January 18th, 2010
06:03 PM ET
13 years ago

Poll: Brown makes gains in Mass. Senate Race

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/01/18/art.scottbrown0118.gi.jpg caption="A new poll released Monday afternoon indicates that Republican Scott Brown has a 7-point edge over Democrat Martha Coakley in Tuesday's special election in Massachusetts for the late Sen. Ted Kennedy's seat."](CNN) - A new poll released Monday afternoon indicates that Republican Scott Brown has a 7-point edge over Democrat Martha Coakley in Tuesday's special election in Massachusetts for the late Sen. Ted Kennedy's seat.

According to an American Research Group survey, 52 percent of likely voters back Brown, a state senator, with 45 percent supporting Coakley, the state's attorney general. Meanwhile, 2 percent back Joseph Kennedy, a third party candidate who is not related to the late senator. The 7-point advantage for Brown is just within the poll's sampling error.

Brown had a 48 to 45 percent advantage in an ARG poll released over the weekend.

The survey indicates 97 percent of likely Republican voters are backing Brown, independent voters supporting him 64 to 32 percent over Coakley, and nearly one out of 4 Democrats also supporting Brown.

A Suffolk University poll released Thursday indicated Brown held a 4-point lead. Other recent partisan and non-partisan surveys suggested the race was a dead heat.

The American Research Group poll was conducted Friday through Sunday, with 600 Massachusetts residents likely to vote in Tuesday's election questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Also Monday the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report changed its prediction of the race from "toss up" to "lean Republican." Another well respected non-partisan political report, the Cook Political Report, has the race rated as a "toss up," but notes in its analysis of the race that "we put a finger on the scale for Brown."

-CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn

Filed under: Martha Coakley • Popular Posts • Scott Brown
soundoff (173 Responses)
  1. Greg

    One day your organization might return to journalism. You know, actually reporting on events instead of serving slanted information to show only the details you prefer.

    One day.

    January 18, 2010 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  2. Massachusetts Miracle

    I tried to tell you.

    January 18, 2010 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  3. Robin

    CNN please post this as it is a fact.

    On several CNN tickers there has been some confusion regarding a man at a Brown rally speaking of rape with a curling iron and Brown responding to him.

    The shouter's threat is in reference to a sexual abuse case, covered at length in the Boston Globe, involving a curling iron that critics say Coakley, as attorney general, did not aggressively prosecute. The victim was a 2 year old girl and the rapist was her uncle, who was a cop. Coakley allowed this toddler rapist to stay on the streets for over 2 years and she let him out of custody on No BAIL.

    January 18, 2010 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  4. Fair is Fair

    Momentum, Baby... MOMENTUM!!!

    It's almost impossible to stop a speeding train. You're not stopping Scott Brown.

    Take it from someone who's witnessing it from the front lines in Massachusetts.

    January 18, 2010 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  5. Spoody

    Weak kneed foreign policy (see: missile defense shield), messing with Israel, flying to the Global Warming Summit during a blizzard, spending my children's money like a drunken democrat, pushing for a socialist takeover of the banking/auto/insurance/health industry...and of course, horrible job reports.

    People are fed up. Go Brown Go!

    January 18, 2010 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  6. dan smith

    Maybe people are finally realizing how bad the Democrats are.

    January 18, 2010 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  7. Jimmy James

    If Brown wins it will show that regardless of the press's love affair with Obama that the country lost its love of him with every backroom deal that has been made. Massachusetts is a deep blue, liberal state, and even they see the democrats running wild thinking they can change the rules and force things down our throats. Amazing that Obama wins with 53% of the votes and the Democrats ( including Pelosi and Reid) call it a clear cut message that the country wants to change but when polls show in the 60's that people oppose this healthcare bill that they call it teabaggers and special interest groups. They lie so much they believe themselves.

    January 18, 2010 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  8. dan smith

    Time to clean out all the crooked politicians that have been in office for far too long.

    January 18, 2010 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  9. Anonymous

    Well, well, well, Mass is finally wisening up! Good for you!

    January 18, 2010 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  10. Stephen, Dallas

    bye bye Martha.

    January 18, 2010 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  11. dan smith

    Bye bye Pelosi,Reid,Dodd,and Obama.

