October 30th, 2009
08:03 AM ET
13 years ago

Poll suggests dead heat in battle for New Jersey governor

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2009/images/10/22/art.govs.cnn.jpg caption="The race for NJ governor appears to be a dead heat.'"](CNN) - With four days until Election Day, a new poll suggests that New Jersey Governor Jon Corzine is tied with his Republican challenger, Chris Christie.

According to a Fairleigh Dickinson University survey released Friday morning, 41 percent of likely New Jersey voters back Christie, the former federal prosecutor in the Garden State, with 39 percent supporting Corzine, the Democratic incumbent fighting for a second term, and 14 percent backing Independent candidate Chris Daggett.

Christie's 2 point lead is well with in the poll's sampling error.

A Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday morning indicated that Corzine held a 5 point advantage over Christie, just within that poll's sampling error. Most surveys in New Jersey over the past six weeks have suggested that Corzine and Christie were deadlocked, with Daggett in the low double digits.

"At this point, anyone who says their vote doesn't count is mistaken," says Peter Woolley, director of the Fairleigh Dickinson poll.

"In most races - including the one in Virginia this year - the outcome hinges on turnout," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "But in New Jersey, the outcome is likely to be determined by the size of the vote for minor-party candidates. If turnout is relatively high but all the extra voters choose an independent candidate, that won't affect the margin between the Democrat and the Republican."

The Fairleigh Dickinson University poll was conducted October 22-28, with 694 New Jersey likely voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter @psteinhausercnn

Filed under: Chris Christie • Jon Corzine
soundoff (32 Responses)
  1. Scott

    Yeah, but Christie is still fat!

    October 30, 2009 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  2. katiec

    I cannot understand how anyone of any intelligence can support the GOP and their actions these last months.
    They are not representing the American people and our country by putting party first, destroy our president mentallity and vote against everything, regardless of its benefits.
    They have become extremists putting politics over the survival of our country. They are on their way to becoming our most dangerous
    domestic terrorists.

    October 30, 2009 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  3. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    This is apparently a no-win situation for the state of New Dearthy, but I'm pulling for the 'fat guy' based on the article that cnn posted yesterday. I like his brassiness and in your face humor!

    October 30, 2009 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  4. File under "Sarcasm"

    It's hard to believe there are still that many fools who prefer the tax and spend philosophy, and the tolerance of political corruption that John Corzine represents.

    October 30, 2009 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  5. Wake Up

    I'd rather be fat and look like Christie than be bald and ugly like Corzine. I'd also rather not be a high tax and spend liberal crook like corzine.

    October 30, 2009 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  6. gary davis Harbor Oregon

    WHOM ever wins ,I hope they do the best job for the people and not just for the special intrest groups and big business. the people come first . government for the people by the people ..:)

    October 30, 2009 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  7. Tony

    I don't think this election is going to be settled by the end of Tuesday night.

    October 30, 2009 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
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