November 1st, 2008
05:40 PM ET
11 years ago

CNN poll of polls: Race remains tight

(CNN) – Sen. Barack Obama has lost a single point of his lead over Sen. John McCain in CNN’s latest national poll of polls.

Obama is ahead of McCain by six points in Saturday’s poll of polls. Fifty percent of likely voters nationally support Obama, 44 percent support McCain, and six percent are unsure about their choice for president.

In CNN’s October 31 national poll of polls, Obama had a seven-point lead over McCain – 50 percent compared to 43 percent.

CNN’s latest national general election poll of polls consists of the following six surveys: Fox/Opinion Dynamics (October 28-29), ABC/Washington Post (October 28-31), Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (October 29-31), Gallup (October 29-31), Diageo/Hotline (October 29-31), and IBD/TIPP (October 27-31).

CNN’s national poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

soundoff (338 Responses)
  1. Lenise

    I am not worried! America will vote for change!

    November 1, 2008 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  2. Josh In North Carolina

    The only thing that’s actually working for the McCain campaign is the daily inciting of rage, fear and hatred among the easily-led gomers lined up outside of Sarah Palin’s rallies. The truth is that politicians like Sarah Palin are merely manipulating, exploiting and inciting these people.And next Tuesday, we have a chance to seriously marginalize this darker, uglier side of America.we have a chance to tell the Sarah Palin’s of the world that there’s no room in American politics for fire-eaters who stoke archaic prejudices and fears rather than ameliorating them. We have a chance to tell them that not only doesn’t it work anymore, but that it actually exacerbates electoral failure.There are a lot of things to ridicule about Sarah Palin’s incomprehensible speaking style, her pathological dishonesty and her backwards, simplistic views on the issues. But it’s her politics of fear and division that must be wholly rejected on Tuesday because it’s too terrible to imagine waking up a few days from today in an America that rewards the awfulness and fear which she and her subterranean allies require in order to politically exist.

    November 1, 2008 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  3. Lilarose in Bandon, Oregon

    Our family has voted to NOT watch any more election stuff between Sunday morning and when the final results are known.

    Reason: We are getting upset by all the polls–going first one way and then another way.

    It is enough to make you sick!

    I think the media is driving alot of the decisions people are making.

    I have been watching the Weather Channel and the marketing shows! Trying not to buy things!

    November 1, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  4. Texas Teacher

    The polls are depressing. I don't think they really reflect what is actually going on.

    For one thing the young people of America are energized. I don't think their numbers are reflected in the polls. I heard one woman on here saying that the college kids are justing following the leader without really knowing what is going on. Well, here they DO. These kids are well informed about both sides on all issues! And they are well aware of what that means to them and their futures. I think as well educated as they are becoming, they are far ahead frequently as the older people in the communities. They are not so easily fooled by the negative campaigning of the McCain crowd. When something is said, they research it! Immediately! It is wonderful to see!

    We shall see after Nov. 4th. I'm for Obama! And I have voted already.

    November 1, 2008 06:35 pm at 6:35 pm |
  5. CNN - Getting A Little Better

    Note to CNN:

    1) Barack trended up in every national poll beside Zogby with his biggest lead every using LV models in Gallup;
    2) We (bloggrfs) have the Internet – we are going to verify your bias;
    3) 6 points nationally 48+ hours prior to election day is pretty healthy

    Give You Credit on one note: PA is not eight points when you take away bias out of each poll – BO has about a 5 point lead and has hit a ceiling in that state – it's all on McCain to win it.

    November 1, 2008 06:36 pm at 6:36 pm |
  6. Jason


    Your desperation for ratings has not gone unnoticed.

    November 1, 2008 06:36 pm at 6:36 pm |
  7. Roofin Reality, Houston, Tx.

    I want an 8 point lead in Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Iowa, Missouri, New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada.
    I'd gladly take North Dakota and Montana too.
    And, don't sleep on Georgia.

    November 1, 2008 06:36 pm at 6:36 pm |
  8. Jerry

    Obama supports please go vote.

