January 18th, 2010
06:03 PM ET
13 years ago

Poll: Brown makes gains in Mass. Senate Race

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/01/18/art.scottbrown0118.gi.jpg caption="A new poll released Monday afternoon indicates that Republican Scott Brown has a 7-point edge over Democrat Martha Coakley in Tuesday's special election in Massachusetts for the late Sen. Ted Kennedy's seat."](CNN) - A new poll released Monday afternoon indicates that Republican Scott Brown has a 7-point edge over Democrat Martha Coakley in Tuesday's special election in Massachusetts for the late Sen. Ted Kennedy's seat.

According to an American Research Group survey, 52 percent of likely voters back Brown, a state senator, with 45 percent supporting Coakley, the state's attorney general. Meanwhile, 2 percent back Joseph Kennedy, a third party candidate who is not related to the late senator. The 7-point advantage for Brown is just within the poll's sampling error.

Brown had a 48 to 45 percent advantage in an ARG poll released over the weekend.

The survey indicates 97 percent of likely Republican voters are backing Brown, independent voters supporting him 64 to 32 percent over Coakley, and nearly one out of 4 Democrats also supporting Brown.

A Suffolk University poll released Thursday indicated Brown held a 4-point lead. Other recent partisan and non-partisan surveys suggested the race was a dead heat.

The American Research Group poll was conducted Friday through Sunday, with 600 Massachusetts residents likely to vote in Tuesday's election questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Also Monday the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report changed its prediction of the race from "toss up" to "lean Republican." Another well respected non-partisan political report, the Cook Political Report, has the race rated as a "toss up," but notes in its analysis of the race that "we put a finger on the scale for Brown."

-CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn

Filed under: Martha Coakley • Popular Posts • Scott Brown
soundoff (173 Responses)
  1. Keith in Austin

    Democracy in action. I trust that the Democrat leadership takes heed of the true voice of Americans and scrap their illgotten healthcare bill. However, knowing the elitist Liberal belief that THEY know what's better for the stupid public, my bet is they will cram it down our throats anyway! What a pitty!

    January 18, 2010 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  2. Spoody

    Wow, look at the liberal hate from the posters. What has the Dem controlled government done well? The debt is out of control, the takeover of all of our freedoms is happening every day. Just try to get a credit card now. Just try to get a mortgage. All you angry liberals have buried your heads in the sand and refuse to look at the EVIDENCE.

    January 18, 2010 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
  3. Gig76

    Massachusett voters - Don't come screaming that Scott Brown didn't do anything after you elected him. You get what you vote for, nothing. Vote for the real deal and vote for Coakley, who is the real deal, who will represent Massachusett. Vote Coakley. Vote Democrat!

    January 18, 2010 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  4. lol

    This race is NOT a dead heat look at the results from the primary 850,000 votes cast in the state only 150,000 for either of the Republicans , 700,000 for the Dems. I cant wait to vote for Martha Coakley tomorrow & she will win by a landslide.

    January 18, 2010 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  5. Wade

    Brian January 18th, 2010 5:13 pm ET

    The republicans had full control for 6 years. They took the deficit from 0 to 14 TRILLION. We can't let them have control of ANYTHING else. Republicans are warmongers and executives. We can do without those.

    Brian, learn the difference between the NATIONAL DEBT and an annual BUDGET DEFICIT.

    The Deficit is no where near 14 trillion.
    It's just a hair under 2 trillion thanks to Obama's pokulus bill.

    January 18, 2010 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  6. gop=kkk

    TEA PARTY=kkk

    January 18, 2010 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  7. We the People/FormerGOP

    HEY!!!! you people in Mass, HELLO!!! it was the GOP who got us in this mess or did you petulant children forgets! TALK ABOUT SHORT TERM MEMORY I would NEVER give the GOP to dig the ditch deeper.
    And if you slacker crybabies in Mass do let the GOP in, when they poo hits the fan in you state DON’T SAY A WORD! Cause you asked for it.

    January 18, 2010 05:41 pm at 5:41 pm |
  8. tag

    huraaaaayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy for brown! bye bye to the kings agenda!

    January 18, 2010 05:42 pm at 5:42 pm |
  9. Bush's Favorite Things: Blanky, Bikey & Nappy

    This, Mr. President, is what happens when you don't dance with those that brung ya, don't fight and let the right-wing nutjobs define your agenda. Lot's of luck in the midterms and 2012!!! I'm holding out for a viable candidate that does what is promised and doesn't deal in half-measure politics and throwing crumbs to his supporters.

