September 27th, 2010
03:02 PM ET
12 years ago

Poll: Majority may vote against Obama in 2012

(CNN) - A new national poll suggests that a majority of Americans are considering voting against President Barack Obama in 2012, but the survey indicates Obama would come out on top if Sarah Palin is the Republican presidential nominee.

According to Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll, 38 percent of those questioned say Obama deserves reelection as president, with 44 percent saying they will vote to replace Obama, 13 percent saying they will consider voting for someone else, and six percent unsure.

The results of the survey are similar to a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey conducted early last month, in which 45 percent of registered voters said they would back Obama for re-election with 50 percent saying they would back the Republican presidential nominee.

According to the Politico poll, if the 2012 presidential election were held today and Palin was the GOP nominee, 42 percent say they would definitely, probably, or maybe vote for the former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee, with 51 percent saying they would definitely, probably or maybe vote for Obama. Eight percent are undecided.

Fifty-eight percent of those questioned say Palin's actions since stepping down as Alaska governor in the summer of 2008 have made them less likely to vote for her if she runs for president, with 31 percent saying her actions have made them more likely to support her.

The Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll was conducted September 19-22, with 1,000 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.1 percent.


Filed under: Polls • President Obama • Sarah Palin
soundoff (133 Responses)
  1. Big George in Big D

    The people of this country would be foolish to put that man back in the White House in 2012! He's done enough harm in 1-1/2 years!

    September 27, 2010 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  2. Expat American

    Ridiculous inflammatory ‘Lindsay Lohanesque’ poll….

    September 27, 2010 03:06 pm at 3:06 pm |
  3. beth

    Don't you think it's a little too early to be taking polls for the 2012 national election. C'mon now, you know an early poll like this is REALLY meaningless.

    September 27, 2010 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  4. jer

    really? this is the most ridiculous poll ever, isnt everyone getting sick of polls yet? One day theres a poll that says the dems are in trouble, the next day the repubs are in trouble.. and who even knows whats going to be going on in two years time

    September 27, 2010 03:14 pm at 3:14 pm |
  5. Fair is Fair

    I know I'm not voting for him... EVER.

    September 27, 2010 03:18 pm at 3:18 pm |
  6. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    When people vote like this, they do a disservice to their district or state. They need to look at the individuals running for office. If they don't do that, then they could be voting for someone that could put hate speech in daily use and issue legislation for questionable things. How would they feel if that person was to represent them?

    September 27, 2010 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
  7. Dave

    This seems like a typical Fox News poll. I really expect more from CNN.

    September 27, 2010 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  8. Wade

    Obama is the result of fools sending to Washington a boy to do a man's job.

    September 27, 2010 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  9. King

    Obama is about the future of our country: green enegy, green jobs. Rebuiding our infrastructure, ballancing the budget and education. Repugs want to strip power from the government so we are doomed to live in polution the big corporation caused back by the gop.

    September 27, 2010 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  10. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    There are 10 women presidents around the World who have several degrees in law, doctoriates, medical, serveral masters, university professors, held cabinet offices, economic degrees, science degrees and have worked in their degree fields and these women have all married men of their equal. Palin has nothing to offer and those 10 women presidents won't be sitting around with her to talk trash. They will ask Palin questions like, what university did you get your degrees from, what does your husband do and what's his degree, what university are your children attending and she'll come up with a lie not realizing these women already know she's an idiot.

    September 27, 2010 03:22 pm at 3:22 pm |
  11. ST

    I would vote for Joe the Plumber against Sarah if the two were competing, as Joe has never caused any harm since 2008 election saga!

    September 27, 2010 03:22 pm at 3:22 pm |
  12. John

    There's only one poll that matters on this, and that will be the election poll in 2012. This is just electioneering by big media, trying to make sure the narrative plays out the way they want. Disgusting, CNN.

    September 27, 2010 03:23 pm at 3:23 pm |
  13. kyle from ohio

    2012 really, that far out 1000 people have the view of 300,000,000, ok i believe you if you say so.

