Poll shows tight race for 2012 GOP nomination
(CNN) - The Republican presidential primary process doesn't kick off for more than two years, but perhaps it's never too early to take a measure of where a race that's far from starting stands.
It appears to be a three-way race between former White House hopeful Mitt Romney, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, and Mike Huckabee - also an ex-presidential aspirant. Romney stands at 26 percent in the new survey, compared to 21 percent for Palin, and 19 percent for Huckabee.
But the poll, which surveyed 455 Republicans and Republican-leaning voters between July 10-12, carries a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points, meaning all three are essentially locked in a dead heat.
Newt Gingrich, the former House Speaker and current conservative commentator stands at 14 percent while Tim Pawlenty and Haley Barbour - the governors of Minnesota and Mississippi respectively - are each in low single digits.
The Gallup survey shows similar results to those of a recent CNN poll that also indicated the same three Republicans are locked in hypothetical race for the party's nomination.
But while Romney, Palin, and Huckabee are clustered on top, the survey shows voters hold a much higher favorability rating of the soon-to-be ex-Alaska governor than the other two Republicans. Palin scores a 72 percent approval rating compared with Huckabee's 59 percent and Romeny's 56 percent.
Though Palin, who has firmly remained in the headlines since she was tapped to be the party's vice presidential candidate last August, appears considerably better known than both men: only 7 percent of Republicans have no opinion of her compared to 28 percent who said the same of Romney and 25 percent who lacked a view of Huckabee.
Of course, polls more than two years before an election are far from predictive: A Gallup survey in 2005 showed Hillary Clinton would win the 2008 Democratic nomination over John Kerry while Rudy Giuliani would edge out McCain on the Republican side. President Obama was not included in the poll.
From CNN Politics
- Monument protection is top priority for Trump administration this July 4th weekend July 3, 2020 11:37 pm
- New York Times: New US memo highlights gaps in intelligence reports on Russian bounties July 4, 2020 01:44 am
- Liz Cheney, a key voice in House Republican leadership, increasingly breaks with Trump July 4, 2020 12:43 am
- Coronavirus is surging in Florida -- and so is anxiety over Trump's chances with senior voters July 3, 2020 01:06 pm
- At least 8 Secret Service agents stuck in Phoenix with coronavirus after Pence trip July 3, 2020 11:41 pm
- Hillary Clinton on Trump's handling of the coronavirus: 'I would have done a better job' July 3, 2020 09:54 pm
Boy is this sad. The Republicant's are counting on three previous losers as their best shot in 2012? The party is doomed. Sorry, I forgot it was doomed already.
When it is all said and done I don't think that you will see any of these individuals on the GOP ticket in 2012. They all carry too much baggage. The biased media (as Palin calls anyone but Fox) is going to have a field day with her, and Romney and Huckabee just don't seem to excite the masses.
Those people that favored Palin in the poll must have been " pretend to be Democrats". I hate to say it liberals do those kind of things. The poll is a fake. I have talked to many Republicans and my survey shows a 100% for Romney. Granted these people were all intelligent people. There is no way Palin is going to win the Republican nomination in 2012. I think this is a dream created by the press as a joke so that all the moron liberals will have a laugh at all this nonsence.
Romney will OWN Palin. Palin will guarantee herself no place by inciting violence against Mormons in her hate-filled rallies.
All 3 scare me.
"Tight race" for what?? She couldn't finish the job she was originally elected to do in the first place? What is it with the GOP? Have you got a screw loose? The woman quit her job so she could go fishing. Is she gonna do the same thing if elected President? Catch a clue, forget her, and move on to someone who is reliable and will "finish" the job.
please run sarah we want total control for 8 years/ thanks from a democrat white woman /on social security AND medicare
It is still mind-boggling to me that anyone, Republicans, Independents, actually anyone, would find this woman to be presidential material. With all of the problems this country is now facing, she must be hoping that they are all gone by 2012. Her popularity stems from the fact that most people watch her or listen to her speak due to the 100% chance she will say something stupid or totally mangle her syntax. She's not bright, she's not coherent. It would be unimaginable to picture her negotiating with any other world leader or expressing her views at a G-8 conference. Actually I find it scary that there are potential voters out there who back her 100%. Who are these people and what planet do they inhabit??
Wow, I never would have guessed the base was still that enamored with Palin. I hope the party looks out beyond the lit up very conservative base to see that the light dims very rapidly as you enter into the woods of independents and let alone liberals.
It is the old feeling that "since everyone I associate with acts just like me, we must have a winner on our hands. "
Run Sarah Run!
Please RunAway for good.
Run Sarah, run. Nothing could more solidly guarantee an Obama 2nd term!
I wish she would just go away. She has single handedly set women back 50 years. She needs to go do some research and know what her platform is or better yet anything she he talks about before she tries to run for any office again.
What about Joe the Plumber? VP?
A 3 way race for second place.
Hey CNN – check your calendar. Its July, 2009. Find something serious to report on rather than a presidential primary race that will not occur for another 2 and 1/2 years. Why not report on the race for the presidency in 2028? The state of reporting and the media really cannot go much lower.
CNN, you are losing me as a reader if you continue to give nut job Palin the amount of coverage that you do.
Obama 58% Romney 42%
I am flabbergasted at the huge crowds Palin draws as well as the large number of donors. Palin hasn't even started active fundraising yet! She will always be underestimated by the elites, but there is no doubt that Palin is an attractive candidate who aroused the interest of an adoring public in 2008. Now having moved on to a higher calling, she is the undisputed frontrunner for 2012. She combines exceptional charisma with an intuitive ability to relate to working people. Who cares if she doesn't read? Obviously Americans don't considering we elected "W" for 2 terms.
Are we seriously going to start talking about this now. Let the people who were elected run the country, and start this nonsense in 2010 at least. Republican, Democrat, Independent, whatever you are, folks have to agree that running stories like this 3 years before the election is a sign that the 24 hour news machine is getting out of control.
If these are the best our party has to offer, we are all in trouble.
surely you jest.......is this a joke or what? Sarah Palin for President? She brought down the Republicans in 2008, let's have her run again in 2012 to assure another Democratic Win!!
Speaking as a liberal, I would dearly love to see the Republicans nominate Palin, Huckabee, or Gingrich. I feel that the single person most responsible for Obama being elected, next to Obama himself, was Palin. Until the people really got to see her up close and personal, McCain was leading in the polls.
I can't imagine any of these three having strong appeal to the independent and middle of the road voters.
Can you imagine a Frost/Palin debate ? Even Limbaugh would cringe.
Thank God. A couple of born'agin religious zealots waiting for the rapture and a guy with a religion not trusted by born'agins. Sounds like a perfect storm to me!
This is for my Republican "friends". I am a Democrat that believes in the two or three party system. I absolutely do not want the Democrats to win every election by whatever means, that is not good for our country. I like to see that the party who has the better candidate and better plan for American's best interest to come up the winner. I wish that you had selected a better and more intellegent candidate than you did when GWB was elected. That is in the past now but still I would have liked to have seen him as a great president that brought us peace and great economic success rather than the mess he left behind. Please do your homework and do a darn good evaluation of the candidates you select to run for the presidency. The person should have in-depth knowledge in domestic issues as well as international. To mention Ms. Sarah Palin as a viable candidate for this extremely important position is not fair to her and certainly not good for our country.