June 29th, 2010
08:48 AM ET
13 years ago

Poll: Strickland leads but under 50 percent in re-election bid

[cnn-photo-caption image=http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/06/14/art.strickland.file4.ohio.jpg caption ="Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland holds a small lead over his Republican challenger in his bid this year for a second term in office."](CNN) - Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland holds a small lead over his Republican challenger in his bid this year for a second term in office, according to a new poll.

The Quinnipiac University survey, released Tuesday morning, also indicates that more Ohio voters favor than oppose passing an immigration law similar to the new controversial measure in Arizona.

Forty-three percent of those questioned in the poll say they support Strickland, with 38 percent backing former Rep. John Kasich, and 15 percent unsure. Strickland's lead is just within the survey's sampling error. His advantage is basically unchanged from Quinnipiac polls conducted in March and April.

According to the survey, Strickland overwhelming leads among Democrats and Kasich among Republicans, with Strickland holding a slight 40 to 37 percent advantage among Independents.

"Incumbents generally start a campaign with a name recognition edge and that is certainly the case in the governor's race. Sometimes as the challenger becomes better known the race narrows. That has yet to happen in this case, although the share of voters who do not know enough about Kasich to form an opinion is at 52 percent, down from 62 percent April 29," says Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

The survey also indicates that a majority of Ohio voters disapprove of how Strickland's handling the economy and the state budget, and by a 48 to 31 percent margin say he hasn't kept his campaign promises.

"Kasich still has four months until Election Day and Strickland's other numbers show his potential vulnerability, but at this point the Governor remains ahead despite the anti-incumbency wave sweeping the country," says Brown. "The good news for Strickland is that he is ahead. Nevertheless, when an incumbent governor is getting less than 45 percent of the vote four months out, it should make him concerned."

Strickland held a five point lead over Kasich in a University of Cincinnati Ohio poll conducted last month.

Forty-eight percent of Ohio voters questioned in the Quinnipiac survey approve of Arizona's immigration law, with 28 percent opposed, but they are split on whether the measure will lead to discrimination against Hispanics and Latinos.

The recently enacted Arizona law initially allowed police to ask anyone for proof of legal U.S. residency, based solely on a police officer's suspicion that the person might be in the country illegally. Arizona lawmakers soon amended the law so that officers could check a person's status only if the person had been stopped or arrested for another reason.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted June 22-27, with 1,107 registered Ohio voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

Filed under: John Kasich • Ohio • Ted Strickland
soundoff (7 Responses)
  1. Larry

    Kasich is a former Wall Street scumbag. He was a managing director for Lehman Brothers before they crashed.

    Ohio needs Strickland.

    June 29, 2010 08:55 am at 8:55 am |
  2. Keith in Austin

    Incumbant Democrats will rue the day that Socialism came to America via Obama policies!

    June 29, 2010 09:12 am at 9:12 am |
  3. gt

    if you love obama then you will love strickland,,,,,clones....

    June 29, 2010 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  4. GI Joe

    Am I the only one sick of CNN listing tons of polls of 1000 or fewer people and trying to tell us that is how WE feel or what WE think?

    Don't watch CNN any more, but continue to be struck of the hype, spin, rumor, innuendo, propaganda and some lies that are pushed by the organization that claims it is a NEWS organization.

    NBC, CBS, ABC, C-Span – all that is to be trusted in News.

    June 29, 2010 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  5. Malt

    Come on Ohio. Your state is struggling enough. Vote in a conservative and start fixing your problems. New Jersey has already started the process of cleaning up liberal messes that have killed their economy.

    June 29, 2010 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  6. Ben

    The fact that Strickland's lead hasn't increased in months says a lot. As Kasich becomes better known his poll numbers will undoubtedly pick up. Strickland's polling is terrible in every other area, which speaks volumes.

    June 29, 2010 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  7. Willy Brown

    10.7 % unemployment , Illegal Immigrants are running all over in every city sucking up all the social welfare and benefits from legal Ohio voters. Strickland is toast in November.

    June 29, 2010 10:50 am at 10:50 am |