January 18th, 2010
06:03 PM ET
13 years ago

Poll: Brown makes gains in Mass. Senate Race

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/01/18/art.scottbrown0118.gi.jpg caption="A new poll released Monday afternoon indicates that Republican Scott Brown has a 7-point edge over Democrat Martha Coakley in Tuesday's special election in Massachusetts for the late Sen. Ted Kennedy's seat."](CNN) - A new poll released Monday afternoon indicates that Republican Scott Brown has a 7-point edge over Democrat Martha Coakley in Tuesday's special election in Massachusetts for the late Sen. Ted Kennedy's seat.

According to an American Research Group survey, 52 percent of likely voters back Brown, a state senator, with 45 percent supporting Coakley, the state's attorney general. Meanwhile, 2 percent back Joseph Kennedy, a third party candidate who is not related to the late senator. The 7-point advantage for Brown is just within the poll's sampling error.

Brown had a 48 to 45 percent advantage in an ARG poll released over the weekend.

The survey indicates 97 percent of likely Republican voters are backing Brown, independent voters supporting him 64 to 32 percent over Coakley, and nearly one out of 4 Democrats also supporting Brown.

A Suffolk University poll released Thursday indicated Brown held a 4-point lead. Other recent partisan and non-partisan surveys suggested the race was a dead heat.

The American Research Group poll was conducted Friday through Sunday, with 600 Massachusetts residents likely to vote in Tuesday's election questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Also Monday the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report changed its prediction of the race from "toss up" to "lean Republican." Another well respected non-partisan political report, the Cook Political Report, has the race rated as a "toss up," but notes in its analysis of the race that "we put a finger on the scale for Brown."

-CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn

Filed under: Martha Coakley • Popular Posts • Scott Brown
soundoff (173 Responses)
  1. Q

    Remember – Reagan carried Massachusetts over Carter in 1980; Sometimes the Dems go too far even for Massachusetts.

    January 18, 2010 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  2. mikl

    GO SCOTT<GO. Stop obama. Stop this crasy deal for HC.

    January 18, 2010 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  3. Heatwave


    Democrats (and liberal Republicans) should be quaking in their boots as the greatest "Political purge" in American history may be about to catch fire. It started with NJ and Va Governors and won't stop burning until the chafe in Washington is completed cleared of all left-wing socialists that have tried to take our country in the wrong direction...including Obama.

    January 18, 2010 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  4. LacrosseMom

    Interesting how when you read the article, it seems to point that Brown is leading Coakley. However, you get to the end of the article and it says....... " Another well respected non-partisan political report, the Cook Political Report, has the race as a 'toss-up'."

    Why not let the people of Massachusetts decide?

    January 18, 2010 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  5. No Name

    People are tired of Obama's socialist agenda. The backlash is already starting. I do not want, nor need, to pay for everyone elses everything. That includes healthcare, etc. Obama is giving away the United States and making it a socialist country; we've gone too far to the left and its time we stopped.

    January 18, 2010 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  6. deeman

    I'm a Democrat for healthcare reform; just not the one we are getting shoved down our throats.

    I've got a Libertarian streak a mile wide and expected something better from Barack, not business as usual. Actually, this fly-by-night Congress is doing worse than usual.

    January 18, 2010 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  7. Tom

    Americans are sick and tired of the corruption, arrogance, and elitist attitude of both Obama and his minions. He flat lied about transparency. He is so arrogant and full of himself he doesn't even feel the need to explain to us peons why he broke his promise about allowing CSPAN to video the negotiations. We all now know he couldn't because he was bribing and cutting back room deals with the unions (at the expense of the rest of America) to pass his bill. This bill is all about his ego and paybacks to unions. We were all warned about Chicago politics and we have seen it in action. Fortunately, he can only buy senator votes, not votes of the rest of Americans.

    January 18, 2010 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  8. Party Purity will never bring Political Power!

    Question: If a woman(Martha Coakley) had appeared nude in a magazine in the '80's the cry of "immorality and the end of society as we know it" would be deafening from the right, but if a MAN(Scott Brown) poses nude in a magazine in the '80's it is okey dokey?

    Just more sexism and hypocrisy from the right.

    January 18, 2010 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  9. joel438@verizon.net


    Please get out there Tuesday and vote for Senator Brown. We must stop the Obama train before it carries us all off a cliff.

