June 30th, 2010
09:30 AM ET
12 years ago

Poll: Close contests in California

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/06/30/art.whitman.gi.jpg caption="A new poll indicates Republican gubernatorial hopeful Meg Whitman trails Attorney General Jerry Brown."](CNN) - A new poll indicates that the Democratic candidates hold single-digit leads over their Republican counterparts in California's gubernatorial and senatorial battles.

According to a Reuters/Ipsos survey, California Attorney General Jerry Brown holds a 45 to 39 percent advantage over Meg Whitman in the race for governor, with 14 percent undecided.

Brown, a former two-term governor in the 1970's and 1980's, has also served as Oakland mayor and California secretary of state. Whitman, the billionaire former eBay CEO who also was an adviser and surrogate for Sen. John McCain's 2008 presidential bid, has spent around $90 million of her own money so far on her bid for governor.

The winner in November will succeed Republican Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, who can't seek re-election because of term limits. Schwarzenegger has struggled to fix the Golden state's economy and has battled with state lawmakers over how to reduce California's massive budget deficit. The poll indicates that only 27 percent of California voters approve of the job he's doing in Sacramento. Nearly eight in ten questioned say that the state is headed in the wrong direction.

According to the poll, which was released Tuesday, Sen. Barbara Boxer leads Republican challenger Carly Fiorina 45 percent to 41 percent, with 13 percent unsure. The former Hewlett Packard CEO, who was also an economic adviser and surrogate for McCain's White House bid, beat out two other rivals in the GOP primary earlier this month. Boxer is bidding for a fourth-term in the Senate.

Ipsos poll analyst Clifford Young say the fact that Democrats are leading the governor and Senate battles is not out of the ordinary, since they have better name recognition. But as the campaign progresses "we should see some sort of diminution of that advantage" Young tells Reuters. "What we're finding is a very close race."

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted June 25-27, with 600 California registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn

Filed under: 2010 • California • Jerry Brown • Meg Whitman • Polls
soundoff (21 Responses)
  1. Ben in Texas

    A few questions about Whitman:

    Who wouldn't love to see Meg Whitman throw away $90M and get absolutely nothing for it?

    Doesn't it say something about her concept of money that she would spend so much on a political campaign?

    How could you trust a person to make good fiscal decisions for your state when she is willing to drop $90M to win the office?

    June 30, 2010 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  2. BradKT

    Thee polls mean absolutely nothing right now. The general public is not paying any attention to these poliiticians and won't do so as a group until after Labor Day.

    June 30, 2010 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  3. Sentinel2010

    Who can deny the damage done to this country and the world by Republicans. They are not fit to be in office – at any capacity!

    June 30, 2010 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  4. Dale

    It's CA. They will vote liberal and continue to decline. Arnold never had a chance because of the liberal politics in CA. CA. "WILL" go bankrupt because of the liberal mindset and immigration. CA. Is full of fools.

    June 30, 2010 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  5. Ben

    You'd have to be nuts to vote for either Brown or Boxer after what the Dems have done to that state.

    June 30, 2010 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  6. ray

    everyone who votes should take a hard long look at these right wingers and ask themselves why would i vote for these people. republicans are bringing this country to it knees. remember gerorge bush when you are in that booth. VOTE ALL REPUBLICANS OUT OFF OFFICE >

    June 30, 2010 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  7. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA

    Meg Whitman is a flip flopper. I think there should be rules about how much of your own personal money you can put into your campaign. She's not getting money from Californians.

    June 30, 2010 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  8. teena

    Well I guess Meg will just have to dip into more personal funds to "buy" her way into the governor's mansion!

    June 30, 2010 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  9. Ken in NC

    I know that times are tight right now and people are willing to do almost anything and go to any extreme to get a job but I would be concerned about the caliber of an employee if she were willing to spend 90 million dollars of her own money to get a job that pays only about $206,000.00 a year and that same job is one she could hold for 8 years at the most. The figures simply don't add up.

    If a person would spend over $90,000,000.00 of their own money to get a job with a maximum income of appox. $1,600,000.00 over an eight year period, what would they do with their hands on the coffers of the states limited funds?

    June 30, 2010 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  10. gt

    boxer ...old , no ideas, bitter,disrespected, been there way to long..,,, new blood both parties....

    June 30, 2010 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  11. jake747

    I still can't believe Fiorina's rise. Just can't. She failed miserably at HP and they paid her millions to just go away. She was once quoted as saying "Americans have no God given rights to jobs" in response to being questioned about outsourcing. Unbelievable. She should be the symbol of what's wrong in America - shrewd business person outsourcing jobs and failing...but getting paid millions for failing. I wish I could get fired from my job and make millions for it.

    What is happening? How is she even a serious candidate? I notice CNN always does real positive articles on her, so my suspicion is she is real close with folks high up at CNN...(I may have just ruined my chance of getting posted!)

    June 30, 2010 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  12. gerald paddock

    please go buy Arizona meg thats it

    June 30, 2010 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  13. Sarah, the baby seal basher

    All HumptyDumptys horses and all her money couldnt buy this garden tool the job.She has a face that could stop a watch,she must be related to Rush.hahaha

    June 30, 2010 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  14. Mike D

    Boxer?! AGAIN?!! Come on CA, she's a blithering idiot out of touch with anything relevant today. Now is the time for change, not more of the same. You can do better much better than that.

    June 30, 2010 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  15. CA was nice -- long ago

    Come on Californians, use your brains. Democratic policies have destroyed the best state in the country.

    Because of stupid politics that have brought the CA economy down and increased the tax burden most of my family and ALL of my wife's family has moved out .

    June 30, 2010 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  16. sensible Cape Coral FL

    Thank God for small favors.

    June 30, 2010 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  17. Robert C. Ristow

    We don't need any further proof that Californians are crazy ( or stupid ), than the fact that they are still willing to vote for Jerry Brown!!!! I guess we all know what they're smokin' !!

    June 30, 2010 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  18. Rickster

    Whitman proved herself to be just another RINO with her anti-American sovereignty, anti-Arizona SB 1070 stance. That will cost her this election. People would rather have a democrat elected than a RINO because with a democrat at least you know from the get-go that they will be just awful......with a RINO you just keep holding out hope that they will come to their senses but they never do(see Arnold Schwarzenegger).

    June 30, 2010 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  19. carol

    Shameful that you can buy yourself a seat in Congress. Why not wait until after the election and buy your polititian then? Thats what they usually do. What happened to voting in the best person for the job?
    Guess money can buy you anything huh.

    June 30, 2010 10:57 am at 10:57 am |

    The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted June 25-27, with 600 California registered voters questioned by telephone

    Is this sampling plan sufficient? 600 out of 17 million

    June 30, 2010 10:59 am at 10:59 am |
  21. Chuck Anaheim, Ca

    Just another corporatista trying to drive the middle class out of existance. I will vote for Jerry Brown and Barbara Boxer thank you very much. Oh, I live in California so what I feel counts and for the fools who don't live here, your opinion is not relevant.

    June 30, 2010 10:59 am at 10:59 am |