May 28th, 2010
09:17 AM ET
12 years ago

New poll suggests Nevada Senate race tightening

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="A new poll indicates the Nevada Senate race is tightening, and Harry Reid's numbers are on the upswing."]Washington (CNN) – A new poll suggests that Majority Leader Harry Reid has climbed back into the Nevada Senate race and is now virtually tied with each of the three Republicans frontrunners vying for the chance to unseat the Democrat in November.

According to a Mason-Dixon poll released Friday by the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Reid trails former Nevada GOP party chairwoman Sue Lowden by a narrow margin. Reid would win 39 percent of the vote in a hypothetical general election match-up, while Lowden clocks in at 42 percent. Lowden's three point advantage is within the survey's sampling error.

Reid fares even better when compared to Sharron Angle, a former GOP member of the Nevada Assembly, and former University of Nevada Las Vegas basketball star Danny Tarkanian.

In those hypothetical match-ups, Reid would win 42 percent of the vote to Angle's 39 percent. And when matched against Tarkanian, Reid trails by one point, garnering 41 percent compared to 42 percent for Tarkanian. Both of these margins are also within the poll's sampling error.

The results represent a significant improvement for Reid, but the veteran senator's support totals fall consistently around 40 percent, short of the 50 percent considered healthy for incumbents.

The poll also reveals new clues about which candidate is most likely to emerge from a crowded GOP primary field to challenge Reid in November.

If the primary were held today, former frontrunner Lowden would win 30 percent of the vote, compared to 29 percent for Tea Party favorite Angle and 23 percent for Tarkanian.

The surging Angle has locked up several high profile endorsements in recent weeks, including nods from the Tea Party express and the fiscally conservative Club for Growth.

The Republican Senate primary is scheduled for June 8.

The Mason-Dixon telephone poll of 625 likely voters was conducted between May 24 – May 26 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The Republican primary survey questioned 500 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

Filed under: 2010 • Harry Reid • Nevada • Popular Posts • Sharron Angle • Sue Lowden
soundoff (27 Responses)
  1. phoenix86

    I guess you can fool some of the people all of the time.

    May 28, 2010 09:22 am at 9:22 am |
  2. Bertina

    Again, looks like the Tea party loses.

    May 28, 2010 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  3. awaitingmoderationby CNN

    Is the slimy play to get Hispanic votes by the slimy, corrupt SEIU back Senate Majority leader working? The libertards will stop at nothing, no matter how detrimental to the country or against the wishes and desires of the hard working American people. It is the libertard way to retain the power to continue their theft of funds and liberty and give it to the slimy corrupt unions.

    May 28, 2010 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  4. mine

    not surprising, considring what fools the rabid-right are making of themselves

    May 28, 2010 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  5. Dean

    This does nor surprise me. We all know that our senators and congressmen are worthless. Their approval rating is the worst it has been in our history, yet people continue to vote them in no matter how crooked they are or how much they lie. We are really a stupid uninformed country. 90% of the people do not really understand where our current financial mess started. It is easy to just say "it's Bush's fault" without really finding out what happened. No wonder our country is in such bad shape. It all starts with each individual citizen. And we are too lazy and prejudiced to actually learn the truth.

    May 28, 2010 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
  6. Suzanne

    It's time for Reid to go........ smartin' up people!

    May 28, 2010 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  7. NadineCA

    People are starting to see how crazy those Tea Party and Ring Wing Conservative Republicans are. They may be mad at Reid but at least they know who his is and what he's about. These other people are a scary crap shoot and once you vote someone in, you may end up with the type of person like Arizona's got running the state or Rand Paul, or Palin. Keep Harry Reid or face a scary outcome.

    May 28, 2010 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  8. JSF

    I submit that a major contributor to Obama's poor ratings is the behavior of the leadership in the Senate and Congress, namely
    Reid and Pelosi. Can't the people in Nevada see that?

    May 28, 2010 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
  9. gt

    retire harry ... your a tired , angry old man,,,, ...

    May 28, 2010 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
  10. gary

    Harry Reid is corrupt and stupid and part of the "old guard" that has bankrupted our country. We need him out of the Senate. I don't care if the new Senator is Republican, Democrat or Independent as long as it is not Harry Reid.

