February 4th, 2009
04:05 PM ET
11 years ago

Early look shows GOP in trouble in Ohio

A new poll out Wednesday suggests Republican Rob Portman may face an uphill battle in a 2010 Ohio Senate race.

A new poll out Wednesday suggests Republican Rob Portman may face an uphill battle in a 2010 Ohio Senate race.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - A new poll suggests that former Rep. Rob Portman has his work cut out for him to keep retiring Sen. George Voinovich's Ohio seat in Republican hands.

The Quinnipiac University survey of Ohio voters indicates that Portman trails two possible Democratic contenders in head-to-head match-ups in next year's midterm elections.

Voinovich, a two-term Republican, announced last month that he will not run for re-election in 2010. Portman, a former six-term congressman who also served as U.S. Trade Representative and director of the Office of Management and Budget in President George W. Bush’s administration, announced his intention to run shortly after Voinovich decided to retire.

In the poll released Wednesday, Portman trails Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher by 15 points, with 29 percent of those questioned undecided. And Portman trails Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner by 10 points, with 31 percent undecided.

Fisher, Brunner, and Rep. Tim Ryan are all considered possible Democratic contenders in the race for the open Senate seat.

The poll does show that Portman has a wide lead over state auditor Mary Taylor in the Republican primary.

"Portman has served in a number of national offices, but he has never served in a statewide office in Ohio, and it's possible he may not be well known outside of his home base in the southwestern part of the state," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Even in that home base, however, the political landscape has changed. Hamilton County, which Portman used to represent, went for George W. Bush in 2004 but it gave a majority of its support to Barack Obama in 2008."

Voinovich won his 2004 re-election by 28 points over his Democratic challenger. But times have changed in Ohio. Democrat Ted Strickland topped Republican Ken Blackwell by 24 points in the 2006 gubernatorial race and Rep. Sherrod Brown beat incumbent Sen. Mike DeWine by 12 points in the Senate contest. In the 2008 presidential election, Barack Obama edged out John McCain by four points for Ohio's 20 electoral votes.

The Quinnipiac poll was conducted January 29-February 2, with 1,127 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

Filed under: Ohio • Polls
soundoff (83 Responses)
  1. why ohio would vote for GOP losers at this point makes no sense

    GOP brought us this mess, it shouldn't take even the last hold out states long to figure out the GOP is not looking out for their best interests

    February 4, 2009 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  2. Charlie in Maine

    As they should be everywhere.

    February 4, 2009 05:23 pm at 5:23 pm |
  3. Gracie

    OUT with the old and IN with a new era......

    America is tired of the old and tired GOP ideals. It's time to step up and bring change to this country we love so much!

    February 4, 2009 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  4. Jon

    The aerial wolf hunting is designed to insure that mooses and caribou populations remain relatively stable. However, this is an artificial goal. In the absence of humans, prey and predator populations fluctuate wildly over time. When moose populations dwindle due to heavy wolf predation, the wolves decline in a few years, giving the moose a chance to rebound. Nature is not a farm where the overseer can go to the fence and expect to see the same number of cows every day. Leave the population of wolves alone When the moose have declined significantly for a period of a few years – too bad. If you want to harvest from nature, don't expect the same service you get from the grocery store: guaranteed products.

    February 4, 2009 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  5. ray


    February 4, 2009 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  6. Sarty

    Good bye Republicans.

    February 4, 2009 05:43 pm at 5:43 pm |
  7. S Callahan

    Amazing....my brother who lives in Ohio was just laid off from his job this week......do I think he'll vote Republican now.?..No Way! He has a family of four to care for and his journey this week has brought him to new lows...there are no jobs to be had!

    February 4, 2009 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  8. Putin still invading Alaskan airspace between Palin's ears

    The GOP (Grand Out-of-Touch) Party can't get by with cheap, store-bought imitations of Hillary (Palin) and Obama (Steele) without an initial overhaul of the principles and platforms of rebranding their cause.

    February 4, 2009 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  9. Farrell, Houston, Tx

    As a native Ohioan and seeing what has happened to people during the past 8 years is enough to make me cry and the Republicans are directly responsible. Ohioans are hard working honest people and to see them without jobs, education funds for their children, soup lines jsut because their jobs have been shipped abroad makes me sick.

