September 7th, 2010
01:26 PM ET
10 years ago

Another top political handicapper forecasts larger GOP gains

Washington (CNN) - Hours after one of the nation's top non-partisan political handicappers increased his forecast of how many seats the Republicans may pick up in the House of Representatives this November, another also raised the ante.

The Cook Political report put out a new prediction late Tuesday morning pointing towards GOP gains in the chamber of at least 40 seats, up from their most recent forecast of up to 35 seats. The Republicans need a net gain of 39 seats to take back control of the House.

"Over the summer, the 'macro' national diagnostic indicators have pointed toward very large Republican gains but only now can we look race-by-race, a micro-political approach, and see the district level data to say that the House has reached the tipping point," says Cook Political Report House Editor David Wasserman. "We are revising our House forecast to a Republican gain of at least 40 seats, the minimum to give them majority status, and very possibly substantially more."

Earlier Tuesday the Rothenberg Political Report put out new prediction pointing towards likely GOP gains from 37 to 42 seats in the chamber, up from the 28 to 33 seats predicted in their most recent forecast.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn

Filed under: 2010
soundoff (48 Responses)
  1. obama victim

    let the left wingnut denial machine begin......3 -2 -1...GO

    September 7, 2010 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  2. Hunter of the lib hunter

    In a recent poll, 35% of Americans feel the republicans will not return to the Bush economic disaster. I hate to be the one to point out, that the economic disaster began under the Reagan republicans with trickle down voodoo economics, and almost every republican today wants to extend the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy. Same old republican crap, just a different day.

    September 7, 2010 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  3. BillE

    If the Gop wins big they better fix things right away. Thats what they are moaning about the current admin. They don't have a clue and it will show soon after they take over.

    September 7, 2010 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
  4. Hunter of the lib hunter

    When are Americans going to wake up to the anti worker republican party of big business? How can people vote for the idiots who refused to extend unemployment benefits? Did they really think that a couple of hundred dollars a month is going to keep people from looking for work? By the way, the GOP also is not into helping veterans, uninsured, those on social security and medicare, teachers, policemen, firemen, auto workers, and those who seek religious freedom.

    September 7, 2010 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  5. Hunter of the lib hunter

    I just saw an ad where Chuck Norris thinks democrats are going to take his guns away. That will sew up the midterms for the GOP, as he and his followers are not very bright.

    September 7, 2010 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  6. ddt

    CNN why your numbers keep changing? What will you do if Your Republican party doesn't win in November? I don't see any difference between CNN and Fix news

    September 7, 2010 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  7. Anonymous

    The Republicans gain will be the country's loss.
    Remember the thinking that got us in this shape.
    Remember their goals.
    Remember they back tax cuts for the rich, tax cuts for corporation that only us ethe extra money for higher dividends and paychecks.
    Remember what their degerulaitons did for us with finances and our oil safety feature.
    Be careful what you hope for.

    September 7, 2010 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  8. Darth Vadik, CA

    There is a long way 'till election, don't count your chickens....

    September 7, 2010 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  9. Annie, Atlanta

    So what do we get when we let the Republicans back in control?

    We get an extension of tax cuts for the rich which, according to them, create jobs for the middle class. I want to know where those jobs went? China? India? Was that the purpose?

    Then we have to borrow more money from China in order to function. Lovely.

    Are we nuts? Do we think these people have the answers we're looking for? I don't.

    September 7, 2010 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  10. Eric

    People, it's not hard to do the math on this... the economy in 1994 was in relatively good shape with 5.6 percent unemployment and the democrats actually failed in passing hillaryCare... yet the dems were clobbered in the midterms and lost 54 seats.

    Now, with the $h!tt!3$t economy we've seen in more than 70 years, with unemployment NEARLY double what it was in 1994 and with ACTUALLY PASSING ObamaCare, if you don't think Dems are going to lose 80 seats, you're simply not paying attention.

    Please Dems, by all means, keep your fingers in your ears, your heads in the sand and keep repeating "it's not real." It will make the morning after the election even more delicious.

    This is the end of Keynesian economics for a generation.
    The experiment has, ONCE AGAIN, ended in failure.

    September 7, 2010 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  11. Keith in Austin

    Democrats will hear the discontent of America loud and clear this November

    September 7, 2010 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  12. Rick McDaniel

    The track record really leaves no choice. The Dems are failing, big time, and change is absolutely essential.

