January 18th, 2010
06:03 PM ET
13 years ago

Poll: Brown makes gains in Mass. Senate Race

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/01/18/art.scottbrown0118.gi.jpg caption="A new poll released Monday afternoon indicates that Republican Scott Brown has a 7-point edge over Democrat Martha Coakley in Tuesday's special election in Massachusetts for the late Sen. Ted Kennedy's seat."](CNN) - A new poll released Monday afternoon indicates that Republican Scott Brown has a 7-point edge over Democrat Martha Coakley in Tuesday's special election in Massachusetts for the late Sen. Ted Kennedy's seat.

According to an American Research Group survey, 52 percent of likely voters back Brown, a state senator, with 45 percent supporting Coakley, the state's attorney general. Meanwhile, 2 percent back Joseph Kennedy, a third party candidate who is not related to the late senator. The 7-point advantage for Brown is just within the poll's sampling error.

Brown had a 48 to 45 percent advantage in an ARG poll released over the weekend.

The survey indicates 97 percent of likely Republican voters are backing Brown, independent voters supporting him 64 to 32 percent over Coakley, and nearly one out of 4 Democrats also supporting Brown.

A Suffolk University poll released Thursday indicated Brown held a 4-point lead. Other recent partisan and non-partisan surveys suggested the race was a dead heat.

The American Research Group poll was conducted Friday through Sunday, with 600 Massachusetts residents likely to vote in Tuesday's election questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Also Monday the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report changed its prediction of the race from "toss up" to "lean Republican." Another well respected non-partisan political report, the Cook Political Report, has the race rated as a "toss up," but notes in its analysis of the race that "we put a finger on the scale for Brown."

-CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn

Filed under: Martha Coakley • Popular Posts • Scott Brown
soundoff (173 Responses)
  1. Thank you Scott Brown

    It feels so wonderful to have hope of FINALLY having a voice in this back-room Health Care debate. We owe you a debt of gratitude Scott Brown. We have hope that your winning will inspire bi-partisanship in Washington. There is so much work to do to help the American people get the health care that they need. Really a lot of great ideas, getting rid of pre-existing conditions. But this AWFUL legislation is not the answer. We know it, and soon they will know it.

    We owe it to you and everyone who votes for Scott Brown, a BETTER BILL for Health Care REFORM in America.

    Thank you everyone who votes for Scott Brown. We owe you big time!

    January 18, 2010 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |
  2. Bubble of Sanity

    This is a job for....ACORN! Let's hit the cemeteries; let's put union goons on the street to intimidate workers; let's "monitor" elections in minority districts. There's an election to be stolen here.

    Remember Minnesota! Remember Alaska! We've come too far and spent too much to be stopped by some stupid American voters!

    January 18, 2010 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  3. jerseylou

    If this guy brown wins, expect more of Bushism and chenyism.

    January 18, 2010 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  4. cal

    It is very important for the people of Massachusetts that Scott Brown wins the election. All my relatives are voting for him and are sick of Barney Frank and his crew. Vote them all out and save Massachusetts. Hard-working taxpayers who obey the law unite against those who want to t ake your money and believe that it is really their money. Obama's healthcare bill is crazy. Vote them OUT.

    January 18, 2010 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  5. jane

    The health insurance reform bill seems far short of what is desperately needed, but the Democrats in Congress must pass it before Brown is elected. If he is elected, Mass. will have sent a very poor substitute for Ted Kennedy in the Senate.

    January 18, 2010 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  6. ReConUSMC

    This RACE has nothing to do with Coakley ,
    tI is about Obama's insane far left of Left Fascism he has arrogantly and fully displayed for a full year !
    Enough is Enough !

    January 18, 2010 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  7. Dutch the Great

    I can't believe what's going on in the minds of voters. After the republican track record of the last 8 years, you idiots are trying to put these bums back in power. You've got to be kidding me. This Brown guy is just going to be another obstructionist in the Party of No if he gets elected. BROWN IS AGAINST CONTRACEPTIVES FOR WOMEN WHO'VE BEEN RAPED. I'm a Northeasterner, and pro-choice is the mindsets of people in the New England states.

    January 18, 2010 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  8. Get Real

    These polls are a joke!!!!

    January 18, 2010 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  9. thersa

    I fear for my country. It's filled with stupid people.

    January 18, 2010 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  10. Panas

    Lets libs pack theirs laggage for Europe

    January 18, 2010 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  11. Arden Muller

    This is scary. You know as well as anyone else Brown is a tea bagger in a used car salesman suit to destroy health care and the President. I hope and pray that the white house is coming up with serious backup plan. The ugliness of this is if we lose health care and people do start dieing or getting sick and children don't get the care they need, these rotten idiots will be the first to start screaming and still blame it on the Obama Administration. Brown is nothing but a carpet-bagger. He is an obstructionist and is job is to collect a big fat paycheck to help destroy any change we need. IAmericans are going to have to learn the hard way.

    January 18, 2010 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  12. unemployed by Obama

    watch coakley. somehow she will cheat just like the rrest of the dems

    January 18, 2010 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  13. lefty loosy

    Imagine the " Peoples Republic of Massachusetts " with a REPUBLICAN senator , now thats CHANGE we can believe in.