    February 4, 2009 06:04 pm at 6:04 pm |
  10. Slider

    Well, that's what counts, right?

    A win.

    When Obama finishes wrecking this economy, what will all your wins add up to then?


    February 4, 2009 06:07 pm at 6:07 pm |
  11. Obama 2.0

    Trust me it is not just Ohio, it is Florida NC, VA, PA, Africa the Moon, Mars Cat's and Dogs don't like them, you name it all they can do is say NO. They don't have work boots they don't know how to get the job done.

    February 4, 2009 06:17 pm at 6:17 pm |
  12. BB

    The Grand Obstructionist Party is in trouble all over the country. Wait until 2010. It will be too late then. We've learned the source of most of this country's problems and we won't forget.

    February 4, 2009 06:17 pm at 6:17 pm |
  13. lakeside176

    Now if we could just get Boehner out of office, Ohio would be in better shape. Folks, let's work on that.

    February 4, 2009 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  14. Marcie, GA

    After George Worst President Bush, every state should be in trouble. He was a know-nothing, good for nothing and we suffered for 8 long years.

    Someone needed to kick him when he got on the plane. Our country will never be the same thanks to his ineptness.

    I'm glad Ohio GOP is in trouble–good. Good, good, good. Now maybe people will wake up and realize the GOP uses them. Most Republicans don't make the kind of money the leaders make and they still keep putting these bozos in office. Well, what have they done for you lately. Just as I thought, NOTHING.

    February 4, 2009 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  15. GOPrisoners

    If Portman is smart he'll hitch his wagon to Barack Obama's star. Ohio didn't go blue for nothing. They want some action and the GOP is motionless, until it's time to block Democratic bills.

    February 4, 2009 06:27 pm at 6:27 pm |
  16. Grumpy Old Party

    The Grumpy Old Party is in trouble everywhere. Why? Because all they do is gripe and complain. Funny, they weren't griping and complaining when George Worst-President-Bush was pretending to be in charge. They spent money like there was no tomorrow. They turned their heads when it came to torture, wire-taping, and lies on top of lies. Now all of a sudden, when we have a president that's popular, they've become "activist".

    Sit down GOP, and don't do anything. Just shut up and let the Dems handle everything. At least they care about something, whether it's people, animals or the planet. That's better than just caring about yourselves and money.

    February 4, 2009 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  17. Willy Brown

    Ohio look at Michigan, an industrial state like you that has been under full democrat rule for sometime. Think before you vote.

    February 4, 2009 06:35 pm at 6:35 pm |
  18. Rushpublicans: Permanent Minority

    Because America just loves Obstructionists.

    February 4, 2009 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  19. Bob F.

    Now if we could just get Boehner out of office, Ohio would be in better shape. Folks, let's work on that.

    Here, Here. Boehner and all of his obstructionist friends in the GOP. When the Repubs were in power, they let Georgey boy do whatever he wanted with the economy. Now that Obama is trying to fix it, suddenly they're saying the price tag's too high? When Clinton left office, we had a budget surplus. Dubya and his croneys spent all that and a trillion more besides, Can you spell HYPOCRITE?

    February 4, 2009 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  20. Proud Yankee


    February 4, 2009 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  21. alvino


    The economy was wrecked by the worst president in the last 50 years, and he is currently residing in Dallas. The problem with you and most other obstructionists is that you are from the party of "me first."

    Notice the letter "I" is in republican.

    February 4, 2009 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  22. ellington

    Republicans need to go, that's all I can say.

    Can't wait until 2010

    February 4, 2009 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  23. EVOLVE




    February 4, 2009 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  24. No Jeb Bush or Any Bush

    Jeb Bush should never be elected to the presidency. The Bushes should only be allowed one son, and they put the wrong son up for the job.

    We had the wrong son in the office. It was like having Roger Clinton, instead of Bill as president or Billy Carter, instead of Jimmy.

    The Bushes don't get a do-over. They've used their last chip. Game over.


    February 4, 2009 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  25. D.Tin

    The republicans had better beware that 2010 will also become a day of answering for them. If do not act in a bipartisan way with our President, then the american people when they are all hungry and angry, yes this includes die hard republicans too, will kick them to the curb. Nothing brings people together than a common cause...that cause will be dispair!

    February 4, 2009 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
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