    January 18, 2010 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  12. buckeye

    If Brown wins and if the US Senate votes on the health care bill before he takes his seat, then you may as well bury American democracy in Arlington Cemetery. Did you hear that Mr. Reid?

    January 18, 2010 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  13. dan smith

    If only Claire Mccaskill were up for re election so we could through her out too.

    January 18, 2010 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  14. RolloverTeddy

    Go Scott Go!
    I hope Obama wakes up Wednesday to anew political landscape

    January 18, 2010 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  15. jr

    note to Americans, Obama is our president and he is not going anywhere. We elected him and we support him....period!

    January 18, 2010 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |

    like regan in thearly eighties,
    we the people
    wants results for th common tax payer
    we just want to get by, no fuss, no frills.
    we down here on main street are in a DEPRESSION....
    787 billion for concrete and labor, we'll be back to work,
    paying the morgage, car payment, ect. ect.
    and we will rebuild our roads and schools to reflect
    the real America our founding fathers believed possible
    in a free society.
    it's the economy stupid......
    th arrogent government of he past decade includeing this one now
    just don't get it..........D-E-P-E-R-E-S-S-I-O-N


    January 18, 2010 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  17. indy

    Bring on November, it was a short mandate!

    January 18, 2010 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  18. Stu-SWFlorida

    IF Brown does win this "race" i hope he's the ONE REPUBLICAN that actually cares about the people and NOT THE PARTY! As an "elected official" it's high time to stop saying NO to literally everything proposed to get this United Stated UNITED again. These GOP are not for advancing the Country.. it's all about advancing the party. Plain and disgustingly simple! Shameful bunch of non patriotic morons.

    January 18, 2010 05:02 pm at 5:02 pm |
  19. revolution

    How ironic that the 1776 Revolution started in MA and history is repeating itself again with this 2010 Revolution on taxes, regulations and liberty. This is great, win or lose the good people in MA have finally reached the breaking point. They are over Taxed, over Regulated and had their voice taken away. They are speaking loud and clear, enough is enough. They want their freedom back. Good luck tomorrow MA the future of the United States is in your hands and the rest of the country will be watching.

    January 18, 2010 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  20. Mark L.

    Go Ahead Massachusetts, and vote for Scott Brown – And Then You'll Have ANOTHER LOSER – Just Like Your Boston Red Sox (Nothing But a Bunch of LOSERS !!)

    January 18, 2010 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  21. MarkE

    When I travel the country, I tell folks I'm from New Hampshire. It's too embarrassing telling them I’m from Massachusetts. I’ve taken so much BS from people because we elect politicians like Ted (The U-boat Commander) Kennedy, Gary (Never Met A Page I Didn’t Like) Studds, Barney (I’m a Fwiggin Genius) Frank and a cast of other wing-nuts. After we elect Scott Brown, I will be proud to tell folks I’m from Massachusetts, the state that saved this country from madam Pelosi and squints Reid.

    January 18, 2010 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  22. John

    If Brown wins, 40-50 million Americans may have to wait 20 more years to get health insurance – something every civilized country in the world except the U.S. correctly regards as a basic right. Please vote for Coakley – lives are at stake here!

    January 18, 2010 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  23. Dave



    Of course this has absolutley nothing to do with the Democrats agenda of massive spending, huge deficits, wasted pork laden $787 billion dollar stimulus, 10% unemployment and heathcare bill that no one wants. Good job Dems!

    January 18, 2010 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  24. Mike the Libertarian


    This will be poetic justice. Teddy Kenndy's seat will be used to vote down health legislation that is exactly the type of liberal, irresponsible, class warfare baiting legislation that he would have loved.

    Hopefully now we can have an actual collaborative and inclusive process of reforming health care / insurance. It aint reaching across the aisle when it is from either the far left or right and an insincere!

    January 18, 2010 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
  25. GET OUT AND VOTE 100% for COAKLEY: "No one gets to walk between the rain." (Quote from Bob Seger); Randall in Torrance, CA (with two Master's Degrees from WWU)

    He is a Republican, which means that he is against everything that is good for America and Americans. Massachusetts must have a lot of really dumb people who live there. This is very sad. Hopefully, he will lose the race because voting for a Republican is equivalent to voting for genocide against the middle class.

    January 18, 2010 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
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