November 1st, 2008
12:00 PM ET
11 years ago

State polls: Obama ahead in NH, WI, CO, MT; MO tied up

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="Sen. Obama has an advantage over Sen. McCain in 4 of the 5 CNN's latest state polls of polls."]
(CNN) – It's down to the wire for Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain as
the two men enter their final weekend of campaigning. With just three days until Election Day, CNN's latest polls of polls shows Obama holding on to leads in a few key battlegrounds — and neck-and-neck with McCain in others.

Obama leads McCain by 12 points in CNN's latest New Hampshire poll of polls. Fifty-three percent of likely voters in New Hampshire support Obama and 41 percent back McCain. Six percent are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN's October 31 New Hampshire poll of polls, Obama led McCain by 15 points - 54 percent compared to 39 percent.

Obama is also ahead in Wisconsin, where CNN's latest poll of polls in the state gives him an 11 point lead: Fifty-three percent of voters in Wisconsin support the Illinois senator and 42 percent support the Arizona senator. Five percent of voters in the state are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN's October 30 Wisconsin poll of polls, Obama was ahead by 12 points - 53 percent to 41 percent.

In Colorado, Obama is ahead by 7 points in CNN's latest poll of polls. Fifty-two percent of likely voters in the state support Obama and 45 percent support McCain. Three percent of voters in the state are undecided. In CNN's October 31 Colorado poll of polls, Obama and McCain were also separated by 7 percentage points - 51 percent for Obama and 44 percent for McCain.

Obama holds the slimmest of advantages in Montana in CNN's first poll of polls for the state: Forty-six percent of likely voters in the state back Obama, and 45 percent support McCain. Nine percent of Montana's likely voters are unsure about their choice for president.

The two presidential rivals are tied in CNN's latest Missouri poll of polls. Each man garners support from 48 percent of the state's likely voters. Four percent are unsure about their choice for president. The two men were also tied at 47 percent each in CNN's October 31 Missouri poll of polls.

CNN's latest New Hampshire poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: Research 2000 (October 28-30), ARG (October 28-30), and WMUR/UNH (October 28-30).

CNN's latest Wisconsin poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: University of Wisconsin (October 21-28), Research 2000 (October 27-28), and Big Ten Battleground (October 19-22).

CNN's latest Colorado poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: ARG (October 28-30), Marist (October 27-28), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 23-28).

CNN's first Montana poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: American Research Group (October 28-30), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 23-25), and Montana State University (October 16-20).

CNN's latest Missouri poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: ARG (October 28-30), CNN/Time/ORC (October 23-28), and Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26).

CNN's state polls of polls do not have sampling errors.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • CNN Poll of polls • Colorado • John McCain • Missouri • Montana • New Hampshire • Wisconsin
soundoff (256 Responses)
  1. CMJ

    I won't believe Obama has won until the results on election night – everyone has to get out, stand in lines, vote and then help others to get to the polling stations. Elections have been stolen by faulty machines before – and it will happen again. The only way to win, is to win every state besides Florida & Ohio. He must keep PA.

    November 1, 2008 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  2. Al

    The magic number is 270 on Tuesday. That magic number for Barack Obama is a new hope and inspiration for each and every one of us.

    November 1, 2008 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  3. question

    I've been hearing a lot of theories about how undecided voters are going to fall off the fence in the next few days. On theory suggests that these "undecideds" are really unhappy about voting for a black man, but don't want to say it, and are therefore saying they are undecided. Hence, on election day, they will all vote for McCain (or neither), Therefore recreating a sort of Bradley effect (although I believe those folks actually SAID they were going to vote for Bradley but then didnt'). I'm trying to decide if that makes any sense. I would think that those who don't want to vote for a black guy have already said they'll vote for McCain (or a third party), and can give any excuse they want. Maybe not. I'm curious to see what other folks think about this group of undecideds and how/why they might vote (or even IF they vote) on the 4th.

    November 1, 2008 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  4. Time to move on

    The peoples choice

    November 1, 2008 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  5. Obama/Biden 08!

    Obama is going to widen the gap even more thanks to Palin's current rally where chants of NO HUSSIEN were heard!! She has probably just shot the torpedo that will finally sink Mccain's sick & painfully dying campaign! Thanks Palin you were an immeasurable help to the DEMS!!

    November 1, 2008 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  6. D&D

    Dont' get distracted folks, go VOTE like you never did before, VOTE early or on the election day, but make sure you VOTE!!!

    Obama/Biden 08

    November 1, 2008 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  7. brandon


    I too am censored, I'm very respectful in my posts....yet they never get posted. I stopped trying to post months back. I feel pigeonholed , especially when i come on here and read the ridiculousness that these racists post and it always gets posted...

    CNN i don't understand...what is it that i say that isn't deserving of the light of day on your blog?