    November 1, 2008 06:37 pm at 6:37 pm |
  9. me 08

    this poll are just feelers cant wait for the real thing nov 4.this election shld jus go the right way obama/biden 08.for everybody's sake!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 1, 2008 06:38 pm at 6:38 pm |
  10. TXBad1

    CNN and the Other News agency's Fail to remind all the Electoral college does not meet until December 16th, there for the Electoral college Vote statistics are there opinions and guess's not reality and that the fact no disclaimer is added and helping sway votes can constitute a Violation of US Voting laws!

    November 1, 2008 06:39 pm at 6:39 pm |
  11. jay

    Whatever side you are on, vote.

    November 1, 2008 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  12. Worried

    Please keep track of the Bush Family come tuesday night. For those of us who voted a mere ( it seems MUCH MUCH MUCH longer than just 8 years ago)
    Wher the hell is Jeb Bush Kathy Harris, Carl Rove,Sean HANNITY, and don't forget the Great one RUSH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!.
    Thank you my friends.
    GOD BLESS Barack Obama

    November 1, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  13. How can this be?

    If CNN's national poll of polls does not have a sampling error then it is because this CNN is hiding the fact that Obama and McCain are actually neck in neck. You are choosing not to show the sampling error, most likely because Obama's lead disappears. As a population geneticist who understands statistics, I know that you generated the sampling error but because it doesn't serve your political agenda, you are not publishing it. When Obama loses on Tuesday the public will feel deceived because you made it seem as though Obama was statistically far ahead of McCain when, in fact, his poll numbers are within the sampling error.

    November 1, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  14. lovable liberal

    In the sense that a 18-inch shirt neck is tight on a 16-inch neck, the race is tight. In other words, it's NOT tight.

    November 1, 2008 06:44 pm at 6:44 pm |
  15. mozartt

    Surely the rest of the world is as smart as the Americans. We all want Senator Obama to win. He will bring peace to the world not war, like McCain. Americans will find that Senator Obama is the best by far, choice to be President. The world need him!

    November 1, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  16. Peter (CA)

    Is "tight" the appropriate adjective for this? It's been stable at this range for some time and looks to be fairly decisive. It is a much bigger difference than Bush beat either Gore or Kerry.

    November 1, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  17. June

    I really wish that these polls were all deemed to be illegal, so that the voters could establish the winners on Election Day... essentially, this 'poll of polls' has no bearing anyway, as the electoral vote totals don't always represent the popular vote... case in point, 2000, when Al Gore easily won the popular vote, but that was a non-issue.

    November 1, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  18. Kate Fergus

    This election is one of the most important is the country's history. We know the polls say it is close. We can't afford to be complacent. Everyone must vote.

    Obama/Biden '08

    November 1, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  19. Griff

    Chin Chin China-Man bought a Penny Doll. He washe it he cleaned he called it Pretty Poll!!!! Your Poll CNN makes as Much Sense...

    November 1, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  20. Carlos

    It is sad to see that Americans are as dumb as the much of the world thinks they are.

    A grumpy old man with no new ideas and a bimbo without a brain...

    and the race is tightening??????

    November 1, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  21. John

    So? He's up SIX points, two and a half days until election day. At this point, Bush was ahead in the polls against both Gore AND Kerry. And guess what? He won.

    I'm calling for a Democratic Landslide this Tuesday. Not only will Barack get 350+ electorals, but the Democrats with get 60 seats in the Senate.

    November 1, 2008 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  22. Carlos

    I just heard Palin claim that the war is almost won!!!

    What palnet is she on???

    November 1, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  23. A kenyan plumber.

    losing one point is something we can afford for the remaining three days ,what we cannot afford is trickle down economics ,stock market gone wild,unilateral invasion of countries and worst of all LEADERS WHO ARE SO DUMB THEY THINK WE ARE DUMB.Its a high time we put harvard material in charge.It reflects good on us otherwise people like palin prove nothing than what we know:AN ALASKAN JOKE IS NO LAUGHING MATTER.

    November 1, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  24. Precious Coker


    Only 3 more days.

    November 1, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  25. Sarah Palin the Alaskan Lobbyist

    Where are Sarah the successionist Alaskan Lobbyist medical records?

    November 1, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
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