    May 28, 2010 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  11. Glenn Doty


    Call me in October.

    The polls released now concerning "hypothetical matchups' are worse than garbage.

    Two months prior to the Pennsylvania primary, Joe Sestak was pronounced dead, with 30 points deficit against Spectre.

    Sestak won.

    That more or less sums up the value of polling even 2 months out.
    Polling 5 months out is even less likely to prove useful.

    All you show is that RIGHT NOW it's a close race in NV... In 2 months, there could be a major bribery scandel which tanks either candidates numbers by 20%...

    If the next 5 months show solid economic growth, then Reid will crush his oponent by 10-15 points. If there's a double dip, Reid will almost certainly lose...

    We know nothing about the outcome, because there are too many variables. It's too far away. And snapshots of TODAY are about as useless as horoscopes.

    May 28, 2010 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  12. Peace

    Hispanic voters are going to keep Harry Reid maintain his seat! I suppose!

    May 28, 2010 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  13. Sniffit

    Nevada deserves what they get if they elect the Chikkin Lady. Ridiculous. However, Reid winning would probably make me laugh so hard at the conservatives that I'd need a shot of Thorazine and some time in a rubber room. Meh...I probably do anyway for coming here every day.

    May 28, 2010 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  14. GOP = "I hope he fails"

    I assume chicken-lady-Lowden will win the primary. That means this will be a race between a guy who has risen to nothing short of majority leader in the US Senate, versus somebody who can't directly say she supports The Civil Rights Act and wants to pay off medical bill WITH CHICKENS!!!

    Jeepers that's a toughie.

    May 28, 2010 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  15. Eric in Denver

    If this con man is re-elected the people in Nevada will replace the voters in Minnesota as the least intelligent in the country. The economy in Nevada is terrrible; foreclosures are everywhere, casinos are struggling, golf courses are hurting, and unemployment is through the roof. Are you kidding me this criminal is still in the hunt?

    May 28, 2010 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  16. Big George in Big D

    Oh come on – Nevadans aren't stupid enough to re-elect that moron, are they?

    May 28, 2010 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  17. once upon a horse

    starting to look as the the Tea Party might not have as much influence over this election as they thought they did. But I think more people are starting to see through Sarah Palin and the TP bunch!

    May 28, 2010 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  18. Turn Texas Blue

    Sue Lowden cross the road?She doesnt even know,but her bag is full of Corporate cash.

    May 28, 2010 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  19. SocialismBad

    These polls are all meaningless. The only ones that matter happen on election day in November. I'm very confident that we will see the last of dirty Harry Reid complements of the people of Nevada.

    May 28, 2010 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  20. Stephen Matthews

    Republicans are just "wild about Harry". Wild to the point of foaming at the mouth. You go Harry.

    May 28, 2010 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  21. Willy Brown

    Smoke and mirrors on the media's part for loser Hippy Harry.

    May 28, 2010 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  22. George Guadiane - Austerlitz, NY

    Harry Reid is working for the masses.
    Republicans are doing everything that they know how to ( and they know LOTS of tricks) in their attempt to paint that as a bad thing for America/Americans...
    If Nevadans pay attention to THE FACTS and not the spin that Republicans use to miss-characterize Harry Reid, his actions and intentions, Harry Reid will win against any Republican that they run.
    If America wakes up in Republican hands, and discovers that they have been duped (AGAIN – and they would), it will be the gullible well intentioned un/under informed that will have put us there.

    May 28, 2010 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  23. good luck

    you are doing your job well, wish you luck Mr. Ried

    May 28, 2010 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  24. RCasson

    Reid will win. That idiot Lowden thinks we need to pay doctors with chickens. She's toast. She would have won if she hadn't made such a complete ass of herself. I support Reid and am glad to see him back in the game.

    May 28, 2010 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  25. gary

    He's be very effective in getting legislation passed in the Senate. He's low-key, calm, well-organized and represents the interests of his state. Although I don't agree with some of his positions, I must admit that he does get things done and he would be difficult to replace.

    May 28, 2010 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
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