August 4th, 2009
09:52 AM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Christie widens lead among NJ likely voters

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="The new Corzine spot features Obama."](CNN) - A hot summer in New Jersey appears to be getting even hotter for Gov. Jon Corzine, as a new poll suggests that Republican challenger Chris Christie has increased his edge over the incumbent Democrat in state's gubernatorial battle.

Fifty percent of likely New Jersey voters questioned in a Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey survey released Tuesday back the former federal prosecutor in this year's election, with 36 percent supporting the first-term governor and 4 percent indicating they'll vote for independent candidate Christopher Daggett. Eight percent of likely voters are undecided. Christie's 14 point lead among likely voters is up from an 8 point lead in a Monmouth University poll conducted a month ago.

But among registered voters, including both those likely and unlikely to cast ballots in the gubernatorial contest, the survey indicates Christie holds a 4 point lead over Corzine, 43 percent to 39 percent, with 10 percent undecided. That's down from a 6 point lead a month ago.

The new poll was conducted after both President Barack Obama teamed up at a campaign rally with Corzine and the arrests by federal prosecutors of dozens of public officials and political operatives in New Jersey.

"We find that Corzine has made some gains with black and Hispanic voters, while Christie has increased his vote share among union workers. But the bottom line is that Christie's supporters are more engaged, which is why the Republican's lead among likely voters has grown," says Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

The survey suggests Corzine is taking three out of four Democratic voters, while Christie is winning eight out of ten Republicans and leading among independents by 20 points.

The 14 point lead for Christie among likely voters in the Monmouth poll follows nine point lead in Quinnipiac University survey conducted in mid July.

The new poll's release comes as the Corzine campaign is airing a new television commercial on broadcast and cable TV in New Jersey that features President Obama.

In the spot, using clips from last month's Corzine-Obama rally, the president says: "Jon Corzine wasn't just the first governor to pass an economic recovery plan for his state - he was an ally with the Obama administration in helping us develop a national recovery plan."

Corzine is seen standing next to Obama in the commercial, but doesn't speak. The Christie campaign dismissed the ad, noting that Corzine doesn't speak in the spot. "Considering nearly 200,000 New Jerseyans have lost their job in the last year, unemployment keeps rising and we still have the highest tax burden in the country, it's no surprise Jon Corzine is at a loss for words," says Christie Campaign Manager Bill Stepien

The Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey poll was conducted 7/29-8/2, with 723 New Jersey registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 3.7 percentage points for registered voters and 4.5 percentage points for likely voters.

Filed under: Chris Christie • Jon Corzine • New Jersey
soundoff (46 Responses)
  1. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    Well, I would like to know how Christie plans on being chief prosecutor when he is elected being governor... Wait he can't do that. I am sure that he has raised money for his campaign; where are the TV spots showing what he will do? I haven't seen one from him; only the Republican Governor's Association has been putting up ads that make NJ look like its the only state with problems. If anyone who sees those ads has been paying attention will know that they aren't fully telling the story.

    I don't like all of what Corzine has done, but he has done what can be termed the best in a bad situation. He has to correct problems from past governors of both parties and cut spending while the state, like the rest of the country, is struggling with a economic downturn. I don't think Christie could do as well. He would cut things so quickly and without enough understanding that it would cripple state services. No one would like that.

    August 4, 2009 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  2. Gambler in Jersey

    Just take over the Casinos,they run the State now and dont pay any taxes.Problem solved.

    August 4, 2009 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  3. Dave, Central Illinois

    Ha ha, looks like 2010 might be looking a lot like 1994.

    August 4, 2009 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  4. RealityKing

    America is already tiring of the progressive lies Obama is using to grow government.

    August 4, 2009 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  5. Jake

    umm...I've been in NJ all summer, and it hasn't been so hot. Actually, pretty mild compared to previous summers.

    August 4, 2009 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  6. GI Joe

    NJ? Put a fence around it and armed guards on the outside of the fence. No one out, no one in. It's so corrupt it won't be missed.

    August 4, 2009 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  7. Gary

    I think that just about any candidate is better than Corzine. He is a Goldman Sachs disaster and should retire from politics.

    August 4, 2009 01:10 pm at 1:10 pm |
  8. delisa

    Only in NJ could such a big fat pig be elected Governor

    August 4, 2009 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  9. stormerF

    New Jersey needs fiscal responsible leadership ,its about time to get away from corrupt John and his Bafoon ideas.

    August 4, 2009 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  10. haren

    When we have democrat president in white house you don't elect opposite party candidate, as you get more benefit out of federal govt.
    New Jersey voters are stupid and I don't trust any republican who is calling for tax cut.
    economy is bad in whole country and it is not John Corzine's fault.
    Blame it to party of Christie.

    August 4, 2009 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  11. Willy Brown

    Buh bye mr one term.

    August 4, 2009 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  12. haren

    Monmouth university poll? a republican county I don't trust them.

    August 4, 2009 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  13. gl, From Pittsburgh

    How many polls had Hilary Clinton winning over President Obama and she lost? So if I was a Republicans I would really count too much on polls.

    August 4, 2009 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  14. Matt

    Corozine bought his political position finally after several tries at power. Now you can't hold onto it because when you had the power you did nothing with it. Time for a new Govenor. See ya and go back to your millions and cry.

    August 4, 2009 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  15. Lori reminds the GOP that they're STILL only 20Something % of the American people. Stop blogging under multiple names!

    Rhonda dear! Remember NY-20 sweetheart! NY-20!!! The people of New Jersey like the people in New York will wise up closer to the actual voting day. You are still only in the 21% affiliation range in America.

    August 4, 2009 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  16. Hammerer

    This is not the first Dem to find that Obama has become more like Bush in more ways than one, he is now a liability in state elections also.

    August 4, 2009 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  17. johnnie

    Another Untruth, Corzine wil win by a LANDSLIDE,take look at the ECONOMY,were on the road to RECOVERY,cant wait to LAUGH at the NA-SAYERS

    August 4, 2009 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  18. Predicta

    corzine will lose. He is hated by most in his state and his policies are affecting families negatively. He's toast come election day.

    August 4, 2009 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  19. Rob

    America will be a great country once we get disasters like Corzine, Reid, Pelosi, Durbin, Dodd, Frank, Schumer, and Obama out of office. These people disgrace the name America!

    August 4, 2009 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  20. Karen

    Polls are totally useless and nothing more than media propaganda. Just go vote...and of course, if you want any work to get done...better vote in a Democrat cause Republicans don't work...just whine

    August 4, 2009 02:36 pm at 2:36 pm |
  21. Common Sense

    Hey, you liberal trolls who keeping storming these pages acting like all Republicans are the Children of Satan, maybe your guy is corrupt and terrible at Governing and the Republican is not. *gasp* Amazing how you have become the very partisan idealogues you once rallied against.

    August 4, 2009 03:01 pm at 3:01 pm |
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