    September 7, 2010 01:56 pm at 1:56 pm |
  13. BB

    Not going to happen.
    Dems will hold Majority in both the House and Senate.
    There is absolutely no way that more than 1/2 of the people in this Country are that blatantly stupid or have that short of a memory to actually vote the Republican Circus Clowns/Elephants back into any type of Power. I refuse to believe I live amongst that many stupid people!!!!
    It's just not going to happen!

    September 7, 2010 01:57 pm at 1:57 pm |
  14. Hunter of the lib hunter

    I wonder if the GOP has already picked out a country to invade.

    September 7, 2010 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  15. Liberalism is a mental disorder

    The biggest mistake Obama made after his election was to say "I
    won, you lost." Falsely thinking that he received a "mandate" from
    Americans to restructure our system of government into Europe-lite.
    Redistribution of wealth to those who refuse to work. Shady backroom
    deals to pass unpopular legislation. Union ownership takeover of
    major automobile manufacturers and leaving the secured creditors
    in the mud. Growing government jobs that pay twice as much as
    those in the private sector. Worldwide apology tour. Muslim outreach
    at the expense of our allies. The funding of mosques in foreign countries. Calling hard-working and tax-paying citizens racists, homophobes, rednecks, teabaggers, etc. And you want to know why the majority of Americans can't stand him or Democrats? Here is ALL the proof you need as to why the Republicans will easily take over Congress in November. The lever in the voting booth will be pulled for
    (R) for Recovery and not (D) for Disaster.

    September 7, 2010 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  16. Lucullus

    Can someone explain to me how you can beat something with nothing? We might not like what the dems are doing but what are the Jack Boot Right offering us? They offer nothing or a George Bush redux. The sad truth is that most of this country is ssooooo stupid they'll buy nothing over something.

    September 7, 2010 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  17. stela-fl

    Notice how all of sudden we want these guys back, oh yeah I forgot they NO everything so now their ready! Lets vote for them! NOT! CNN are you a teapartier rep. cause you sure sound like Lou Dobbs now!

    September 7, 2010 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  18. sammieb51

    On what plan are they going to create jobs again? Oh yes, tax cuts to the wealthiest 1% of the population - or the ones making roughly $500,000 or more save in excess of $100,000 a year in taxes.

    Can't wait to see McConnell and Boner try to reign in these tea baggers coming in. The GOP will fall into a heap trying to lockstep its "members" with the TBs dissenting, so for another 2 years, with a still failing economy and no job creation on the board, nothing will get done or on a positive note, the GOP will become so far right it will resemble Nazi Germany more than US.

    I pledge allegiance, the the flag of the United Corporate States of America, and to the Corporation, for which it stands, one Corporation, under Wall Street, with poverty and discrimination for all.

    September 7, 2010 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  19. Anonymous

    It clearly shows politicians are all the opportunists i.e. for instance, if the economy is bad at the time of DEM-controlled congress the GOP will gain seats and vice versa, regardless of who are responsible for making the mess. This is just merely a game and we, the blood of middle class people, are being sucked to death.

    September 7, 2010 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  20. Bill NY

    Right, lets give power back to the idiots who created this mess in the first place. Let them finish the hatchet job on the United States. They are more interested in taking money from people like the Koch brothers and feathering their own nests than looking out for their constituents. It is a proven fact that tax breaks for the rich or huge corporations do not help this nation. The huge corporations historically have taken that money and shipped jobs overseas. It never ceases to amaze me how dumb people in this country can be.

    September 7, 2010 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  21. wanderer

    It clearly shows politicians are all the opportunists i.e. for instance, if the economy is bad at the time of DEM-controlled congress the GOP will gain seats and vice versa, regardless of who are responsible for making the mess. This is just merely a game and we, the blood of middle class people, are being sucked to death.

    September 7, 2010 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  22. Whatever

    I'm VERY MOTIVATED tp vote in November and no one has called to poll me. I hope the Repubs get a big wake up call and are not successful in gaining control only to do nothing again for two more years except vote themselves a new increase. The must all make over $250K which is why they are all screaming about the Bush Tax cuts expiring. LET THEM EXPIRE - GiVE US A BREAK!!!!!!!!!!!

    September 7, 2010 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  23. Phil in KC

    Great – and then we won't get anything done! The dems should have made better use of their majority while they had it.

    September 7, 2010 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  24. Fair is Fair

    How is San Fran Nan's ego going to take the demotion from the position of speaker? Resign?

    Mr. Speaker Boehner has such a nice ring to it....

    September 7, 2010 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  25. J Klainski

    A nation of morons.

    September 7, 2010 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
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