    January 18, 2010 05:42 pm at 5:42 pm |
  10. Aunt Bea and Opie

    Im sure Cheney will endorse Brown,two peas in a pod.

    January 18, 2010 05:42 pm at 5:42 pm |
  11. rococo

    The people of Massachusetts have been suffering from the Stockholm syndrom. They have been held hostage by a pack of Socialists and Internationalists for almost 50 years now. They see a chance to finally break free of their captors without being punished by the Kennedys, Bawney Fwank and other questionable figures.

    Vote Brown !

    January 18, 2010 05:43 pm at 5:43 pm |
  12. mark

    Go Scott go – take back the people's seat!

    January 18, 2010 05:45 pm at 5:45 pm |
  13. rococo

    Rita – you are only spouting what you have been total by the Obamists. Geitner himself is a corporate pig who cheated on his income tax, yet Obama has placed him in a supreme position in his admistration. This puts a lie to what you are saying about Republicans.

    January 18, 2010 05:45 pm at 5:45 pm |
  14. J in NJ

    If you want real change go to http://www.brownforussenate.com/ and volunteer. You do not have to live in MA to volunteer to help. you can make calls to help get out the vote. Use the rules in your favor and get to work I am!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    January 18, 2010 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  15. Brandon

    This seat has been held by a democrat for decades, and all of a sudden Massachussetts voters are changing their mind just because that democrat isn't a Kennedy? Oh please.

    January 18, 2010 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  16. Jeff

    The shot heard round the world...

    January 18, 2010 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  17. David

    Go Scott Brown, I'm from Memphis, TN ,but nonetheless just donated $250 to his campaign!!!

    January 18, 2010 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  18. Gig76

    The reason Republican GOPers want to be back in power is so they don't have to work. They want everyone else to work for them. Whu do you think Sarah Palin dropped out from being governor of Alaska? She was going to have to work hard. You see, she works for Rudolph Murdock at Fox now, and she doesn't have to really work. She didn't really write the book Going Rogue. On the book, has anyone seen the font of the words in that book. No one needs a magnifying glass since the font is a "16". The words are so 1st grade level. Really Sarah, who edited your book? So, the illusion is that she is working but not really. That's what television does for people - it gives the illusion of reality but really isn't real, only local and national news are real. So, slavery is alive and well in America. GOPers don't like having to work. Keep GOPers working. GOPers don't like being the slaves to American people. They like to be the Masters of America and Americans the slave workers. Keep Democracy alive. Vote Democrats! Vote Coakley for US Senate!

    January 18, 2010 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  19. MVDCT

    Handing over the reigns of the federal government to one unchecked party is by nature a risky proposition. However, handing it over to a party hell-bent on fundamentally reshaping our society in its own image at all costs is downright dangerous. Tomorrow the good people of Massachusetts have the ability to put the brakes on this administration. The last thing we need is another Democrat, rubber-stamp senator for Reid and Obama.

    January 18, 2010 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  20. steve hansen

    Wow, this was buried deep into the website. What a farse the news media has become.

    January 18, 2010 05:48 pm at 5:48 pm |
  21. mario ca.

    Can't believe people prefer paid 4 times the cost of health care with a close : Your are not cover for,,,,,

    January 18, 2010 05:49 pm at 5:49 pm |
  22. Anonymous

    Ha ha ha. I see all the liberals on here have reverted back to their usual smear campaign against Republicans when the public doesn't respond to their ideals. Obviously, the ideals cannot be wrong. It must be those "evil Republicans." Hilarious. Just frakkin' hilarious.

    January 18, 2010 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  23. El Kababa

    The poor Democrats could not pass a health bill with a solid majority of the House and 60% of the Senate. Lyndon Johnson must be spinning in his grave.

    The Conservatives have embraced the role of the disloyal opposition. They want the country to suffer so that Obama's administration will lose popularity and the Republicans will gain by default. Therefore, they are – once again – gridlocking the government. Conservatives always talk about how inefficient government is. I wonder how much government would improve if all Conservatives simply disappeared and let the nation actually try to solve its problems.

    The real problem with our government are the Conservatives in it.

    January 18, 2010 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
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