    September 27, 2010 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  14. Jason

    Wow, what a ridiculous article. Stop wasting my time CNN because I am seriously considering switching my home page to MSNBC. Rename your site Weekly World News why don't you? Guy is doing the best job of any president I was alive to witness.

    September 27, 2010 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  15. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Polls are nice......and ridiculously misleading and premature in this case.

    But thank you FOX, er, CNN, nonetheless.

    September 27, 2010 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  16. Dennis

    Only reason Obama got elected the fiirst time was because the mainstream media wanted him. Basically the media bashed both Hillary and McCain to the point that Obama was the only option for those people who didn't take the time and energy to got to know what the candates sttod for. I think now, the media is deciding that they made a terrible mistake.

    September 27, 2010 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  17. Tom

    It took Bush 8 long years to wreck America. Do people think Obama can magically fix it in 2 years?

    September 27, 2010 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  18. anagram_kid

    He is still by far the best choice out there and a poll of 1,000 people is meaningless.

    September 27, 2010 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  19. Roland

    Really? Are you kidding? During the prep for the Biden debate Palin could not answer the question "why are there two Korea's?" Or "What is the roll of the federal government?" She crossed her arms, put her chin on her chest and pouted out of frustration. America, are you really that dumb and out of touch? Whoever said the Presidents job is that easy? This is a complex and 24/7 job. The president MUST have the intelectual capacity for the job. NOT a former weather girl from Idaho who grew up on Canadian Govt Healthcare.

    September 27, 2010 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  20. DG

    Just like they had McCain winning in 2008 against Obama. You guys are so pro-Republican that you are un-American. It was Bush and the Republicans who destroyed our country and ran it into the ground after receiving a huge surplus from Clinton. Obama is doing a fantastic job in cleaning up this mess but it takes time as Bush and the Republicans gave us the worst recession since the Great Depression. Wake up America, let's not go back to the Republicans or we will have another Great Depression.

    September 27, 2010 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  21. Irma in North Carolina

    You republicans take this poll and put it on Fox News. This is something they would Post. This awful having the President and the racist Sarah picture together like this.

    September 27, 2010 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  22. MAhole

    Hey People – it's WAY too early to say who will win in 2012.

    Obama is doing a damn fine job with the situation he has inherited. There's no "magic wand" in either party's hand.

    But that being said, we CAN'T go back to where we were 2 years ago – or it's all over for the American Dream.

    Vote "NO" for the party of "NO" – R=reverse.........

    September 27, 2010 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  23. gt

    obama is toast , but so is palin ,,, america is crying for some one from the middle to lead this country.....

    September 27, 2010 03:28 pm at 3:28 pm |
  24. onlysanetexanleft

    I can't believe news organizations waste time and money conducting these types of poll. First, pitting one person against an enite party is silly. Second. The guy is only 1 1/2 years into his first term, by the way which day one started with the country being in the worst shape in decades. I think the media needs to chill and a least let the man get half way through before you start trying to drive "one termer" narratives. Also, the headline and pics are missleading. If you are just looking at the headline and the pics you would think that Palin is running ahead of the President when the numbers show that she gets trounced.

    September 27, 2010 03:29 pm at 3:29 pm |
  25. Lucas Breen

    In 2008 47% of voters voted against Obama. Now, according to this poll 44% say they will vote against him in 2012 (+/- 3.1%).

    This is news because ????

    - This is a poll of 1,000 Americans ... which equates to 20 people per state. I live in a small state, so I guess maybe eight or ten people in my state were called?

    - This was a telephone poll of people who have LAND LINES. Today most young people (Obama's base) do not have land lines, and therefore were not surveyed.

    - Good luck tracking down poor people, especially blacks and Hispanics. They vote as well and I would bet they are overwhelmingly for Obama.

    September 27, 2010 03:29 pm at 3:29 pm |
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