October 14th, 2009
09:58 AM ET
13 years ago

Poll: Dead Heat in New Jersey

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2009/images/09/01/art.njrace.gi.jpg caption="There is more evidence Wednesday that with 20 days until the November election, the battle for New Jersey's top job is a dead heat."](CNN) - There is more evidence Wednesday that with 20 days until the November election, the battle for New Jersey's top job is a dead heat.

Forty percent of New Jersey likely voters questioned in a new Quinnipiac University poll say they back Democratic incumbent Jon Corzine, with 41 percent supporting Republican challenger Chris Christie. According to the survey, 12 percent say they'll vote for independent candidate Christopher Daggett.

Christie, the former federal prosecutor in New Jersey, held a four point lead over Corzine in Quinnipiac's poll from two weeks ago, with Daggett at 12 percent.

Two other surveys out over the last week, a Fairleigh Dickinson University Public Mind poll and Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey survey, also indicated that the New Jersey gubernatorial contest was all tied up.

The new Quinnipiac poll suggests that 76 percent of Democrats back Corzine, 83 percent of Republicans support Christie, and independents back Christie 45 to 32 percent, with 16 percent supporting Daggett.

"Daggett appears to take slightly more voters from Christie than from Corzine," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "It's not a big margin, but in a tight race, every little bit might count. If Daggett's support drops between now and election day, Christie may be the likely beneficiary."

According to the survey, the vast majority of Corzine and Christie backers say their minds are made up, but less than four in ten Daggett supporters say they won't change their mind.

"It's still a nail-biter. Christopher Christie has never given up the lead, but it's been getting slimmer and now it's a dead heat," says Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Historically, third party candidates fade on election day. Apparently, voters agree. Very few of his backers are committed to independent candidate Christopher Daggett and 77 percent of all voters say he has no chance of winning."

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted October 7-12, with 1,264 New Jersey likely voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

Filed under: Chris Christie • Jon Corzine • New Jersey
soundoff (35 Responses)
  1. Jacques

    Just proves that Corzine-Goldman Sachs money wins elections. Another reason why the poor stay poor and New Jersey remains one of the most corrupt states in the country.

    October 14, 2009 11:03 am at 11:03 am |
  2. just joe

    ....if Jerseyites vote based on the proper feeding of their candidates, without question Christie wins.

    October 14, 2009 11:04 am at 11:04 am |
  3. diridi

    new jersey, these republican idiots will mess the nation and state...just watch...vote for any dog of democratic party...better...ok...

    October 14, 2009 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  4. righty

    If NJ re-elects Corzine, They deserve every tax increase he will pump out. Two terms is ENOUGH

    October 14, 2009 11:10 am at 11:10 am |
  5. Shari, NY

    Hmmm! Wasn't Christie way ahead a few months ago. Those ads must be working against him.

    October 14, 2009 11:11 am at 11:11 am |
  6. mark

    bye bye corzine!

    October 14, 2009 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  7. Carl Justus

    Let us hope that Corzine can pull it out for we do not need any more of the party of NO as governor or in congress.
    The republican party must change course before they can be trusted. For eight years, all they did was pass tax cuts for the rich, not once, not twice, but three times, start a war with a Iraq who was no threat to the USA, after backing him in the fight against Iran.
    They took the economy from having a surplus of 226 BILLION DOLLARS AND LEFT A DEFICIT FOR OBAMA OF 1.2 TRILLION.

    October 14, 2009 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  8. Hugo

    I wonder if ACORN has signed up any new Democrat minorities for this election?

    America knows there is no hope for New Jersey, California or New York. They are all lost to the decomposition and corruption of any civilized social structure, rotted from the inside out from the entitled and irresponsible citizens that compose their populations. Their responsible tax paying and productive citizens are leaving like fleas jumping off a dying dog, taxed beyond any palatable degree.

    Wonder which State the Federal Government will take over first? My bet is California, there are a lot of minority votes there to be had, all with their hands out!

    October 14, 2009 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  9. ray

    yes , steele is the punching bag for the old white angry white men on the right, what an idiot this man is. thats right republicans , use the blackman and much as you can.

    October 14, 2009 11:31 am at 11:31 am |
  10. Mercedes

    Go ahead New Jersey and vote for this republican and you will get more of the past 8 years. Don't complain when it's too late for changes!

    October 14, 2009 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
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