOW....wait until obama would be elected....

    October 27, 2008 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  23. Ed, Santa Fe NM

    No more GOP in the White House..... and no Troopergate Barbie EVER....

    October 27, 2008 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  24. Kim


    October 27, 2008 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  25. Hillary?

    If Palin runs in '12, she'll run against Obama- Big mistake.
    If she runs in '16, she doesn't stand a chance against Hillary.

    October 27, 2008 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
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