February 11th, 2010
11:17 AM ET
13 years ago

Poll: No favorites in 2012 GOP Battle

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/02/11/art.romney.file.gi.jpg caption="A Gallup poll released Thursday indicates that 14 percent of Republican voters and Republican-leaning independents say they would like to see Mitt Romney as their party's nominee in 2012."]Washington (CNN) - It's still early in the pre-season in the next battle for the White House, and a new poll indicates that the race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination is wide open.

A Gallup poll released Thursday indicates that 14 percent of Republican voters and Republican-leaning independents say they would like to see former Massachusetts Gov. and 2008 GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney as their party's nominee.

Eleven percent of those questioned said they'd like former Alaska Gov. and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin as their party's candidate in 2012, with 7 percent backing Sen. John McCain of Arizona, the 2008 GOP presidential nominee, 4 percent supporting the newest member of the Senate, Scott Brown of Massachusetts, and 3 percent pulling for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and for former Arkansas Gov. and 2008 Republican White House hopeful Mike Huckabee. Everyone else registered at 2 percent or less.

The survey, without prompting any names, asked Republicans and Republican leaning-independents whom they would most like to see as the party's 2012 presidential candidate.

In a hypothetical 2012 general election match-up, the poll indicates that 44 percent of the public say they would likely support President Barack Obama if he decides to run for re-election, with 42 percent backing the Republican candidate and 14 percent undecided or supporting another candidate.

According to the survey, Democrats would overwhelmingly back Obama and Republicans overwhelming support the GOP candidate.

Thirty-one percent of independents questioned say they would support Obama, with 45 percent backing the Republican candidate and 1 in 4 backing another candidate or undecided.

The survey's release comes one week before some possible 2012 GOP presidential contenders will speak at the annual Conservative Political Action Conference.

The Gallup poll was conducted February 1-3, with 1,025 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points for the overall sample and plus or minus 5 percentage points for the Republican only questions.

–CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (111 Responses)
  1. TomInRochNY

    I'm thinking that as soon as the Rs pick someone and they start laying out their plan, independents will start switching the Obama. He may not be exactly what they want, but he's better than four years of reckless R rule. We've had eight years too much of that!

    February 11, 2010 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  2. If you want something ruined, put a republican in charge

    14% of republicans want Mr. Mittens to run for president. I cannot believe the right wingnuts would support the guy who brought MA a form of government healthcare.

    February 11, 2010 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  3. Sue

    Paul Ryan should run

    February 11, 2010 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  4. C. Farrell, Houston, Tx

    If John McCain had a brain he would have picked Romney as his running mate, he has strong economic background, but no, he picked someone who had absolutely nothing to offer just like himself.

    February 11, 2010 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  5. gl, From Pittsburgh

    Thirty-one percent of independents questioned say they would support Obama, with 45 percent backing the Republican candidate and 1 in 4 backing another candidate or undecided.

    --------------------------------
    These 45 percent independents that will suppose a Republicans are the SAME STUPID INDEPENDENTS VOTESR THAT VOTED FOR
    BUSH TWICE AND GAVE US SCOTT BROWN, WHO IS NOTHING BUT A SARA PALIN IN PANTS.

    This country will never move foward becasue of these impatient stupid independent voters who are a biggers threat to this country then the Taliban. Hey, you independent voters did you forget about the last 8 years of the Bush Administration?

    February 11, 2010 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  6. Emma

    All are ambitious, probably narcissistic, individuals who see themselves as more competent than they really are. With Scott Brown, it is like "I can become President in just two steps." It makes me wonder about his own self appraisal and his judgement.

    February 11, 2010 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  7. A True Centrist

    Let's look at the numbers: President Obama has now fallen to a 47% approval rating per the real clear politics average of polls. This is not a good sign for a President only one year into his term. It's also not a good sign that there are pretty much no popular alternatives on the Republican side, yet a hypothetical match-up puts him in a statistical tie with them. Issues such as the billions wasted in corporate bailouts, a failed stimulus package and a failed attempt at an awful health care bill have crushed his once rock-star status and put the entire Democratic majority in jeopardy. Several Senate seats will be lost in November including Arkansas, Delaware, Nebraska, New Hampshire and even Nevada (sorry Mr. Reid).

    I have been very disappointed in the President's performance to date and I wouldn't vote for him above any of the Republicans listed in the article except Palin and Huckabee. There's still time to get better, but little more room for error.