    Joel Holden

    January 18, 2010 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  10. DF -- Ont, Canada

    If Brown wins Americans can kiss goodbye to Healthcare reform. Nothing in terms of progressive legislation seems to ever get done. If Brown wins it is like going four steps back after such a promising outlook fo change from last January.

    January 18, 2010 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  11. Ray Chicago

    America should be aware that if any Health Care reform doesn't pass it will never pass if Republicans are in power. They have no plan to assure any reform. This will never come up again at all period if they are in power. I hope god bless all American with good health in the future. We will need it.

    January 18, 2010 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  12. RK

    While these polls certainly don't indicate pending victory for Brown, the fact that Coakley hasn't run away with this thing altogether is very gratifying for the fiscal conservatives among us. Hopefully, even if Coakley were to emerge victorious, other Democrat congressmen will begin to second guess their position in light of their own 2010 races, and change their "evil ways" in time to prevent this healthcare debacle.

    January 18, 2010 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  13. Brian

    This is just the start. Americans are FED UP with congress being out of touch with it's constituents. Just wait until November! More house/senate cleaning is on the way!!!!

    January 18, 2010 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  14. Jim

    A Republican will be replacing a Ted Kennedy....how fitting! I hope all you liberals in MASS got a gun for Christmas.....hopefully you will put it to good use......load it and shot yourselves!

    January 18, 2010 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  15. Stop the Nonsense

    I ask the question beause the press is convinced this is a referendum on healthcare and Obama's administration. If that is how you are casting your vote- think- TEDDY BACKED HEALTHCARE REFORM and EVERY OTHER PROGRAM OF THIS ADMINISTRATION- DON;T VOTE HIS LEGACY OUT OF OFFICE IF YOU LIKED HIS POSITIONS.
    Please vote on what is best for your state and that alone

    January 18, 2010 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  16. Ohio Mike

    I remember when all the polls showed President Obama losing. As for the MA race, other polls show the race a toss up or slim edge to Coakley.

    January 18, 2010 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  17. Doesn't matter

    If I recall, they already passed senate with the 60 needed. That would mean that merging it only requires a simple majority, 51, to pass healthcare. All this hype and excitement is really a smoke and mirrors diversion to the situation.

    January 18, 2010 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  18. Mike1952

    A referendum on Wingnut and the free spending, high living, deaf to the people liberals. Far leftist policies will be the political death of Wingnut, Penazi, and Hairy. The vast majority of the electorate is conservative-independent or just plain conservative. Wingnut sold his snake oil in the campaign and now governs like a socialist, statist and far left lunatic.

    January 18, 2010 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  19. Scott is better

    Scott Brown's the better candidate (by miles). He should have the lead.

    But MA voted in Barney Frank, so who knows what's will ultimately happen.

    January 18, 2010 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  20. Chipster

    If Democrats surrender this seat, shame on them. We have an opportunity to change the direction of the nation, repair our economy, provide healthcare to those in desperate need, restore International respect, regain our constitution rights to privacy and prevent government intrusion to our private records without judicial review. There is more at stake here than silly word games.

    January 18, 2010 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  21. petena

    They will be forever sorry if Brown wins. A lesson to learn

    January 18, 2010 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  22. Lee, Ann Arbor, Michigan

    the dems better get used to it. Obama has been a DISASTER and the American people want "change" again.

    American's do NOT want the healthcare takeover planned by the current House and Senate.

    Americans do not like the direction Obama, Reid, and Pelosi are taking our Country.

    America is waking up from the Obama NIGHTMARE!

    January 18, 2010 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  23. paul

    While no one argues the fact that we need health care reform, most would agree that we need to first tackle the insurance industry as well as drug industries FIRST to correct what can only be discribed as "robbing the poor to give to the rich". When ever other country in the world pays far less for everything than we do for basic health care ... please leave out cancer and any other serious ailment ... government must first tackle that before forcing the poor to pay more.

    If a Republican wins it will not indicate that the American people are switching to Republican after being Democrats, but that the Amercian people feel the Democrats have forgotten us and are pointed it out by this election.

    Whether or not a Republican wins, DEMOCRATS please open your eyes and see that this health care plan as it is, IS NOT HEALTHY.

    January 18, 2010 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  24. dg

    you go brown, you have this free and clear, say bye bye to coakley, remember she let that pervert who raped a 6 year old girl off clear

    January 18, 2010 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  25. Shirley

    I would LOVE to see Scott Brown take the seat from the Dem.

    January 18, 2010 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
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