October 31st, 2008
07:39 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN Electoral Map update: McCain loses ground


Check out CNN's Electoral Map.

(CNN) - Some tough news for John McCain in his own backyard, as his home state of Arizona moves from “safe McCain” to “lean McCain” in the latest CNN poll of polls.

And the Republican nominee continues to lose ground in reliably-red areas, as North Dakota moves from “lean McCain” to “toss-up” – meaning three electoral votes that had been counted for McCain are now considered up for grabs.

But there’s some good news for McCain down south: Louisiana has moved from “lean McCain” to “safe McCain.” And the movement on the map is far from done.

Barack Obama now leads McCain by 131 electoral votes, up from his 128-vote lead yesterday. CNN now estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 291 electoral votes and John McCain 160. There are 87 electoral votes up for grabs. Again, 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.

The CNN Electoral Map is based on analysis from the CNN Political Unit and takes into account a number of factors, including polling, state voting trends, ad spending patterns, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns, parties, and political strategists. The list will be updated regularly as the campaign develops over time.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (220 Responses)
  1. AK

    Freedom will reign in America again!
    Please get out and VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE
    and then help others get out and VOTE for OBAMA/BIDEN
    for the change we need in America.
    Young voters, Please show up at the poll, be patient and wait and then VOTE for Change and your future. OBAMA is your ticket to a better future in America.

    October 31, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  2. Reese from NC

    Polls mean nothing. The actual votes are the only thing that counts.
    I have heard young voters are not coming out as strong as they should during this early voting period. Alright people. Get of butts and go vote. This election is for your immediate future. You must act NOW.
    Go Obama/Biden!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    October 31, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  3. Lisa

    Don't think we'll see much of Joe on the trail, after humiliating the senator that made him a household name. Apparently, McCain forgot about the reliability of plumbers. (Sorry to the good plumbers out there, I've had multiple bad experiences ) The McCain camp can't even keep track of appearances, how are they going to help old man McCain keep track of the issues if he won?

    October 31, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  4. George

    HILLARY SUPPORTERS....stand up and vote for :PALIN and MC CAIN...We KNOW you didnt endorse the stealthy OBAMA camp and their continuous line of BS..Get on the Straight Talk Express and y ou will never be sorry and you can stand up on Wednesday and say....WE HAVE SPOKEN.

    October 31, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  5. Jadecat

    Man am I glad that Virginia is leaning Obama right now. That is truly historical. I just hope that on tue. the results will reflect this. Go Obama/Biden! The change is finally coming. And of course...GOOD BYE AND GOOD RIDDANCE BUSH!...

    October 31, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  6. kweme

    I am just happy for America. If Obama wins, then for sure America is that special place where anyone, no matter what, can be anything he/she wants to be.

    God bless the US of A.

    October 31, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  7. john

    steve.....so whats your excuse for al gore losing tennesse? i believe that cost him the election, not the hanging chads in florida. also i believe mccain is still ahead in arizona. what are you obama fanatics going to do when the polls turn out to be wrong?

    October 31, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  8. Dominique

    Your comment is awaiting moderation.

    Let's turn the entire map blue. Please vote. If you have already voted, then volunteer to help others get to the polls. We can do this.

    Obama-Biden '08

    October 31, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  9. Irony

    When the Republican party returns to it's roots of fiscal conservatism and protecting our national resources instead of being a party of false christians and wastrels, I may once again vote with them. Until then, I will vote with the party of true blue Americans.

    Yes we can and will.

    October 31, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  10. Let's vote for change!

    Let's hope this trend carried through to election day! Make sure you vote America...and make sure that your vote counts!

    Obama/Biden 08 and 12!!!

    October 31, 2008 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
  11. Sebastian, Baton Rouge, LA

    CNN's estimates have been incessantly conservative and that bodes well for Obama.

    October 31, 2008 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
  12. Latoya

    I cant wait to see the look on the obamabots faces when the realize they have been had, its going to be pricless, they will beg for the bushy years.

    October 31, 2008 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
  13. hello

    All blue state send more money then what they get it from Washington.
    New jersey get 62 cent for each dollar it sends to govt. Alaska get $1.84 for each dollar.
    Cry about 'Govt. off my back' is always comes from this all red state, maybe they should return the money.

    October 31, 2008 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
  14. John

    How many more republicans like Eagleburger, the Secretary of State under H.W. have to go over and endorse Obama before they get the message! I think that people are getting tired of The Republican Party that has been hi-jacked by the miserable Christian Conservative arm. They are neither christians nor conservative. They have just about bankrupted the United States with their spending. They are also pretty close to being outright fascists or nazis.

    October 31, 2008 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
  15. Linda32

    Wow, I can't wait for Nov 4th.

    October 31, 2008 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  16. DaProfessor

    Prediction ... Landslide for Obama

    Based on ... The latest claim by some southern Evangelicals that supporters of Obama believe that Obama is the "next coming". It is apparently a "religious thing" now in their feeble minds to vote against Obama. You cannot vote against the "next coming" now can you 🙂

    Hmmm ... Lets see now ... In the right-wing extremist hysterical minds, Obama is either a communist, a socialist, a terriorist lover, a threat to national peace, unpatriotic (only they are that), and is willing to lose the war in Iraq.

    Oddly, McCain has not spelled out how you win an "occupation" (not a war at this point).
    And, oddly, McCain has neglected to mention that he voted as head of a committee to provide a grant in the amount of $448,000 (and many smaller grants) to the same man he accuses Obama of giving $80,000 to, who is a supporter of the Palestinians. Hmmmm ... small oversight.

    As I said, a landslide for Obama on Tuesday. Intelligent Americans see through all the crappola drooling out of the mouths of McCain and Palin.

    October 31, 2008 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  17. JT

    Time to unleash the surprise, Johnny . . couple hours it will be Friday night, then the weekend always goes by fast, then just one day . . . Not gonna help ya ta spring it on us wednesday! Or was Joe the Plumber all you got?

    October 31, 2008 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  18. aware

    The only numbers that count are on election day 08!

    But Obama's latest Palin attack video has struck a nerve with women everywhere!

    Palin is speaking in this video but her voice is silenced. This is misogyny at its worst! 🙁

    I voted for McCain/Palin 08. They are America's only choice for authentic reform! 🙂

    October 31, 2008 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
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