    January 18, 2010 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  14. Jim from Seattle

    The glaring ignorance of the average rightwing voter is shameful. Is it upbringing and/or defective genes that prevent them from deciphering truth from soundbites generated by those with financial interest in the failure of the health care bill (i.e. big-insurance, big-oil, big-rapers and pillagers.. all veiled behind holy, holy, holy... big-religion). Sharing this country with the typical GOP (Bush) supporter is extremely aggravating.

    January 18, 2010 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  15. Dar

    I just love it when Odumbo speaks for someone in a race. Doomed.

    The people have awaken and we are not stopping untill all the trash is taken out.

    2010/2012 REAL Change is coming

    January 18, 2010 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  16. Dean Thomas

    Regretfully, the spread is going to have to be much better than this because ACORN and SEUI thugs/voters are being bussed in from as far away as North Carolina.
    Use your cell phone cameras while at the polls so at least the Dem's Chicago politics can be documented.
    They aint from Kansas, Dorothy.

    January 18, 2010 04:16 pm at 4:16 pm |
  17. Pilgrim

    Interesting statistics there. Democrat-In-Chief Obama stumps for Democrat-In-Waiting Coakley in the Most-Liberal-Democrat state in the known universe and the next day Browns lead increases. Someone, somewhere is missing the point, and I don't think it's the voters. I think what it's turned into, without the Democratic hierarchy intending it, is a referendum on the forcing of socialized medicine down the throats of the American People, and the American People don't like it at all, and are making their displeasure known, even in the
    Peoples Democratic Republic of Massachussetts. Wake up Washington, the People are speaking...LOUDLY..and they are speaking this way because you didn't ask them what they thought of all of this.

    January 18, 2010 04:16 pm at 4:16 pm |
  18. REG in AZ

    If we are once again swayed by the aggressive and deceptive appeals to our biases, prejudices and self-focused concerns, in the near future we are very likely to be here again, only then the circumstances will be even more dire as the costs of the new self-serving irresponsibility will then be added on top of the current drastic problems. To now repeat our blind acceptance of the deceptive rhetoric offered to rationalize as 'conservative' their bold total concentration on benefiting Special Interests and a select few while giving the majority only apathy, the costs and an abundance of subterfuge can only result in more significant loss for the vast majority. Failing to be objective and responsibly rational in recognizing the control and manipulation executed over their 'puppet' representatives by the influential, powerful and wealthy few is simply to be self-flagellant. Should we allow ourselves to be influenced by their appeals to our self-interests regarding concern over the costs to straighten things out now and support them in further neglecting reform, we will have only ourselves to fault. We need our representatives to be honestly responsible to us and not just loyal to Special Interests and a select few who overtly and covertly strongly support and control them. We really need to be diligent in holding them responsible to do so and stubbornly firm in rejecting them when they seek to do otherwise. Otherwise don't blame them.

    January 18, 2010 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  19. Ken

    My god!! Can you imagine the delicious irony if Kennedy's death caused the end of this corrupt bill????

    January 18, 2010 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  20. John Roan

    The gist of this is that both parties need to attend to the will of the voters and not special interests. Everyone that I know has almost no faith in Congress to do the right thing against corporate pressure. I think a constituent revolt is coming that will cost incumbents accross parties to vote out the status quo. You can only dump on the average citizen so much before a backlash occurs. Wake up you political dolts!!!

    January 18, 2010 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  21. John, Brooklyn, NY

    How tragic. Is THIS what the people of Massachusetts think of the legacy of Ted Kennedy?! They truly didn't deserve him.

    January 18, 2010 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  22. Mike from Pelosiland

    To all the voters in Massachusetts:
    You hold the key to the future of this great nation. Our sons and daughters and their children as well are depending on you to stop the madness. Please vote for Scott Brown.

    January 18, 2010 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  23. My Cousin Vinny

    This is amazing! Is Obama getting the message from the people? How about Pelosi, Reid and the Democrat Congress? What's happening in Massachusetts is happening all over this country, even though the Democrats have ignored the American people, along with most of the so called 'main (lame!) stream media'. An overwhelming majority of Americans don't want "Obamacare", bailouts, Cap and 'Tax', so called 'stimulus' etc, but Obama , Pelosi, Reid and company keep trying to ram it down our throats. The elections in NJ, Va. and now Mass. are just preludes to Nov. elections and to 'borrow' the line from a Verizon commercial, "Hey Democrats; can you HEAR US NOW!!"

    January 18, 2010 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  24. independent voter

    The day gets even better. Have a wonderful deserved day thinking of the ideals and goals championed by Dr. King, then have Brown voted in to curb the runaway spending train known as Obama.

    Independents, such as myself, now have a years worth of evidence that Obama is not what he said he was. He is in bed with the unions and big pharma and is no where near as transparent as he said he would be. He made many promises as as keeps breaking those promises can only say, or his die hard supporters say, but.. but .. the Republicans did it before or Bush caused it or I have to have a supermajority to force this through congress.

    January 18, 2010 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  25. LeftyMarty

    Sad state of affairs in our country when voters would rather see
    Sarah Palin { " wink-wink" } as our leader than thoughtful
    politicians like Ron Wyden and Bernie Sanders. Bernie
    probably did more clear thinking when he was 5 years old
    than Palin,Steele, Kantor, and Limbaugh ever did in their
    collective lives. Shame on the Democrats for letting this
    happen , and if the GOP wins, we all deserve what the
    consequences will be because of our inattentiveness to
    what really matters !

    January 18, 2010 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
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