    November 1, 2008 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  8. suzanne, western NY

    He is ahead in Montana???? Wow what does that say about our country. Perhaps people are beginning to see beyond the color of his skin and see his character as all should.

    This is a man that wants to unify and fix a broken America.

    He is more like each of us than most would like to admit. Look at the faces at his rallies all of us are there. This country is for all and Obama will treat all fairly.

    November 1, 2008 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  9. votenow

    My question which I hope somebody can answer is: how will the exit polling be affected by the fact that just in the state of florida, there has been overwhelming early votes for the democratic party candidate, will CNN take that into account during the regular exit polling on November 4th, or will it make it look like the repubs are wining?

    November 1, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  10. Kim

    Yes, We Can. BO for America's children, BO for the world's future

    November 1, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  11. undecided: will I vote for Obama or against McCain?

    Man, Tuesday can't come a day too soon! Already I've run out of clever things to say. Surely it's all been said before. Why even allow us to post comments anymore at this point? I'm gonna have to resort to that old stand by: Babba Booey Babba Booey! Howard Stern rules!!

    November 1, 2008 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  12. TT

    Let's not pop any corks yet...

    If you want Obama/Biden to win, join me in working on Monday
    and Tuesday to get out the vote, offer rides to the polls, do what
    needs to be done.

    November 1, 2008 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  13. FreeNLovIt

    We have undecided voters because Obama is too inspiring and McCain we have seen too many senior moments with McCain.

    I say, JUST STAY HOME... and let Obama win!!!

    November 1, 2008 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  14. gina the Banker

    To Bob from SS

    You are the REDNECK!!!!!!


    November 1, 2008 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  15. FreeNLovIt

    In eight years, we ate peanuts and we went from DUMB to DUMBER. With McCain and his many senior moments, we will ALL BE LOST IN TRANSLATION. Can you imagine how BRAIN-DEAD Americans will be with McCain?

    November 1, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  16. georgeVT

    Who wrote the bible? Man. Who wrote the church laws? Man. Who interprets what the Bible and church laws mean? Men. Somehow it's okay for men to tell women what they can and cannot do with their bodies? man has a long way to go.

    November 1, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  17. Tennille Merkle

    I hear that in any given election, half of the "undecideds" end up not voting at all. If that's true, McCain doesn't have a chance. (Not without substantial, multi-state election fraud, which I fully expect out of the GOP.)

    November 1, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  18. Obama 08: white, female, 60 yr old supporter

    How many socalled "undecideds" will actually vote?? If they haven't made up their minds by now will they actually wait in line??

    Young voters need to get out there and take a stand!! You will probably determine the outcome of this election!

    November 1, 2008 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  19. joshua

    hahaha at the repub's trying to discount the polls. this thing was over soon as Palin started to open her mouth... lol

    November 1, 2008 01:50 pm at 1:50 pm |
  20. the snarly old hawk squawks in fellowship square

    VOTE.....Do not leave this election up to someone else to decide.It is your constitutional right to have a say in the governance of the country,
    so exercise your suffrage and get out to the polls.There is too much at stake to stay home and hope the results will mirror your own expectations.Advance polls,November 4th,long lines,short lines,it doesn't matter which,just get out and VOTE.

    November 1, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  21. Joe Regis

    Wait until you see Arizona goes for the Obama/Biden ticket. That is the way we like it, that's the way...

    I see a landslide Obama/Biden 08/12.

    November 1, 2008 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  22. Chandu

    Throw the bums out! Obama/Biden 08 Oh! and Palin/Quayle 12 please. I need the comedy.

    November 1, 2008 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  23. Jean

    Obama is running for Obama. His motives for running for President is wrong. He does care about you and does not have your best interest at heart. To me its revenge time for Obama. From what I understand his used the Senate to accomplish his goal to change America for his benefit not yours.
    If you are fooled by his sweat talk then suffer the consequences

    November 1, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  24. BBB

    PLEASE make sure you get to the polls on Tuesday... the idea of a Republican win petrifies me! And I have been a registered republican for more than 50 years!

    November 1, 2008 01:57 pm at 1:57 pm |
  25. bc1/2k

    The McCain campaign screwed up royally when he ran to the right at convention time and put the Governor of Russia's next door neightbor on the ticket. Undecideds are mainly to the right of Obama and to the left of McCain. The governor promised ammendments to the constitution whick is sending the libertarians running everywhere, to Obama, to Barr, to anyplate but by the side of McCain-Palin.

    Independents, what was once the strength of John McCain is now his weakness, all because he had to kneel to the throne of Rush and please the extreme right-wing nut jobs..

    Barrack, ealy congrats to you on jour new job.


    November 1, 2008 01:57 pm at 1:57 pm |
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