    February 11, 2010 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  8. billincalif

    THE REAL QUESTION IS: How can the Dimrats dump the Messiah-In-Charge in 2012 without leaving too much egg on their faces.

    February 11, 2010 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  9. Michael from Ventura

    The gop will bicker and fight and end up with another winner like McCain-they don't have a clue.

    February 11, 2010 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  10. B

    When you have nothing to work with, you start at the bottom.

    The party of – no, zero, nothing, zilch

    They are the worst collection of hacks that the Republicans have had in recent history.

    February 11, 2010 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  11. Dieter Zerressen

    I'm supporting that naked guy from Massachusets.

    February 11, 2010 12:32 pm at 12:32 pm |
  12. Marry

    How could anybody support a GOP candidate with the record the GOP has??? When they are in power, they destroy the country (and a few others while they are at it) and when they are not in power they are all about obstructing any fixing of what they broke and resist a problem solving approach as a matter of principle. America has become a very slow moving country because of the GOP.

    February 11, 2010 12:32 pm at 12:32 pm |
  13. Anonymous

    What is the big deal? None of them are qualified. They are not intelligent, they are not Christian, and they are not patriotic. Palin is the best thing that could happen, making it certain that they will get 35-40% of the vote, but never more than that.

    February 11, 2010 12:33 pm at 12:33 pm |
  14. LN

    Please, Please, Please, Please.... pick Sarah Palin as the front runner.

    February 11, 2010 12:33 pm at 12:33 pm |
  15. a

    bunch of losers

    February 11, 2010 12:34 pm at 12:34 pm |
  16. Dennis

    Romney at least understands economic issues much better than current occupant.

    February 11, 2010 12:36 pm at 12:36 pm |
  17. Whats the Difference....?

    Is there a difference between the Intellect-one and the Idiot-savant-one..? "yes" there is a difference, however one common thing is evident in there two opposites ie not one or the other has leadership qualities....

    .........what the country needs now is a good common-sense take
    charge...President...Time for a strong Woman...............................

    February 11, 2010 12:36 pm at 12:36 pm |
  18. If you want something ruined, put a republican in charge

    Why do the right wingnuts want to send our country back to the edge of a great depression with a republican? I understand why Fox wants to destroy America, but why do the tea baggers follow blindly along.

    February 11, 2010 12:39 pm at 12:39 pm |
  19. once upon a horse

    I am pulling for that Palin/Backmann ticket in 2012 with Mike Steele as their campaign manager since "Joe the Plumber" has seen his 15 mins of fame finally vanish. I think most Dems would LOVE that ticket.

    February 11, 2010 12:43 pm at 12:43 pm |
  20. Yvette

    Why doesn't CNN post Obama's poll numbers? He is our President, not Sarah Palin! Just curious!!

    February 11, 2010 12:44 pm at 12:44 pm |
  21. beth

    Go Romney, Huckabee, Jindl...anyone other than the'IDIOT'. I'm not a registered Republican but I vote for a candidate based on qualifications and their platform. I do want to have a legitimate option coming from the Republican side.

    February 11, 2010 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  22. RNC = DNC = politics as usual

    Obama's numbers are taking a nose dive.
    People see that his promise of great and instant change is a lie.
    Open season on a full spectrum conservative challengers.
    Thanks Obama for pulling the plug on the DNC.

    Time for your favorite independent or 3rd party.

    February 11, 2010 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  23. Sue

    Mitt Romney in 2012-–with Scott Brown as his VP running mate.

    This ticket would DEFINITELY win the White House!!!

    Mitt Romney is a business/economic/financial genious, and we are definitely going to need someone like this in 2012.

    Scott Brown's intelligence, popularity, charisma, and star power--would make him a GREAT candidate for the VP slot.

    Can you just imagine the debates-–Obama being forced to debate Mitt Romney without his teleprompter??? Romney would make Obama look like a fool in a debate.

    February 11, 2010 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  24. Exasperated

    See if the party can find one honest, non-hatemongering, non-fear provoking individual who really wants to do good for everyone in the country. This is what elected President Obama and the Republicans still have nobody who fits the bill. Probably because they refuse to even believe the election of 2008 even took place.

    February 11, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  25. Sniffit

    Wow...so 4% of the crowd who claimed that Obama wasn't qualified and had insufficient experience have already made complete hypocrites of themselves by throwing in with the Browntard? I'd like to say I'm shocked, but that would be a lie. Hypocrisy is the GOP's ambrosia.

    February 11, 2010 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
1 2 3 4 5